<delurk> This is my first post in this forum, and I haven't had much interaction with Memphus, so while I am not entirely independent, I don't have a particular reason to favor this team. I am just speaking as a math major here. All Sooooo's statements are correct. Further, the recent streak of victories make cheating LESS likely. The reason for that is that streaks are more common than people think. There've been plenty of experiments where people were asked to write down a random sequence of numbers, and these sequences are compared to real random sequences. In most cases, real random sequences are more streaky. So if Memphus was cheating, he'd throw in a few losses because "it's impossible to win all the time". Also, you aren't looking at the right sample size. The sample size isn't "all battles in this game". It is "all battles in all competitive games of CIV described online". How many SGOTMs have there been? Did anybody ever report this kind of winning streak in any of them? However, the sample size is irrelevant here anyway: This could be the only CIV game in the world, and Memphus could get these results without cheating. People tend to forget that 1 in 100,000 odds doesn't meant that 100,000 players have to play for somebody to get that result. The odds simply mean that if 100,000,000 people play, you'd expect to see the result about 1000 times. However, the first person to ever play the game would be just as likely to win as the 100,000th person. The point of the above is that while you can use statistics to help choose whom to investigate (and I agree that Memphus warrants investigation, even if only to prove your vigilance), you absolutely CANNOT use statistics as evidence. There are only two ways to get real evidence: 1. If we are absolutely sure that replaying attacks will generate same result, replay Memphus' attacks yourself. 2. Ask every CIV modder if there is any way to cheat in PitBoss while the game is connected to Civstats. PS Looking at further combat results will be pointless: Option 1 - SANCTA starts losing most battles - explanation will be that Memphus was cheating before, and is now cheating in the other direction because of scrutiny. Option 2 - SANCTA continues the winning streak - explanation will be that Memphus is still cheating. Option 3 - SANCTA starts losing "correct" number of battles - explanation will be that Memphus was cheating and stopped. Any result that will happen in the future will only "proove" to people that Memphus was cheating. So the only meaningful investigation you can conduct is by the two methods listed above.