From my perspective, the earliest responses to the French Revolution fell into one two categories. The first was essentially for the King to obey his own rules. You can see this in the Tennis Court Oath which, basically, bound all members of the National Assembly to ensure that the King carried out of the specific program of reforms that Minister Necker had proposed with the oath itself designed, quite deliberately, to be inoffensive as possible. In this view the King was
the problem but also
the solution. The members honestly thought the King wanted reform and that the reforms he wanted were, by and large, not incompatible with their own views and that for a variety of reasons the King had been unable, or unwilling, as yet to accede to the reforms but that he was not opposed necessarily to their goals. The second strand of thought basically held that the King himself was not the problem and that the solution to problem of France was not
less King but rather
more King. The March on Versailles looks rather like that. In the view of the crowd the issue wasn't the King but rather bad councilors and aristocrats who surrounded the King and came up with and executed his policies. Mixed with this was also recognition of some issues associated with the
ancien regime but also more proximate issues like the need for bread. The crowds thought that if the king were free of this bad influence he would naturally fall into line with his people and that this could only be achieved by physically removing him to Paris.
Traitorfish said:
Well, the king rode out the first two years, but is that really the same thing as the monarchy as a political institution?
With some more luck in the early days, the monarchy would never have been threatened and the essential structure of French politics, with the King both at the head and in control, probably wouldn't have changed. In large part, because most people at the start were not asking for huge changes or questioned much, if at all, the need for an active monarchy.
Traitorfish said:
Masada says that the king could have retained his power, and I won't disagree, but is it "retention" when those powers cease to be meaningfully exercised, to be restored at a later date on somebody else's terms?
That was again a distinct possibility further down the track. But it wasn't the only means of the king retaining his power.
Traitorfish said:
I think you could plausibly make the case that the monarchy of Louis XIV had effectively crumbled by the end of 1789, whether or not France retained a monarchy of some sort.
Sure. But that was true for all of his reign. Louis XIV ineffectiveness was a strength during the Revolution because it meant that people, quite rightly, blamed everyone else but him until that became essentially impossible. A more activist monarch might well have died earlier. Granted, a more activist monarch might have headed off the issue before it became an issue.