I think of a different possibility: research pottery instead of AH, settle the third city in the FP and cottage it early.
I agree this should definitely be considered, yes.
That takes us back to exploration matters : the tech after PH would depend on what 3rd city we settle, i.e. what opportunities the map offers us.
There's a possibility that gold (as in gold mines) is lying around the FP river... If there is --> Pottery is a clear choice. We should then even reconsider the 2nd city's location.
If there isn't, things will be a bit tougher to decide.
FP cottages are great but the infra is slow going. If we settle a cottage city now (we'll need some), we will still need Fishing/AH later (and even Sailing as Bugg mentionned, but Sailing can wait a bit).
Maybe we could play until PH is done or 1st settler is produced and decide afterwards ? I don't see your detailed plans super different for the first turns (we'll mine that silver, right ?!). Let's just optimize commerce for that time. 15-20 turns of exploration will give us great hints (keep the warriors alive !
).
Knowledge makes enlightened decisions.
Otherwise, if we need to decide before playing the set,
I think I prefer AH before Writing, because I'm not the "all-in" kind of player.
I also would like failure cash rather than extra warriors (no need to fogbust the north and east).
Med vs Poly. No preference. Both have their share of advantages and I never know how to decide.
Regarding the tech tree, once Masonry is in, I'd do something like :
Alphabet --> Litterature (we want the Great Lib, right ?) --> CS --> Philo.
If we don't have Meditation, I'd rather have it "early" (before CS) for Monasteries. Regarding Monotheism, dunno... It's powerful and costly. But we're Spiritual, so surely there's a way to revolt in and out. If we want it, it'd be better before Litterature so we can reduce wonder costs and set up our main cities infra.
Zara will trade Iron Working, Sailing, Maths, Currency, etc. Hopefully we'll meet someone else.
EDIT :
Kossin said:
Here's an idea: why don't we agree to play a short round for exploration and re-evaluate?
Totally my mindset.