Locutus
King of the Collective
Azzaman and Dauphin won the day yesterday with 19 points each, but warpus with his exact score managed to stay just ahead of azzaman and wins the overall competition with a 2-point lead. Congratulations, warpus!
North King and chegel both came in third just 1 point behind azzaman and Dauphin and SuperBeaverInc share 5th place another 2 points behind that with Imran rounding out the top 7 just 6 points behind warpus. This was probably the closest finish we've ever had, congrats to all!
Overall final ranking (Google doc):
CFC final ranking:
Comparing the different sites, CFC had 6 of the top 10 players but also 5 of the bottom 10 (of course, most of those were just late joiners). WPC players did really well early on with at one point all but one of the active players (i.e. not counting provisorii and El_Cid) in the top 15, but Maquiladora and Zoid started to slide downwards in the knock-out stage and as a result lost interest and quit playing, sending them to the bottom end of the ranking in the final standing. For the longest time almost all Apolytoners hovered around the middle of the pack but in the end 3 of them still mananaged to claw their way into the top 10. It's a shame Ozzy missed the first round of matches and the group predictions as percentage-wise he's pretty close to top 10 material as well.
Average total score by site:
ACS: 124
CFC: 120
WPC: 111
WPC had the lowest average total score as they simply had 2 guys not posting any match predictions (or not until very late anyway), which is a quarter of their total players. ACS had the highest average total score because they had fewer late entrants than CFC: discounting Barnabas and Dragonlord, only OzzyKP missed a significant number of matches and even then he only missed 10 (and had the good fortune that Spain was in group H allowing him to still tip them as champions) while CivFanatics had 3 players miss out on 20-30 matches each, which really dragged down their average. So this whole statistic unfortunately isn't very meaningful (as I noted at the start when Robert asked me to track it).
Average score per match prediction:
WPC: 2.15
ACS: 2.11
CFC: 2.10
Average points per match prediction is a better statistic for cross-site comparison, although still not perfect as I had no way of including group winner, top scorer and world champion predictions in the denominator (at least not without major rewriting of the Google doc), so it still skews somewhat in favour of Apolyton who had the lowest percentage of missed predictions here. Because of this issue I'd say the difference between ACS and CFC is statistically negligible. Note that I manually discounted proviisori from WPC's score as he was REALLY padding it with 52 points from 0 match predictions, but even then WPC did better than the other two sites. To be fair, with a much smaller number of players it's easier to do either really well or really poorly, had we had a few more participants the scores no doubt would've been closer.
Thanks to everyone for playing, it was fun!
North King and chegel both came in third just 1 point behind azzaman and Dauphin and SuperBeaverInc share 5th place another 2 points behind that with Imran rounding out the top 7 just 6 points behind warpus. This was probably the closest finish we've ever had, congrats to all!
Overall final ranking (Google doc):
Code:
1. warpus 168 (+12)
2. azzaman333 166 (+19)
3. North King 165 (+13)
3. chegel 165 (+3)
5. Dauphin 163 (+19)
5. SuperBeaverInc. 163 (+10)
7. Imran Siddiqui 162 (+13)
8. Arwon 157 (+13)
9. siron 150 (+13)
10. Solver 149 (+10)
11. RobWorham 147
12. Loppan Torkel 145
13. Locutus 142 (+6)
13. Robert Plomp 142 (+3)
15. MikeH 138 (+16)
16. C0ckney 134
16. Darth_Pugwash 134
16. Wernazuma III 134 (+10)
19. Echse 133 (+10)
20. Kitschum 132 (+3)
21. joncha 127
22. sonorakitch 126 (+10)
23. Weik 125 (+3)
23. Red Door 125 (+6)
25. BirraImperial 124
25. Bantams 124
27. OneFootInTheGrave 123
27. Serb 123
29. Maquiladora 116
30. Victor Galis 114
31. Zoid 113 (+3)
31. classical_hero 113
33. OzzyKP 92 (+10)
34. Dudemeister 71 (+13)
35. Proviisori 62 (+10)
36. Infantry#14 45
37. Rashiminos 32
38. El_Cid 31
39. Dragonlord 5
40. Barnabas 0CFC final ranking:
Code:
1. warpus 168
2. azzaman333 166
3. North King 165
3. chegel 165
5. SuperBeaverInc. 163
6. Arwon 157
7. Loppan Torkel 145
8. Darth_Pugwash 134
9. Echse 133
10. sonorakitch 126
11. Weik 125
11. Red Door 125
13. BirraImperial 124
14. classical_hero 113
15. Dudemeister 71
16. Infantry#14 45
17. Rashiminos 32
18. Dragonlord 5Comparing the different sites, CFC had 6 of the top 10 players but also 5 of the bottom 10 (of course, most of those were just late joiners). WPC players did really well early on with at one point all but one of the active players (i.e. not counting provisorii and El_Cid) in the top 15, but Maquiladora and Zoid started to slide downwards in the knock-out stage and as a result lost interest and quit playing, sending them to the bottom end of the ranking in the final standing. For the longest time almost all Apolytoners hovered around the middle of the pack but in the end 3 of them still mananaged to claw their way into the top 10. It's a shame Ozzy missed the first round of matches and the group predictions as percentage-wise he's pretty close to top 10 material as well.
Average total score by site:
ACS: 124
CFC: 120
WPC: 111
WPC had the lowest average total score as they simply had 2 guys not posting any match predictions (or not until very late anyway), which is a quarter of their total players. ACS had the highest average total score because they had fewer late entrants than CFC: discounting Barnabas and Dragonlord, only OzzyKP missed a significant number of matches and even then he only missed 10 (and had the good fortune that Spain was in group H allowing him to still tip them as champions) while CivFanatics had 3 players miss out on 20-30 matches each, which really dragged down their average. So this whole statistic unfortunately isn't very meaningful (as I noted at the start when Robert asked me to track it).
Average score per match prediction:
WPC: 2.15
ACS: 2.11
CFC: 2.10
Average points per match prediction is a better statistic for cross-site comparison, although still not perfect as I had no way of including group winner, top scorer and world champion predictions in the denominator (at least not without major rewriting of the Google doc), so it still skews somewhat in favour of Apolyton who had the lowest percentage of missed predictions here. Because of this issue I'd say the difference between ACS and CFC is statistically negligible. Note that I manually discounted proviisori from WPC's score as he was REALLY padding it with 52 points from 0 match predictions, but even then WPC did better than the other two sites. To be fair, with a much smaller number of players it's easier to do either really well or really poorly, had we had a few more participants the scores no doubt would've been closer.
Thanks to everyone for playing, it was fun!
![[pissed]](/images/smilies/pissed.gif "Pissed [pissed]")
