Save_Ferris
Admiring Myself
Downtown has my vote.
2012 Republican Nominee Poll IV
- Thread starter NickyJ
- Start date
NickyJ
Retired Narrator
Apparently, 85.29% of the people who voted agree with you that Romney will win.
No, it really is. Newt is going to be badly outspent, and has to go an entire month with only one debate, and with 5 more states that he is likely to get crushed in. The next two states are Nevada and Michigan right? One is FULL of Mormons, and the other is Mitt's home turf. After Newt is stomped in those two, how will he raise money?
aronnax
Let your spirit be free
If conservative voters have even a single sense in them, they'll have to nominate Romney to even get a chance of fighting Obama in the main race. Newt is far too right for him to even capture the vote of the centrist and the conservative Democrat.
However, these are American Conservatives we are talking about...
However, these are American Conservatives we are talking about...
I await, with great interest, the 3 people suggesting Ron Paul will win the nomination to post how this is possible. Even winning all the caucus states outright only gives him 451 delegates, if my math is correct. And I'm not even comfortable with that total.
He has a solid chance in Maine, probably a few in proportional-distribution states. But Nevada is a toss-up between Paul and Romney at best, he might be able to win in Washington or some other small place. But I don't see a clear route to victory. Romney has one, Gingrich kind of does if you count the rest of the South in his category (except for FL, if you think that was a fluke, and VA, where he's not on the ballot). I think he might be able to get in the 50-100 delegate range.
Right, he needs to pick up wins now, but that's not likely to happen. The next four primaries/caucuses are all states that Romney won in 2008. I'd say his best chance to win before Super Tuesday might be in Arizona, but his stances on immigration might be a wildcard there. To be frank, I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't win another state until Super Tuesday, when Georgia, Oklahoma, and Tennessee vote.
EDIT: Forgot to mention, the one thing working in his favor is the apparently short and small bounces the candidates get out of wins. So he might not lose much this next month.
Core Imposter
Felon
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Willard Mitty aka Mitt Romneyfeller can't win.
Leroy McPherson ftw.
Leroy McPherson ftw.
Yeah, I think he would have a good shot of carrying Georgia, Oklahoma and Tennessee. Arizona is even more Mormon than Nevada (where Mitt is winning by 20 points), so that might not be a good fit either. I think Mitt can count on at least 80% of the Mormon vote.
kochman
Deity
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Ask the other 1%ers that claim to represent the other 98% for an official definition...
I'd say it is a mixture of any and all things that you mentioned, none being exclusive...
Elitism is also a state of mind, sometimes. Intellectual elite are often not "rich" per se...
But, both Obama, Mitt, and pretty much everyone running for Prez are out of touch with the common man, if you ask me.
A quick check on the references indicates you are right--I didn't know there was a significant Mormon population in Arizona. I guess Newt is going to have difficulty winning anywhere before Super Tuesday.
I don't think I understood that. So ask the top 1% subset of the 99% to figure out what the official definition of elitism is for the other 1%?No disagreement there.
kochman
Deity
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That was just a tongue in cheek way of saying, ask the occupiers...
Gotcha. My reading skills don't seem to be first rate today.
GhostWriter16
Deity
I don't think everyone thinks that. Though I did sorta lie in the poll when I voted for Paul
Good things come to those who hope, right?
Not at all. I think he is going to win and am also just pleased as punch that he's gonna win. Standing with Mitt since 2008
But the real question is... is Mitt the same Mitt as in 2008?Not at all. I think he is going to win and am also just pleased as punch that he's gonna win. Standing with Mitt since 2008
I think that's pretty tenuous.
rugbyLEAGUEfan
Deity
Not really . They seem to have been quite busy over the last 3 or 4 centuries
As far as primary states go, I think Ohio is going to be the one to watch on Super Tuesday. It seems to be a pretty even toss-up between Santorum, Gingrich, and Romney now. If Gingrich can take the South states like Ohio (or Pennsylvania, but that might go to Santorum over Gingrich), he can stall up the Romney machine and make it impossible for Romney to win outright. That would mean it would be a convention battle.
