I mostly agree with your assumptions.
SonicX said:
What do you think the world map will look like in 2025, which borders will be redrawn by then, which countries unite, which parts of the world get annexed and which regions become independant ? Let's see how CFC think global issues will affect the political geography in the next 20 years
Personally :
- Palestine will get become fully independant, but with some disputed areas left in the West Bank and Golan
Possible, but Golan Heights are Syrian. Without profound change in Syria, Israel would be foolish to return them back.
- Belarus will join Russia
I think it will not. It's just a wish of Lukashenko, not liked by the people. Though he is a dictator, he needs popular support.
- Québec breaks off from Canada
They won't go this far, IMO.
- Flanders and Wallonia split in Belgium, Wallonia joins France (possibly)
Again, no break up. And even if it happened, Wallonia won't join France.
- The Ethiopian-Eritrean border will be redrawn after an open war
Minor changes, essentially exchange of few square kilometres of desert.
- India and Pakistan will reach a on Kashmir, India will stop claiming Chinese Kashmir
- Greek and Turkish Cyprus unite
Possible.
What's not going to happen in the next 20 years
- There will NOT be a Kurdish state
Well, I think we already have a semi-independent Kurdistan, it's only called Northern Iraq. After this country breaks-up after long and bloody civil war, Kurdistan will be one of the successor states.
- Western Sahara still won't be recognized
- Kosovo and Montegro won't secede from Serbia
Montenegro will definitely secede in next few years. Kosovo will be a part of Serbia
de iure, but independent
de facto.
- Chechnya and North-Ingusetia won't secede from Russia
- Abchazia won't secede from Georgia
Abchazia has already seceded, it's just that nobody had recognized that
- Somaliland won't break off from Somalia
There is no Somalia. The land which was once called "Somalia" is now an anarchic utopia.
- French Guyana will not be independant
- Puerto Rico won't become an official US state
That's right.