Hygro
soundcloud.com/hygro/
I've spent most of the past 15 years making fun the gold standard, Europeans for budget obsession, etc. In a perfect world my criticisms are correct. But in our world, it has played out horribly.
So what is hard money?
Backing money by a currency and requiring your government adhere to that physical limit? So if you ever want to exchange your money for that currency, you can do so any time at a fixed rate forcing your government.
That's basically insane. You need to increase your money as your quantity of stuff and quantity of people grow because otherwise things grind to a halt. Sure, in a perfect economy one single dollar zipping around faster than lightspeed can "pay" for everything. But practically, that "velocity of money" slows down as the quantity of money relative to the economy also gets smaller, meaning velocity never solves a shrinking or flat money supply.
It's further insane: if you don't let your government grow your money via deficits, which gold or whatever struggles to allow (your economy grows faster than you can pollute the environment finding new gold), all new money creation is create by bank loans. It's a long process but letting only private actors fund your economy means the more everyone takes out private debt, (which has to be profitable!) and the more assets rise because of the existence of more cash on hand, the more we head towards a financial crisis. Hard money, or insufficient government money has led to a lot of really horrible crises, and the only way out is soft money, at least for a while.
And we have really good examples of our quality of life improving ditching gold as an intermediary, in the mid 30s until 1948 when a powerful progressive was in charge. Not perfect. And in the gold period that followed, we were low key cheating (to beat the Soviets, to improve the welfare state, to maximize employment and economy and tech) which, when France wanted their gold, collapsed the system.
But the soft money system that followed has been a disaster. It is entirely captured by special interests, aka the rich, who have printed themselves literally trillions of free dollars. There are no consequences in real time, there's no "touching the stove" moment for US voters. They print money and call them tax cuts. They print money and call it consulting fees. They print money and call it national defense. The price of ownership: companies, houses, land, university degrees, has skyrocketed — huge inflation. They turn around and fund democracy damaging news, think tanks at an uncombatted level.
All English speaking countries are under complete media assault by this process.
Here, the executive has been overspending, but since it owns the computers that debit and credit its own accounts, it can just do that. They're overspending on their own masked national police force, and billions more for camps. It's not just holocausty, it's straight grift. Republicans used to sell out this country for a few million, wars for a few million personal gains. But they figured it out. While we argue if "MMT" is fringe or real they went "oh nice we can just cheat and nothing will happen to us" (because they figured it out as a party in the 70s, we didn't until the 2010s). They're gonna spend millions of real expenses these shoddy camps and pocket billions. And if we boot them out, they're filthy rich and allied for the next attempt.
You just couldn't do this on a gold standard because the crisis happens too fast. We're getting lucky with this Epstein thing and their unique leader is in poor health but he's also a slimy immortal lich so don't count on it. When the economy crashes, the team in power loses. The thing is, the rich are friends sort of, but they're in competition too. If someone is getting too much government money and them getting it will crash the economy when there's a run on gold, it hurts you and now you're pissed. Gold keeps them from colluding too easily.
Yes gold was coopted by the rich for the rich in other forms of debt entrapment, yes it's garbo. But we had some of our best wage gains for the bottom 80% during two gold standards, and the rich held each other in some kind of check. Even if one of those periods was literally the gilded age.
Europe has a partial solution but it's about to unravel.
In Europe they obsess over inflation and pretend its an economic problem. It's a political problem. "egg prices" the heroes say locking eyes and jump (The Other Guys spoiler, 1 min in). People hate that they make higher wages but then they can't flex around town because their servers are making more, too. And they've let us do all the defense spending. They limit money printing to 3% a year (deficit level allowed per member state). And the smart Scandinavian ones act similarly. In Sweden they give out quasi nobels to whoever can best articulate to keep spending down in fake economics.
In return, there isn't a big government grift machine to capture. There isn't runaway oligarchy creation.
Germany's about to go hard on its defense sector, and the Fox news creators of the world will eventually figure out how to worm their way in German / Swedish /
Danish etc in a meaningful way, the scales will tip and the recipients of big spending will be able to wedge into greater power as they have in the USA. We did have a 45 year head start but they aren't starting from our 1980 position, either.
It's a complex problem. Gold is so stupid. Inflation concerns are so overblown economically. But soft money was immediately hijacked by the rightwing to print trillions for the existing rich that allows trillions more of leveraged money to safely inflate their positions.
I don't think it's hopeless, but I don't see a functional replacement that doesn't use bad economic constraints or weird national myths (lies) about inflation and deficit fear mongering.
So what is hard money?
Backing money by a currency and requiring your government adhere to that physical limit? So if you ever want to exchange your money for that currency, you can do so any time at a fixed rate forcing your government.
That's basically insane. You need to increase your money as your quantity of stuff and quantity of people grow because otherwise things grind to a halt. Sure, in a perfect economy one single dollar zipping around faster than lightspeed can "pay" for everything. But practically, that "velocity of money" slows down as the quantity of money relative to the economy also gets smaller, meaning velocity never solves a shrinking or flat money supply.
It's further insane: if you don't let your government grow your money via deficits, which gold or whatever struggles to allow (your economy grows faster than you can pollute the environment finding new gold), all new money creation is create by bank loans. It's a long process but letting only private actors fund your economy means the more everyone takes out private debt, (which has to be profitable!) and the more assets rise because of the existence of more cash on hand, the more we head towards a financial crisis. Hard money, or insufficient government money has led to a lot of really horrible crises, and the only way out is soft money, at least for a while.
And we have really good examples of our quality of life improving ditching gold as an intermediary, in the mid 30s until 1948 when a powerful progressive was in charge. Not perfect. And in the gold period that followed, we were low key cheating (to beat the Soviets, to improve the welfare state, to maximize employment and economy and tech) which, when France wanted their gold, collapsed the system.
But the soft money system that followed has been a disaster. It is entirely captured by special interests, aka the rich, who have printed themselves literally trillions of free dollars. There are no consequences in real time, there's no "touching the stove" moment for US voters. They print money and call them tax cuts. They print money and call it consulting fees. They print money and call it national defense. The price of ownership: companies, houses, land, university degrees, has skyrocketed — huge inflation. They turn around and fund democracy damaging news, think tanks at an uncombatted level.
All English speaking countries are under complete media assault by this process.
Here, the executive has been overspending, but since it owns the computers that debit and credit its own accounts, it can just do that. They're overspending on their own masked national police force, and billions more for camps. It's not just holocausty, it's straight grift. Republicans used to sell out this country for a few million, wars for a few million personal gains. But they figured it out. While we argue if "MMT" is fringe or real they went "oh nice we can just cheat and nothing will happen to us" (because they figured it out as a party in the 70s, we didn't until the 2010s). They're gonna spend millions of real expenses these shoddy camps and pocket billions. And if we boot them out, they're filthy rich and allied for the next attempt.
You just couldn't do this on a gold standard because the crisis happens too fast. We're getting lucky with this Epstein thing and their unique leader is in poor health but he's also a slimy immortal lich so don't count on it. When the economy crashes, the team in power loses. The thing is, the rich are friends sort of, but they're in competition too. If someone is getting too much government money and them getting it will crash the economy when there's a run on gold, it hurts you and now you're pissed. Gold keeps them from colluding too easily.
Yes gold was coopted by the rich for the rich in other forms of debt entrapment, yes it's garbo. But we had some of our best wage gains for the bottom 80% during two gold standards, and the rich held each other in some kind of check. Even if one of those periods was literally the gilded age.
Europe has a partial solution but it's about to unravel.
In Europe they obsess over inflation and pretend its an economic problem. It's a political problem. "egg prices" the heroes say locking eyes and jump (The Other Guys spoiler, 1 min in). People hate that they make higher wages but then they can't flex around town because their servers are making more, too. And they've let us do all the defense spending. They limit money printing to 3% a year (deficit level allowed per member state). And the smart Scandinavian ones act similarly. In Sweden they give out quasi nobels to whoever can best articulate to keep spending down in fake economics.
In return, there isn't a big government grift machine to capture. There isn't runaway oligarchy creation.
Germany's about to go hard on its defense sector, and the Fox news creators of the world will eventually figure out how to worm their way in German / Swedish /
Danish etc in a meaningful way, the scales will tip and the recipients of big spending will be able to wedge into greater power as they have in the USA. We did have a 45 year head start but they aren't starting from our 1980 position, either.
It's a complex problem. Gold is so stupid. Inflation concerns are so overblown economically. But soft money was immediately hijacked by the rightwing to print trillions for the existing rich that allows trillions more of leveraged money to safely inflate their positions.
I don't think it's hopeless, but I don't see a functional replacement that doesn't use bad economic constraints or weird national myths (lies) about inflation and deficit fear mongering.