Australian Labor implode.

/facepalm
 
It's on!

After days of speculation, Mr Rudd confirmed he would face off with his political enemy and former deputy saying the public no longer ''trusted'' Ms Gillard.

He took a swipe at the factions of the Labor party and said MPs should not have to ''live in fear'' and made reference to the ''outside forces'' controlling the ballot so far.

Fairfax's latest count of Labor MPs and their voting intentions has the Prime Minister holding her ground, two to one against Mr Rudd.

Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/po...-leadership-20120224-1tret.html#ixzz1nGhNa7yj
 
Still the republic option! Hereditary privelege is daft.

And moreover, even the indirect election model proposed used a two-thirds majority of both houses. That's 151 MPs. Even in the most landslide election you're not going to have a single party have a 151 member caucus (thank you, proportional representation in the Senate).

That means it has to be a consensus candidate, not a "old hack of a politician". Currently the governor general is chosen by one MP out of 150 in the lower house. The republican model would be a big improvement on that.

Moreover, given the 2-thirds majority requirement and the ability of the public to nominate candidates to be put to parliament, you can't even prove the candidates would be politicans as opposed to judges or activists or other serious public figures.

But let's assume it is former politicans being chosen. It's all well and good to go "ooohh politicans suck" like reflexive cynicism makes you clever and insightful. But here's the thing: if the nominees were politicians, at least there'd some merit and democracy behind why they were considered prominent and popular and cross-partisan enough to be considered viable candidates. And at least they'd be chosen by 151 MPs rather than just one like currently.

Reflexive cynicism is a great weapon for we monarchists as it automatically puts the punters against the idea of a group of grubby politicians choosing their head of state.

Howard was a case in point, he wanted the president chosen by parliament and the Aus voters did not trust him/them.

Besides any Republican supporting voters who do not demand the right to vote directly for their president are hardly upholding the ideals of democracy.
 
Yeah all those democracies with republics where the ceremonial president isn't directly elected, what do they know?
 
I dunno that Germany really changed its constitution in an orderly manner the last time around.
 
Hahaha on the eve of the spill Morgan has Labor up 3% and LNP down 3% on primaries
 
Yeah all those democracies with republics where the ceremonial president isn't directly elected, what do they know?

Oh,you mean like the German president, pity he had to resign.

Aussie voters will change to trust their well thought of politicians to select their head of state instead of them choosing him, hmm, when will Aussies start thinking a lot of their politicians ?
 
Kevin Rudd is no the Messiah, he's just a naughty boy. Well Julia won very convincingly over Rudd in one of the largest margins for a long time.

Surprising, some Labor types are saying there is nothing Rudd can do, well unlike most Labor types he is a wealthy man and does not need his MPs salary.
Him pulling the nuclear option and resigning his seat means a by-election and the Seat going to the coalition .
 
Hahaha on the eve of the spill Morgan has Labor up 3% and LNP down 3% on primaries

Most of that analysis (and from other polls too) would've been over a week ago before the spill announcement.

Here's an interesting article at ABC about what the consolidated polls tell us: http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/content/2012/s3439649.htm

ANDREW CATSARAS: Well since the last election there's been three phases in the polling. From the election to the end of 2010, not a lot happened it was basically the status quo. Then in February 2011 when the Government made the announcement that it was going to price carbon, the ALP vote slid dramatically and the Coalition vote increased dramatically.

And that continued right up until the middle of the year when in July the Government actually made its carbon price policy announcement. And then since that time, the gap between the two parties has narrowed from the 16 points that it was in the middle of the year to the eight points it currently is now.

This has been pretty clear, but time will tell if the current Govt can maintain the recent trend. I bet they're regretting giving the coalition so much campaign material over the last week.
 
Did anyone notice how this whole thing came to a head at about the same time Channel 7 started screening their much-hyped new flagship drama Revenge?

Kevin seems to have a chummy relationship with the team from Sunrise, so I wonder if the challenge occured at this particular time by design because it was of maximum mutual benefit to Rudd, who really just wanted revenge and knew that he didn't stand a chance of winning the leadership ballot, and Channel 7 who wanted an extra boost in the new ratings season?
 
Um. Probably not.

For one thing, the challenge came before Rudd was ready, their hand was forced by the news that Gillard was planning to sack Rudd.

Also that's kinda crazy.
 
Um. Probably not.

For one thing, the challenge came before Rudd was ready, their hand was forced by the news that Gillard was planning to sack Rudd.

Also that's kinda crazy.

She could only sack him from the cabinet right? He quit his ministerial post anyway and he doesn't seem nearly as upset this time as he was about losing PM. Besides, how well would Gillard sacking Rudd go down with the electorate? The fallout from that could have been worse for Gillard and Labour than what we're seeing now (and Rudd might have responded by challenging Gillard for the leadership anyway, or a Rudd ally might have renounced support for the minority government leading to an early election).

Rudd may be egotistical, but I think he would also be smart enough to realise that he had no chance of taking back the leadership until after the next election, and even then only if Labour lost decisively. If he was able to accept the fact that he wasn't going to regain the leadership anytime soon, then imo he still would have been quite satisfied with severely hampering the chances of Gillard and co winning the next election and providing the Coalition with a wealth of material to use in campaign ads. If Labour does get decisively defeated at the next election (i.e. partly as a result of the past week's events) the it will be more likely that the Labour party will want to replace Gillard with someone who can restore Labour's standing i.e. Rudd.

It's not as crazy as it first seems. Media and political interests collude all the time, and both are ultimately in the business of trying to sell things to people and manipulate peoples' perceptions of reality (i.e. rather than helping them make informed rational decisions based on the truth). It would make sense to them to work together in cases where they can find mutual benefit in under-handed arrangements.
 
There's a massive difference between colluding with the media to orchestrate a leak or feed them a story and organising the fight of your political life to serve as a cross-promotional venture.
 
Mehh.
 
I'd love to be a fly on the wall of the next Labor caucus meeting. Me thinks shouting at Julia be the game.

But this whole Bob Carr farce shows how pathetic she is. She lies, she's weak, and she's going to be gone.

It's such a shame there's no party that deserves to lead.
 
'Weak' would be an interesting word to use to describe this, though. I mean, if her colleagues were against it, how is it weak leadership to maintain her prerogative in picking the cabinet? I bet there'd be a chorus claiming she's weak if Stephen Smith had got the job.

Will be interesting to see what impact bringing in a reasonably popular statesman of the party (who happens to be a symbol of party stability) will have. A cynic might be forgiven for thinking this means one extra competitor in the run up to the next federal election.
 
Not sure why people are acting like it's a scandal, it's not like it's dodgy or he's unqualified.
 
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