To: the Franco-Burgundian Confederation
From: the Commonwealth of Flanders
The European consensus, the peace that both your nation and our own have yearned for, is almost at hand. The Confederation is on the wrong side in this case, however. What we see as a misdirected sense of honor has kept you from joining the other free nations of Europe in opposing, in absolute terms Russia's actions. Your alliance with Russia is, in our eyes, destabilizing Europe, as it gives Russia the ability to act with a certain level of impunity. We urge you to join the rest of Europe in opposing Russia so that we may have the true peace which we have declared our commitment to through our membership in the League of Continental Nations.
You are quite mistaken. A European consensus is no consensus if it excludes Russia: the European consensus is by its nature broken already, and a European consensus that tries to include Britain will never be a true consensus, as long as Britain maintains in principle its interventionism on the continent and its backing of Brazil's absurd actions, both of which you merely deceive yourself if you do not see as serious obstacles to a consensus. In any case, a consensus on a single point is not some sort of panacea for Europe's ills: a wide-based consensus on multiple issues is the aim, and if we merely create an artificial consensus by directing Europe's whole capacity for hatred and ire at Russia it will get us nowhere except blinding us to all other threats and wrongs dealth out by other nations - which, although not so very severe as Russia's, should not be ignored in the name of an artificial consensus. We look forward to a day when true consensus may be found and policy may be decided on my agreement, and not by British coercion - which unfortunately is not now, because Russia and Britain's policies preclude such consensus.
Furthermore, our alliance gives Russia not impunity, but less impunity as it gives us something to threaten them with; we have given the world our word that we do not support Russia in cases of Russian aggression, and so our alliance with Russia makes it likely that Russia will not attack anyone, but will rather wait until such a point as Britain decides to make its move and act aggressively itself: and by this sort of waiting, it is highly likely that there will be no war as long as diplomatic circumstances remain as they are. If we leave Russia, what end is there in sight but that there will be a war as soon as Russia displays a momentary weakness? or as soon as Russia refuses to pay 150EP reparations to Azerbaijan that were demanded for no very good reason? Our position is to resist aggression as we see it: that position is the one that is truly the right way to urge the balance of power and to maintain the continuation of peace in Europe.
As long as the Confederation stands, anyone who breaks the Continental peace will suffer for it, and thus we will not commit ourselves to a stance of opposition to Russia unless to do so secures the European peace even more solidly, which, as far as we can see, it does not. If we abandoned our Russian alliance, we would have to take a stance that lessened our ability to prevent the outbreak of a devastating war across all Europe, and we will
not lessen our ability to prevent war in such a fashion.
Look at the likely practical consequences of us abandoning our Russian alliance and allying ourselves on meagre terms with the Germans. In your hearts, tell us, would they be good? Of course not; we would be clearing the way not for peace, but for the British and Germans to do precisely what they like.
As we said before, you are entitled to your opinion and we look on it warmly as the advice of a friend, but we do not share it.
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The Scandinavia matter is a key example of the above policy - in the shape of our role in bringing about the Brazzaville Accords - achieving very considerable and practical success, and we look forward to similar successes in future turns. We will certainly not flinch from acting in an unpopular manner if it saves thousands of lives in this fashion.