"Collapse" by Jared Diamond

Except standard of living can increase without (necessarily) needing the same level of resources.

True, a lot of Westerners are ridiculously inefficient. I guess this depends on what you mean by standard of living. I am talking about daily needed calories, protein, nutrition, water, and energy to cook and power things like lightbulbs and a TV or radio or even a computer... nothing extravagant but something akin to a middle class westerner.

I don't know... I am not an expert in this field (what field would this be anyway?) but it seems like it would require a lot more resources to bring one person up from a 3rd world lifestyle to a 1st world lifestyle, if we are going by current standards in technology and how people get their food and electricity, etc. etc. Do you think it is currently possible to do this without increasing ones "footprint?"
 
Yeah, some of the things he lists doesn't seem right. The Greenland Norse collapsed more because of environmental change (Little Ice Age),

?? He acknowledged this, but also notes that soil erosion was a big factor too.


Rwanda because of ethnic strife (very common cause of civil wars, insurrections, coups, revolts, regional wars, etc. throughout history), not because there were too many people ( :confused: ).

Although he acknowledged ethnic strife, the argument he lay forth was quite convincing, especially since something like 30% of hutus were massacred by other Hutus.
 
I agree. The man knew what he was talking about, unlike some "diamonds" out there... Everyone should read Gibbon.
Does nobody read what I say? Gibbon is a waste of your time. His analysis has been long since superseded. Blaming the destruction of the Roman Empire on Christianity and 'moral degeneracy' (whatever the devil that is) was the intellectually dishonest act of a bitter old fat man. Blaming the ultimate collapse on the cumulative impact of the Volkerwanderung is better.
 
Collapse makes perfect sense. You never actually give specific arguments against it...
Which, the Diamond book (about which I didn't really say anything) or the Gibbon book?
 
The Diamond book.
Ah. Well, I'm fine with it being applied macrohistorically, but on smaller scales, like the ones I most often deal with, it's not that helpful.
 
Although he acknowledged ethnic strife, the argument he lay forth was quite convincing, especially since something like 30% of hutus were massacred by other Hutus.

Don't forget that Diamond acknowledges that these environmental conditions also helped lead to the strife and ethnic cleansing.
 
We already have insufficient resources to make everyone living in the world comparable to your average 1st world lifestyle. If everyone stopped having babies right now we still wouldn't have enough to bring, say, China up to the standard of living of the US. I doubt there is any increase in current efficiency standards that could make this workable. (And I don't know what you mean by "substitution", I know jack about economics lingo).

As for the future, making people free and prosperous and informed requires food money and energy. Getting them there requires more, and once people are "free and prosperous and informed" they generally demand more stuff. Same problem.

With method 1 you still need more resources than we currently have. Certainly family planning is one absolutely necessary piece of the puzzle, but it is one facet of a general approach across the board.

(I agree with you that we are not talking about the end of the human race here; but certainly a very large and very dramatic catastrophe is possible in the next 50-100 years, which could be even worse if we also have rising sea levels and desertification.)

The missing piece is that our current standards of living, or something pretty much link it, does not actually require the level of resources that we consume. We just happen to consume in America in an extremely inefficient manner. Particularly with energy, but also subsidies to agriculture and sprawl.
 
True, a lot of Westerners are ridiculously inefficient. I guess this depends on what you mean by standard of living. I am talking about daily needed calories, protein, nutrition, water, and energy to cook and power things like lightbulbs and a TV or radio or even a computer... nothing extravagant but something akin to a middle class westerner.

I don't know... I am not an expert in this field (what field would this be anyway?) but it seems like it would require a lot more resources to bring one person up from a 3rd world lifestyle to a 1st world lifestyle, if we are going by current standards in technology and how people get their food and electricity, etc. etc. Do you think it is currently possible to do this without increasing ones "footprint?"

Well, not everyone could eat as much meat as we do. But electricity is something we can generate much more of, and so things like A/C or computers become more possible for more of the world.

A great way to restrict footprint is to actually set aside wild lands or waters. For most of the world, this would mean that they need to become more efficient with the land they're using so that they can 'draw back' from the encroachment.

So, maybe not everyone can drive their cars for long distances. Or eat as much meat as we do. But quality of life can be drastically increased not only here, but elsewhere.
 
aelf
The mantra one more time, eh?

Why is a fact a mantra? If you cant get a simple point into yer head, I gotta keep repeating it until you actually address it, you dont ... as I'll show now.

I was referring to this:

There is plenty to say. For starters, there are still physical limits to how much resources there are.

So what? So what? Thats my next mantra... Finite resources dont mean we aren't capable of living far beyond local environmental conditions. We're doing it now...

And we require A LOT at this rate, as well as many varieties of them at the same time.

And those needs are being met much easier because of modern technology and trade. Past civilizations collapsing due to local environmental limitations didn't have our advantages and could not live far beyond local environmental conditions. You keep calling this a mantra but you keep ignoring it and arguing against yer conveniently idiotic strawmen.

How do we replace them quickly enough, even with new discoveries and innovations? If we can't, it means we are simply stripping the earth of resources - i.e. pillaging.

Oh, "pillaging" now means using resources? :rolleyes: Nothing you've said refutes my "mantra". You're just telling me we're gonna run out of resources. Like I said we had infinite resources? No, I said modern technology and trade allows for civilizations to live far beyond their local environmental limits. Much moreso than past civilizations that collapsed because they lacked the trade/resources to overcome an environmental deficit. For all this "mantra" nonsense, you still dont know what I said.

These facts are so obvious that I'm amazed at how many dreamers there are in this world who don't want to admit this. I suppose people like to live in denial. And you have not answered the point about the earth being ultimately a single locality. It's okay, I know there isn't any response that you can give.

Where did I say we have unlimited resources? Oh, I'm ignoring obvious "facts" - your facts aint relevant to what I said. Here's what I said:

Modern technology and trade allows civilizations to live far beyond the limits imposed by the local environment, luxuries many past civilizations lacked.

And yer response?

Resources are limited and being pillaged

boo hoo, the "pillaging" of those resources allow civilizations to live far beyond the local environmental limits. You even said it yerself, so what are you arguing about?

Also, don't be fooled into thinking that nature isn't a resource. Destroying nature is destroying our life support.

Just one cliche after the next

That, and what I said about merely moving resources from one place to another in the case of desert cities - you aren't actually creating resources in doing so.

So what (even if true, desert cities dont develop resources?). Seriously, what are you arguing against? I said the movement of those resources allows desert cities to live far beyond their local environmental limits. You seem to disagree but then all you do is repeat my explanation as to why they live beyond those limits now. Yeah, trade allows people to live in more hostile environments. I know that, I said it already and you're just repeating it.

Creating resources is impossible anytime soon anyway; you can only find more, and that is still subject to actual physical limits.

Thats nice, and still irrelevant to what I said. Do you understand that? And whether or not we can create resources (the human mind is our greatest resource), the resources are there to be "pillaged". We dont have to create them, we have to create ways of exploiting them. Some day we'll be using the Sun much more for energy, even the wind.
 
While I don't fully agree with Aelf, you're not adressing his point: Las Vegas is indeed a good example of how we can overcome local challenges.

That was my point damnit! ;)

However, human society has become so extensive and complex that what used to apply only to small scale locales (e.g. easter island), might now be applicable to the entire globe.

That was my point damnit! Well, the globe AND local environments. Today Easter Island can import trees and if they had those extensive trade routes like we have today, they wouldn't have needed to cut down the trees they did have. They lived beyond that specific resource - a local environmental limit - and didn't have the trade networks to overcome the problem.

We're not deforesting an island; we're having a significant impact on total amount of rainforest globally. We're not just threathening one species of fish in one place, we're threatening many, world wide. We're significantly affecting the composition of the global atmosphere.

Yeah, we're using resources. Why is this relevant to what I've been saying?

Now it's all nice that Las Vegas can get its water from somewhere (there's no denying that large scale interbasin water transfers are unsustainibe by the way), but where are we going to get a new atmosphere? New tropical rainforests?

We're transferring so much water from the Colorado Plateau the Colorado River doesn't even make it to the Sea. Yer overstating the importance of the tropical rainforest, but if thats a valuable resource then we'll be saving tropical rainforest at some point. For all the trees we've cut down, has O2 levels dropped? Not that I know...

Your argument that technological progress might alleviate these problems still stand, and is very significant if you ask me. Trade however, is not going to solve many of the problems we're facing, and I think that might be what Aelf is trying to point out.

Has alleviated these problems. As for aelf, have fun thinking for him :)
 
:lol:

First world would simply close borders and let the loosers die. Do you really think that Europeans, Americans or ( :lol: ) Japanese would allow tens of millions of poor refugees in their countries?

Not all of them, but enough of them. Of course, using refugees for militaristic purposes would become more fashionable.
 
I agree. The man knew what he was talking about, unlike some "diamonds" out there... Everyone should read Gibbon.
Is Diamond a Muslim or something, and no-one told me?
 
I thought he was a Jew.
I thought Panny only hated Muslims? Is he learning to diversify? I heard he was a Jew too, which is why I was wondering where the hate was coming from.
 
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