- US would have any unsinkable carrier, its airforce would rely purely on carrier aviation (which means no F-22's, F-117's), which would be badly outnumbered by European airforce
Incorrect for the following reasons. In-air refueling. Those aircraft can be refueled in flight and thus can still strike from far beyond their usual operational range. We could 'procure' an unsinkable carrier in several ways, like taking the Azores, Iceland, or even one of the North African areas. We would not have to only rely on carrier aviation, and chances are excellent we could take and hold areas which would give our air power strike range on EU soil without in-air refueling.
- No large scale strategic bombing of the EU infrastructure and industry would happen. As Hotpoint said, there is too much targets here. Even if cruise missiles couldn't be intercepted, US simply wouldn't be able to launch enough of them to cause serious harm to critical European industry. Strategic bombers would be all intercepted and destroyed, sooner or later. Moreover, the strategic industry could be moved to Central pr Eastern Europe, far from the coasts.
Wrong again for the following reasons. B-2 Spirit bombers and tomahawk missiles would get the job done. No 'large scale' needed due to modern techonolgy, and precision guided munitions. You are also incorrect about interrupting industry. We dont have to interrupt all of it, just key portions of it, just like how ballbearings and railroads were hit in WW II. We would find your weak link and exploit it.
Moving it is not a solution either. Pretty much every bridge in Europe would be gone in the first week, and any major highway hit as well. For an EU already behind in military production, attempting to move such industry during wartime is a losing deal.
- US invasion force would have to cross the whole Atlantic ocean before landing in Europe. This would be a logictical nightmare. Even if the US succeeded, this invasion force would be quickly destroyd by European ground troops, which were designed to repel much stronger and more massive Soviet/Warsaw pact invasion. There is no chance at all that a force about 10 times smaller would successfuly take ground in Europe.
The Americans are masters of logistics. And again, no...a landing force would not even be attempted till we had air superiority. As I have shown earlier we have a comfortable 2+:1 advantage in air superiority aircraft, we would be able to project enough air power and force engagements not favorable to the EU. Also, any projected landing area would be isolated in that all major supply routes, bridges, and highways would be destroyed in order to ensure reinforcements would have a hard time even getting to our forces. Considering these facts our force would not be '10 times smaller' at all.
You EU people are funny. You seem to think you will (a) all work together as a cohesive force....chances are you wont. (b) you seem to think all the EU countries will response at once to an landing in spain for example like it was a Sunday afternoon drive to get there. It wont.
Most likely if such a war were to actually break out, I am willing to bet a rough third of the nations forming the EU would immediately back out of the union and let the others fend for themselves. Ergo, why would a front line country like spain risk their country being destroyed (and it would) for the sake of Germany or Italy? Chances are they wouldnt.
- US would be alone, with no Russia diverting European forces elsewhere. Also, it would have no superiority in numbers or production.
Russia isnt part of the EU. Why wouldnt they still be a threat? And I remind you, even alone, the USA has a lot more going for it than the entire EU.
Conclusion: the chance of the US successfuly invading Europe under these circumstances is very low, less than 10%
Well, as a military professional, I directly disagree with you. You utterly disregard how fragile the EU is currently. You utterly disgard our troops veteran/battle trained status. You utterly disregard our superiority in the air. You utterly disregard our ability to hit targets with precision munitions deep into EU territory thus interrupting your road, commerce and industry.