Basically. Facebook won the social networking battle the way Google won search engines. Without a major social-tech change involving our cell phones facebook isn't going anywhere.
A few years ago, everyone I knew had a hi5 account. It was the most popular social networking site, and then Facebook came. I guess the same will happen over time, a new site with better content or new ideas will come, and Facebook will die off, if it doesn't evolve.
Basically. Facebook won the social networking battle the way Google won search engines. Without a major social-tech change involving our cell phones facebook isn't going anywhere.
Then again, anyone who goes to gigs can testify: the iPhone user at the concert: when seeing your favourite band isn't enough, so instead of watching them they take pictures and Facebook it to show off.
I mean, I know music isn't really for listening to anymore, right? I tried it once - took a few shots at an STS9 show I saw in Chicago earlier this year - and was so consumed by guilt that I had to go to confession on the way home.
On-topic, yes, Facebook is a website. I'm amazed people use it, but hey! Everyone must know what you bought at S-Mart and that your baby pooped! Presumably that urge toward "self-voyeurism" won't go away anytime soon (people now think it's normal to share every boring moment of their boring day) but yes, a new website might displace Facebook. I think 3 years is overly optimistic, though.
Then again, anyone who goes to gigs can testify: the iPhone user at the concert: when seeing your favourite band isn't enough, so instead of watching them they take pictures and Facebook it to show off.
The weakness of any website is that it's not tangible. It's just text and images on a computer screen and can be replaced or outdone by a competing rival. It's a super risky investment and it's why I believe it's insane for investors like Goldman Sachs to put in $450 million for a small percentage of ownership.
OSes are not tangible, they are just text and images, graphical interfaces and can be outdone and replaced by competing rivals. Buying Microsoft shares is a bad idea.
Sure, but I mean that it's not to be categorized with fad sites that get replaced by others of the exact same type, like friendster and to a lesser but full extent myspace.
It's over-valued by investors. It draws a lot of people in but some people get bored with it after a while. My facebook feed seems more like ad space than a social network.
Facebook won't go away any time soon. We're in 2011 now, not 2005, '06, or '07 - Facebook is much more established now than MySpace or Hi5 or other similar sites were then when they began to fail. People have years of photos and messages and groups on the site that can't simply be ditched because they don't like the newest redesign or what other users are posting.
That doesn't mean that the site won't stagnate, or considerable amounts of users won't collectively lose interest and slash the amount of time they spend on Facebook. But I doubt that the site will ever be massively abandoned, by today's generations at least.
1. Because idiots pay real money for a few easily forgotten bits and bytes to send to their friends on facebook. Some of those friends are on my friends-list. For now.
2. Because Facebook is lying to me and everyone else and will be selling our personal information to the highest bidder. So I don't put up to much personal information.
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