Well thought out post John
Well, I don't think that the "South" is the same place that it was 150 years ago.
Agreed. A new 'Confederacy' might have new core states, and old ones may stay with the Union if the seperation were taking place today.
New Orleans, for its part, would be far better off under the Federal Gov't.
Theoretically but seriously, from what we've seen so far, maybe thats not true at all. Theres no doubt though that there would be few if any funds available to save New Orleans in currents location.
However, if you look at the flow of money in the United States, it is the northern states and the western states that have the money and the "South" that is constantly drawing it in.
Agreed.
The "South", as it is today, cannot exist in its current state without the financial support of the rest of the country. Texas is somewhat of an exception to that rule, but just barely, and it cannot support the rest of the "South" on its own.
Agreed again.
However, some of the most important issues should that situation arise...
The fate of the US Naval Station at Mayport and King's Bay (South) which host some of America's nuclear ballistic missile fleet and other naval and marine stations, such as Paris Island MRD. There are many airbases and army bases that are vital to national defense that would be affected. The "South" would be probably be far too poor to sustain any significant military so it would go north.
You raise an important issue, the nuclear assets. That could be a thorny issue. but if the former Soviet states could come up with an amicable solution to the problem, I suppose we could too.
The new, long border becomes an issue. Does it get fortified?
Would that really be necessary? Im not talking about a new Civil War, merely a Civil Disunion. A peaceful, mutual decision to separate. We would definitely be rivals, but wouldnt have to be enemies.
I think that in the end, a Northern Union would be far more powerful and dangerous than the current United States.
The Union would be a lean, mean Liberal machine, yes, but why do you think we'd be more 'dangerous'?
The Confederate States would be much poorer than they are today, yes. But theyd be free to pursue their conservative agenda without encumbrance from the North, and the Union would be free to pursue its Liberal one. No more dysfunctional fighting and bickering between the Mommy Party and the Daddy Party. Free at last!