I disagree. Bush has not "lost" a military campaign yet, he has just failed to meet certain critical objectives. In all cases, there was initial stunning success (the initial combat operations in both Iraq and Afghanistan were, frankly, brilliant). The military aspect is not where Bush suffers, it is the political aspect. In that way, he is the exact
opposite of Thlayli.
George W. Bush would be somebody who frequently wins wars, yet is disliked and ultimately perhaps isolated or destroyed due to his inability to politically connect. That description fits none of the people who have been nominated (or volunteered) for it, except perhaps Darkening's performance in Segu, which is too small a sample to make a total judgment off of.
On that note, I still don't see what makes me Lincoln. At all.

Man was far too unsure of himself and eloquent. Now, if William Tecumseh Sherman had been a President... but alas.