Boomers: The Evil Generation!

If demand is much bigger as your supply capacity... which happens in war industry... your economy can grow like cabbage
 
I suppose you're too young to remember its successes in the Depression and the Second World War ;)

It is an interesting breakdown of nationalizing some things and being a major first customer for others.

We also have to factor in technological leaps at the time. It's not easy to do, but there is a lot of useful information in the pre-war and peri-war economic data

If you ever come across a good lecture on this topic please, please, absolutely remember to bring it to my attention. There is a lot to unpack in that entire story that is super useful in my opinion
 
Yes I know, but you asked

So I was just suggesting that we were ALL too young to remember. You must learn to be more specific. :p

I was just riffing on the implication that only clueless kids who don't know any better could possibly have a different opinion.

The real point here is that planning is essentially an inevitability in a complex modern economy. The question is in whose benefit planning takes place. Corporations plan the economy notionally for the benefit of their shareholders. The Communist Parties in China and the USSR planned the economy notionally for the benefit of all, but in practice often for the benefit of a connected elite. Democratic governments have planned in the interests of all their citizens from time to time.

To characterize Soviet central planning as a "failure" when it transformed the Soviet state from an agrarian backwater to an industrial superpower capable of resisting the Nazi invasion within about ten years is...strange, tbh. And postwar Soviet planning was surely riddled with corruption and inefficiency, yet the supposedly spontaneous market order that replaced that planning has resulted in a catastrophic collapse in living standards for people living in the countries that once made up the Soviet Union. So I think it is hard to argue that Soviet economic planning was a "failure" or at least, that it was more of a failure than the neoliberal 'shock therapy' alternative that was actually implemented.

Of course, this may beg a question. I am using the welfare of all people in the country as the measure of "success", but other people may feel the welfare of corporate shareholders is more important than the welfare of the population at large.

If demand is much bigger as your supply capacity... which happens in war industry... your economy can grow like cabbage

I'm not using economic growth as a measure of success, I'm using winning the war as a measure of success. Americans take government inefficiency as an article of faith and fail to realize that on an objective, resource-based view, the period when the federal government assumed near-total control of the economy, and coordinated virtually all economic activity with the goal of defeating the Axis, was actually the most "efficient" period in the entire history of the country. That is for example the only time in US history that we've had genuine full employment.
 
If the people who would have been working for private business moved to government would their brains be removed first.

As other people have noted government planning worked well in WW2. Centralised government planning does not work as well local planning but that applies as well to centralised corporate planning.

Industries nationalised in the UK after the war tended to keep exactly the same managers and be run in the same way (including how they treated workers) as before they were nationalised. I have little to no faith in state control as a way of socialising the economy.
 
If the people who would have been working for private business moved to government would their brains be removed first.

Someone posted this article here a while back and I thought it was really interesting.
https://www.theguardian.com/news/20...ide-story-of-trumps-shambolic-transition-team

I suggest folks read it again. I think it contains a lot of information that can serve as a useful counterweight to this "governments don't know how to do stuff" idea.

For example:
Every year the Sammies – as Stier called them, in honour of his original patron – attracted a few more celebrities and a bit more media attention. And every year, the list of achievements was mind-blowing. A guy in the energy department (Frazer Lockhart) organised the first successful cleanup of a nuclear weapons factory, in Rocky Flats, Colorado, and had brought it in 60 years early and $30bn under budget. A woman at the Federal Trade Commission (Eileen Harrington) had built the Do Not Call Registry, which spared the entire country from trillions of irritating sales pitches. A National Institutes of Health researcher (Steven Rosenberg) had pioneered immunotherapy, which had successfully treated previously incurable cancers. There were hundreds of fantastically important success stories in the US government. They just never got told.

or

The new people taking over the job of running the government were at best only partially informed, and often deeply suspicious, of whatever happened to be going on before they arrived. By the time they fully grasped the problems they were dealing with, it was time to go. “It’s Groundhog Day,” said Stier. “The new people come in and think that the previous administration and the civil service are lazy or stupid. Then they actually get to know the place they are managing. And when they leave they say: ‘This was a really hard job, and those are the best people I’ve ever worked with.’ This happens over and over and over.”

Centralised government planning does not work as well local planning but that applies as well to centralised corporate planning.

This is very true, which is why I'm in favor of policies that do involve actual government planning being administered at the local level while being funded at the federal level.

I have little to no faith in state control as a way of socialising the economy.

So you're indifferent to efforts to privatize the NHS :confused:
 
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Central planning is usually no different as you pointed out. In general, those that plan are planning for themselves, regardless of who they are. I'm not saying that it means the planning will be ineffective.
 
I'm not using economic growth as a measure of success, I'm using winning the war as a measure of success. Americans take government inefficiency as an article of faith and fail to realize that on an objective, resource-based view, the period when the federal government assumed near-total control of the economy, and coordinated virtually all economic activity with the goal of defeating the Axis, was actually the most "efficient" period in the entire history of the country. That is for example the only time in US history that we've had genuine full employment.

ok, understand what you did mean now

That is for example the only time in US history that we've had genuine full employment.

This is of the utmost importance
My baby boomer youth, the whole period I was at primary and secundary school, the unemployment rate here in NL was on average 1.7%.
A lot of interference of the government as well.
The idea of not being able to get a job was not there. Everybody worked.

It feels good and it delivers economy growth. Both.
 
This is of the utmost importance
My baby boomer youth, the whole period I was at primary and secundary school, the unemployment rate here in NL was on average 1.7%.
The idea of not being able to get a job was not there. Everybody worked.

It feels good and it delivers economy growth. Both.

I agree completely. I think full employment policy ought to be the number one priority of every liberal, leftist, progressive, or whatever in the United States (and elsewhere of course, but you know what I mean).

A great post about it imo:
45191630_10218426930564973_3519469349653970944_n.jpg
 
....and as if on cue, The Baffler puts out a piece on exactly this subject.
https://thebaffler.com/latest/stick...JHlhjnpeFug5UAS8eLJ0g1MxkgrbAXP6oOYWZ6DAq9yTQ

The opening sentences:
WHAT DO JEFF BEZOS AND JOSEPH STALIN have in common? A certain supervillain chic. Cold-blooded austerity. Iron discipline. A penchant for back-breaking output targets. A healthy appetite for terror.

Yet perhaps their most surprising overlap is that the General Secretary and the chairman of Amazon, Inc. built two of history’s largest centrally planned economies.
 
Which one do you think benefited more from their actions?
 
Which one do you think benefited more from their actions?

Impossible to say. Bezos is richer but Stalin probably had more power, and by all indications Stalin liked power better than wealth or comfort.
 
So you're indifferent to efforts to privatize the NHS :confused:

No, but the NHS continues to be a far from model employer.
However public services like education and healthcare are different to industry. They've always benefited from greater public support and taken unfair advantage of the dedication of their employees

All to often the industries nationalised were in a poor state prior to nationalisation like the railways and the car industry. They were then starved of investment or used as cash cows. They never managed to inspire a sense of being the peoples or the workers in the general public or their employees. Both Labour and Conservatives showed little sense of having any vision or long term plan. I'd rather see worker representation & ownership schemes in existing companies and improving the legal and tax status of cooperatives so that they aren't at a disadvantage compared to limited and public companies.
 
Yeah, while Jeff has more money which translates into a lot of influence, I'm sure it's harder for him to just have his competition outfight killed.
 
No, but the NHS continues to be a far from model employer.
However public services like education and healthcare are different to industry. They've always benefited from greater public support and taken unfair advantage of the dedication of their employees

All to often the industries nationalised were in a poor state prior to nationalisation like the railways and the car industry. They were then starved of investment or used as cash cows. They never managed to inspire a sense of being the peoples or the workers in the general public or their employees. Both Labour and Conservatives showed little sense of having any vision or long term plan. I'd rather see worker representation & ownership schemes in existing companies and improving the legal and tax status of cooperatives so that they aren't at a disadvantage compared to limited and public companies.

Fair enough. I suppose for me the issue with nationalizing companies or industries is not how they treat their employees but rather how the industry interacts with the rest of the economy. I view nationalization as a tool that mainly works not to democratize the workings of a particular industry or firm but to stop monopolists from extorting everyone else.

For example I favor limited nationalization of banking in the US (basically, I would like to see a public entity handle the payments system and allow for every American to have a checking account without having to pay for it) not because I think the employees would necessarily be treated better by a public entity but because I think carrying out those functions of banking for private profit is unfair to everyone else who has to do business with a bank.

That isn't to say I don't care about the employment relations/working conditions stuff but it just isn't really what I'm thinking about when the subject of nationalization comes up. I favor workplace democracy and "management by consent of the managed" in pretty much every case.
 
....and as if on cue, The Baffler puts out a piece on exactly this subject.
https://thebaffler.com/latest/stick...JHlhjnpeFug5UAS8eLJ0g1MxkgrbAXP6oOYWZ6DAq9yTQ

The opening sentences:

Also in that article the increasing power of AI software able to do more complicated planning.

Reliable forecasting, leading to rewarding planning is key to allocate resources. People and money.
Do be aware it is a top-down machine, only much better "informed" in an systematic way.
This AI will generate a real change... for bigger companies... and ease transfer from private to the govt as (partial) shareholder and civil servants as top-managers. And those top managers will be measurable in their performance.

A. Long way to go
B. most of the current growth of jobs and innovation is coming from SME. In-company in new techs NOT top-down. Interactions with other companies unpredictable (the synergy potential for productivity, growth and higher value)
C. big companies are often in a maturing phase, consolidating phase, buy their innovation by buying SME with the right perks, and pushing out labor all the time. Better (ERP) info systems in place, better known market, more predictability.

I do not think that B. is easily managed by a civil servant culture even helped by AI planning. Much too complex, unpredictable, volatile, etc, etc.
B. needs flanking support and flanking strategy from a government.

B. is often much much better functioning than big companies.... because it is not planned the Bezos way !
The structural limitation, disadvantage is access to a wider market & capital for expanding fast of bigger impact innovations and better trade secrets
 
I suppose you're too young to remember its successes in the Depression and the Second World War ;)
The US relied massively on capital and infrastructure built by capital via contracting in both cases. Especially Ford, GM, and Kaiser. But maybe you count contracting as central planning. But by my reading that's a contradiction of the spirit of your point.
 
Fair enough. I suppose for me the issue with nationalizing companies or industries is not how they treat their employees but rather how the industry interacts with the rest of the economy. I view nationalization as a tool that mainly works not to democratize the workings of a particular industry or firm but to stop monopolists from extorting everyone else.

For example I favor limited nationalization of banking in the US (basically, I would like to see a public entity handle the payments system and allow for every American to have a checking account without having to pay for it) not because I think the employees would necessarily be treated better by a public entity but because I think carrying out those functions of banking for private profit is unfair to everyone else who has to do business with a bank.

That isn't to say I don't care about the employment relations/working conditions stuff but it just isn't really what I'm thinking about when the subject of nationalization comes up. I favor workplace democracy and "management by consent of the managed" in pretty much every case.

We try and deal with monopolies and cartels via the law, not that it always works.
I'd agree that theres a good case for treating personal banking and mortgages as a public service. I'd say there is for natural monopolies like power and water too.

I think that democratic governments are bad at (and getting worse at) any sort of long term planning not that UK and US business seems any better at that either. Education and the health service seem to be in a state of continual reform and reorganisation here in the UK. Some of the ideas might actually have been good (although I'm sceptical about most of them) but we've usually embarked on the next round of reform before anybody could tell because politicians want quick results.
 
And complaining about ungrateful pups. :P
 
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