Hurricane Ivan

Arrrghhh... I'm going to be driving from Arkansas to New Hampshire this weekend - I might have to divert to the northern route (up to Ohio and straight across) instead of the better southern route (diagonal through Tenn/Virginia/Penn) if Ivan is sitting in the central Appalachians.
 
IglooDude said:
Arrrghhh... I'm going to be driving from Arkansas to New Hampshire this weekend - I might have to divert to the northern route (up to Ohio and straight across) instead of the better southern route (diagonal through Tenn/Virginia/Penn) if Ivan is sitting in the central Appalachians.

Why don't you fly?
 
Sweeney Todd said:
Why don't you fly?

Myself and two others, US$1000 less to drive than to fly. If it was just myself I would have flown, but one of the others is a fairly new driver and could use the driving experience, I have a nice semi-new car, and none of us particularly enjoys flying, all this aside from the cost difference.
 
Whoa! Quasar1011, this thing is heading straight for you - just as you feared! Looks like I am in the clear, hopefully.

Actually, I'm 'hoping' this thing hits Chicago... and causes catastrophic damage at -that other guy that commented earlier-'s neighborhood. Just rip the whole place to pieces. Then see how much he gets excited and enthusiastic about cat 5 hurricanes hitting other people. :mad:
 
Sweeney Todd said:
Did anyone hear about the hurricane in Ireland last month?

Did anyone care?

But when it approaches Florida we're all meant to start whinging and crying.
I'm not bothered so much about the US, it can look after itself. It's the little people like the Caribbean, Cuba, and other less-connected regions that are most at risk.

Cayman Islands were splattered :cry:

What are the odds that Ivan will hit Bush's ranch? :mischief:

Edit: This is a photo from cuba, just the outer winds before the hurricane is near... :dubious:

_40063554_cuba203afp.jpg
 
PantheraTigris2 said:
Whoa! Quasar1011, this thing is heading straight for you - just as you feared!
Yes, for now. Now it remains to be seen if that trof turned Ivan for good, or only tugged at it. We ought to know by 10 p.m. Here's the latest forecast tracking chart:
 

Attachments

  • Ivan8.gif
    Ivan8.gif
    38.8 KB · Views: 109
Looks like it's gonna be headed in my direction by the weekend. It'll probably be a tropical depression (or weak tropical storm) by then. But, stranger things have happened...
 
Looks like Sir Donald III in Tampa may or may not be incapacitated networkwise ....
 
Here is what one panel of the GFS model looks like, valid for Thursday morning. I think you can pick out where this model "thinks" Ivan will strike...
 

Attachments

  • gfs_ten_072l.gif
    gfs_ten_072l.gif
    124.7 KB · Views: 101
Perfection said:
A cat 5 hitting New Orleans :eek: Things can't get much worse than that.

I sure hope it doesn't happen, 'cause that would not be pretty.

Camille didn't actually hit New Orleans, it was a bit to the east, and Ivan probably won't either. It will probably hit at about the same place as Camille, although because of shear in the Gulf of Mexico at the moment, they're not expecting Ivan to be Category five when it hits the US.
 
Quasar1011 said:
Yes, for now. Now it remains to be seen if that trof turned Ivan for good, or only tugged at it. We ought to know by 10 p.m. Here's the latest forecast tracking chart:


2 P.M. Thursday (on your chart) is almost right on my home.:eek: The path seems to head from Gulf Shores right thru to Evergreen.
 
Quasar1011 said:
Yes, for now. Now it remains to be seen if that trof turned Ivan for good, or only tugged at it. We ought to know by 10 p.m. Here's the latest forecast tracking chart:

If it makes a run straight for Washington D.C., on that (or a similar) track, what kind of strength would it still have? (Because I'll be there later this week...)
 
Going over land that far, it would be a weak tropical storm at strongest. Nothing to be concerned about, really, just potential flooding in areas that flood annually.
 
PantheraTigris2 said:
If it makes a run straight for Washington D.C., on that (or a similar) track, what kind of strength would it still have? (Because I'll be there later this week...)

Probably a lot of rain... don't know about the wind - probably light to moderate.
 
Ok, but what if I'm renting a compact car... would the winds be strong enough to blow me off the road?? (Or should I check on getting an upgrade...)
 
Upgrade if you can. The after-effects of Ivan will be much like that of Frances: LOTS of flooding along eastern coastal states, and some tornadoes too.

Keep in mind that rivers and streams are still running high in that region, because of Frances...
 
Here is the first extensive report I have seen from the Cayman Islands:

"In the Cayman Islands, brutalized by the storm Sunday, most communications remained severed but sketchy accounts spoke of massive flooding, extensive structural damage and a harrowing experience.

A report received by the ham radio station at the National Hurricane Center shortly after noon today said the West Bay area of Grand Cayman, closest to the center of the storm, was leveled by Ivan.

''Ninety-nine percent of structures have been damaged or destroyed,'' said the report. ``I'm looking at total devastation. Automobiles cannot start due to water.''

The report also mentioned a large number of unconfirmed deaths and a second-hand report that an evacuation center had collapsed.

There were no confirmed casualty reports from the Caymans. Around the Caribbean, 68 deaths have been blamed on the hurricane so far.

''This is a national disaster,'' Desmond Seales, publisher of Cayman Net News, said today in an online posting. ``Damage is likely to run into the tens of millions, if not hundreds of millions of dollars.''

The posting quoted media reports as saying that Donovan Ebanks, deputy chairman of the Cayman Islands National Hurricane Committee, estimated that between 25 per cent and 50 per cent of the 15,000 homes on the island of Grand Cayman had ``suffered some damage.''

''As predicted, widespread flooding from the expected tidal surge was affecting a large part of the island . . .,'' the posting said. ``At the offices of Cayman Net News, a foot of floodwater had entered the building causing much damage.''


On Sunday, Ivan's winds crushed homes in the Caymans, its surf and rain chased people out of their homes and its comprehensive ferocity produced fear and panic.

''Oh my God, oh my God, the roof is coming off!'' a woman at the Adams Guest House in George Town, on the main island of Grand Cayman, told The Herald by telephone.

Then the line went dead.

Sustained winds of 120 mph blasted the island, numerous buildings lost their roofs, and power was out throughout Grand Cayman.

More than five feet of water flowed through many homes. According to ham radio operators, people were standing on their roofs to avoid floodwaters.

As it did in Jamaica, the hurricane's core -- and its 155-mph winds -- veered away from Grand Cayman at the last minute, but the three populated Cayman Islands absorbed a terrible beating.

Initial reports from the popular scuba-diving destination and banking center spoke of roofs flying off many houses, crashing into nearby buildings, tearing open the door of a public storm shelter.

The storm's towering waves and torrential rain produced another form of disaster -- flooding. Six-foot floods swamped George Town, the capital. Ambulances were under three feet of water.

''I'm at work and the water is up to my knees,'' Devon Chisolm, a firefighter in George Town, said Sunday morning. ``We can't help anyone -- there's too much wind and water.''

About 45,000 people live in the Caymans, a low-lying British territory of three populated islands. Some residents and tourists fled ahead of the storm."
 
Hmmm, seems a tropical depression has recently formed, heading for Florida...although its not expected to become a hurricane, you never know. It could still go up the east coast, or possibly hit Cuba as well.
 

Attachments

  • 132158W5.gif
    132158W5.gif
    30.7 KB · Views: 81
Seems like they're sure its going to become a Tropical Storm, which will give it a name.
 
Back
Top Bottom