Minimum Wage: What's the Other Argument?

TF, how are you defining 'truth' as applied to non-scientific propositions?
I'm not, really, so much as acknowledging that people will attribute the quality of "truth" to non-scientific propositions. The same applies to scientific claims, really: scientists use "truth" as a short-hand for "overwhelming evidence in favour of", but they don't imagine that scientific statements are possessed of capital-T Truth, let alone in social sciences like economics.
 
Not in practice. There are many kinds of truths, or alleged-truths, and the scientific is only one kind of truth; the claim that scientific truths have greater authority in the formation of policy than moral or religious truths is an ideological position, grounded in certain assumptions about how the state is supposed to work. And that's what Zelig is claiming, that certain kinds of "truths" (economic, empirical) are preferable to other kinds of "truths" (moral, ethical) and should take primacy in policy debate.

It may be that somebody advocating this position is correct; they're certainly more correct than somebody said "God says to do X". But they have not transcended ideology, they've merely occupied a certain ideological position.

I mean, I think Zelig is right, that debates around the minimum wage should be better-grounded in empirical evidence, I'm just cautioning that we shouldn't mistake that for an escape from ideology, shouldn't allow ourselves to become un-self-critical simply because we've lined up a lot of numbers behind our argument.
Well, obviously I disagree, simply because the kinds of moral "truths" that we are likely to have debates about are necessarily the ones that we have less certainty about. If everybody agreed on the truth or falsehood of a moral statement, then the debate wouldn't depend on them. So we must only ever have debates about statements that we as a society aren't sure about. We don't know whether X is true or not, so we have policy debates about the law regarding X.

Therefore, scientific or empirical truths are a priori more authoritative in such debates, because we can be certain of them.


But putting that to one side for a minute, I don't agree that Zelig is claiming that certain types of truths are better than other types of truths. I think Zelig is demanding a better process for policy-making, one that is based on things that are actually true. The way we know things are true is via some intellectually rigorous method of analysis. Therefore, Zelig is demanding that we apply an intellectually rigorous method of analysis to statements before using those statements to inform policy. What you're trying to tell me is that demanding that truths are established via an intellectually rigorous method of analysis is inherently ideological. That demanding such a thing is no less ideological than demanding that truths are established via reference to the Bible or Quran.

Well, fine, if you want to call this demand "ideological", then you can, but I think there is a world of difference between demanding fact-based policy and demanding Bible-based policy. I simply can't get behind such a definition of "ideological".

And I think this brings me to my problem with your line of reasoning. You're talking about ideology in a way that makes it easy for people to agree with you, and you've phrased it in an rhetorically compelling way. But actually, you're using the word ideology in a way that most people wouldn't agree with, if put under a microscope. I think you can see that in FP's response. He's agreeing with Zelig that you need to base policies on empirical facts, but that, afterwards, you need an ideology to sort through them. Fine, I agree - I pretty much said the same in the post he's responding to.

But you're saying something different. You're saying that the demand for fact based policy is inherently ideological, because it only includes science-facts or economic-facts, and not bible-facts or nationalist-facts. I doubt that many people would actually agree with that, because I think most people would agree that (a) empirical facts are ideologically neutral, and (b) demanding empirical facts as the basis of policy-making is pretty darn non-partisan, to the point where it's probably the exact opposite of "ideological".
 
"Ideological" does not mean "partisan". It describes a world-view. In this case, I'm arguing that a demand for what is called "fact-based policy" is ideological because it indicates a world view in which "facts", which is to say scientific claims, are given greater authority than other kinds of claims.

So, yes, demanding that truths are established via an intellectually rigorous method of analysis is no less ideological than demanding that truths are established via reference to the Bible or Quran. That doesn't mean it is equivalent, or that the former is not rationally preferable to the latter. But they are both equally ideological in that they both represent a comprehensive world view which privileges one kind of truth over another in the formulation of policy.

Again, I'm not arguing that the demand for "fact-based policy" is a bad thing. As ideologies go, it's probably better than most. (I would simply that it is naïve; you win at politics by being better at politics, not by being better at drafting policy proposals.) I'm just saying: don't get complacent because you think you've hit upon the right kind of "truth".
 
I'm afraid I see the validity of that but not how it should affect what we say and how we act - could you explain that one?
 
I understand that "ideological" doesn't only mean "partisan", but I think that this meaning is what most people understood "ideological" to have meant in this context. I think it's certainly what Zelig intended it to mean when he made his post, and also what others who have responded have meant as well. I think you're the only one who's using "ideological" to mean simply "a world view", and, bluntly, I think you're leveraging the word's two different meanings to make "economics" or "empirical facts" look like "just another ideology". I.e. you're trying to ascribe the negative connotations of the word as we use it (e.g. partisan, biased, blinkered, dogmatic, etc) to economics in general, or to Zelig's demand for this to be discussed an economic issue first and foremost.

In reality, you're saying that people who believe in the supremacy of science-facts over nationalist-facts or bible-facts are subscribing to a certain ideology. But when you unpack what you mean by "ideology" (i.e. any kind of world view) and "facts" (i.e. something that someone believes to be true, irrespective of standards of proof, evidential basis, or logical validity), this turns out to be a much weaker statement, both logically and rhetorically, than 'the framing "an economic discussion" is itself ideological'.
 
We are already seeing the results of this policy in the form of fast-food workers losing their jobs to robots.

I don't want robots to take our jobs, so I'm against the minimum wage.

Robots are taking your jobs whether the minimum wage is $7/hr or $15.

There will be no transportation-related jobs in this country within the next 15-20 years. Most retail jobs will probably be gone by then too.
 
Given how many people are employed in those two fields and how well our social system handles mass scale unemployment and impoverishment, that's not a good dream.
 
Given how many people are employed in those two fields and how well our social system handles mass scale unemployment and impoverishment, that's not a good dream.

That's not a problem. The average person takes about five minutes of convincing to arrive at "well, in an emergency property crimes are okay" but most of them can never be talked into crime against person. So all those unemployed people will be just fine, since robotics has turned every truck and retail outlet into an opportunity to commit property crimes without risk to people. It's a free for all.

Not that there is any way in heck to manage anything like it in a two decade window. It would require the razing of America, since every retail establishment would have to be redesigned and rebuilt from the ground up.
 
Robots are taking your jobs whether the minimum wage is $7/hr or $15.

That's the point (and nearly the numbers!) I was going to use.

A robot outcompeting $15/hr is only one Moore's Law* step-change from out-competing $7/hr.

This will create massive new wealth, but unless we have some way to handle unemployment we'll just grind an ever-growing segment of the population into poverty. It will be a total farce.

I don't like minimum wage to combat this trend, it's only stop-gap. I like a Negative Income Tax that maximizes at a reasonable 'poverty' standard, coupled with deliberate employment by government to provide market-ignored public services or the creation of Public Goods (in a deliberate manner).

Float the minimum with the growth rate and put the swivel into a progressive income tax around "living wage".

The will allow continued long-term growth and rising standards of living.

*borrowed as a metaphor
 
I understand that "ideological" doesn't only mean "partisan", but I think that this meaning is what most people understood "ideological" to have meant in this context. I think it's certainly what Zelig intended it to mean when he made his post, and also what others who have responded have meant as well. I think you're the only one who's using "ideological" to mean simply "a world view", and, bluntly, I think you're leveraging the word's two different meanings to make "economics" or "empirical facts" look like "just another ideology". I.e. you're trying to ascribe the negative connotations of the word as we use it (e.g. partisan, biased, blinkered, dogmatic, etc) to economics in general, or to Zelig's demand for this to be discussed an economic issue first and foremost.

In reality, you're saying that people who believe in the supremacy of science-facts over nationalist-facts or bible-facts are subscribing to a certain ideology. But when you unpack what you mean by "ideology" (i.e. any kind of world view) and "facts" (i.e. something that someone believes to be true, irrespective of standards of proof, evidential basis, or logical validity), this turns out to be a much weaker statement, both logically and rhetorically, than 'the framing "an economic discussion" is itself ideological'.
Eh, maybe. Do remember that my original post was twelve words and a smiley. I wasn't expecting to spin a thesis out of it! :lol:

Robots are taking your jobs whether the minimum wage is $7/hr or $15.

There will be no transportation-related jobs in this country within the next 15-20 years. Most retail jobs will probably be gone by then too.
Yeah, I make the equivalent of about $10/hour, and they've been gradually replacing us with automated checkouts for about six years now. I'd say the place is about half-automated, at this point, and the main reason it isn't fully-automated is because customers would grumble rather than because of costs. Come back in five years, the only people working at the front end of the store will be a handful of robot-wranglers.

I don't know if we're looking at the total elimination of retail jobs, there's enough back-end stuff that can't be effectively automated without massively restructuring the whole spatial logic which most stores and especially supermarkets operate on, but in all likelihood that's only a matter of time, too.
 
That's the point (and nearly the numbers!) I was going to use.

A robot outcompeting $15/hr is only one Moore's Law* step-change from out-competing $7/hr.

This will create massive new wealth, but unless we have some way to handle unemployment we'll just grind an ever-growing segment of the population into poverty. It will be a total farce.

I don't like minimum wage to combat this trend, it's only stop-gap. I like a Negative Income Tax that maximizes at a reasonable 'poverty' standard, coupled with deliberate employment by government to provide market-ignored public services or the creation of Public Goods (in a deliberate manner).

Float the minimum with the growth rate and put the swivel into a progressive income tax around "living wage".

The will allow continued long-term growth and rising standards of living.

*borrowed as a metaphor

Didn't the auto-industry robots replace jobs that were in the area of about 60 bucks an hour? :p I think we were effectively two steps higher than the 15 dollar an hour step years ago.
 
Yeah, I make the equivalent of about $10/hour, and they've been gradually replacing us with automated checkouts for about six years now. I'd say the place is about half-automated, at this point, and the main reason it isn't fully-automated is because customers would grumble rather than because of costs. Come back in five years, the only people working at the front end of the store will be a handful of robot-wranglers.

I don't know if we're looking at the total elimination of retail jobs, there's enough back-end stuff that can't be effectively automated without massively restructuring the whole spatial logic which most stores and especially supermarkets operate on, but in all likelihood that's only a matter of time, too.

Even at the supermarket, you still need somebody to be on hand when the self-checkout (constantly) misinterprets things moving on the scale as a change in weight, needs somebody to be ID'd (which may change, but no doubt employers wary of prosecution will require a human to do it even after a machine theoretically could), somebody to ask if you can't find something, somebody to watch for shoplifters, somebody to clean the floor, and so on. At the higher end, part of what customers are paying for is having somebody to prepare their food (such as meat, fish or cheese) and possibly advise them on it. You can certainly automate a large amount of the shop, but I think there will always be jobs at least situated in shops, even if precisely what you have to do changes. Of course, that's totally without considering shops without the capital to pay the upfront charges of an automated system like that.
 
I was under the impression you needed the guys up front to stop massive shoplifting.
 
If an employer can augment your labour with machines, he'll do so (and keep the profits). If he can replace your labour with machines, he'll do so (and keep the profits). In both scenarios, the total wealth rises. The paradox kicks in when the employee doesn't get richer with the increase in wealth and actually runs the risk of getting much poorer.
 
Robots are taking your jobs whether the minimum wage is $7/hr or $15.

There will be no transportation-related jobs in this country within the next 15-20 years. Most retail jobs will probably be gone by then too.

This is an old, much refuted argument. Automation creates more jobs than it destroys.

Retail sales may move to another products, but they are not going anywhere. Live salespeople are the most effective for upscale and innovative items. There is a reason outside sales is the most highly compensated career that does not involve three years of postgrad work.

J
 
This is an old, much refuted argument. Automation creates more jobs than it destroys.

It's not a tired argument. What you're doing, OJH is looking at historical factors and extrapolating. The problem is that one trendline is linear and the other is exponential.

If automation creates more jobs than it destroys, why are there fewer drafthorses alive than there used to be? Shouldn't we have EVEN MORE productive uses for drafthorses?
 
It's not a tired argument. What you're doing, OJH is looking at historical factors and extrapolating. The problem is that one trendline is linear and the other is exponential.

If automation creates more jobs than it destroys, why are there fewer drafthorses alive than there used to be? Shouldn't we have EVEN MORE productive uses for drafthorses?

Question: are there fewer horses overall?
 
People aren't drafthorses, though - that argument only works because we're able to learn new skills, and falls apart if people can't or won't. Hence a good education system is one of the best investments we can make at the moment, to enable people to re-trade as technology moves on. After all, it's pretty self-evident that every robot who replaces a taxi driver is going to need at least a fraction of an engineer to look after it.
 
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