To get back more on track.
Education is a proxy. Another proxy is reading.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1455153983170007042
In the Pew NPORS study, reading was very strongly correlated with Democratic support among white voters without a degree--especially under age 45. I think it merits research as a possible weighting parameter
Among white voters without a degree under age 45:
read a book in last year: Dem 49, GOP 40
no book in last year: Dem 25, GOP 67
With that kind of split, you have to wonder about whether surveys represent non-readers in general. But it seems especially important to consider for online surveys--which literally require reading
It's a fairly easy explanation for why election polling errors have been more biased to Republicans when Trump is on the ballot. Surveys capture an accurate percentage of noncollege whites for polling ...
but end up catching far more readers. When they need to be finding those stupified by the TV.
Plenty of people don't go to college, but still, have a learners mindset, and keep a critical mindset. While the natural conservative base is those who let the TV rot their brain.
It's easy to see based on sources of information.
Much of conservatives is radio or TV, and even the written word sources, are very simplistic, without serious examination of issues. And this is a piece written, by a conservative, with his built-in biases, and can't help throw in some of the usual screeds. (Its actually an interesting article in its own right, due to how rare a deeply conservative intellectual actually is at the moment, and seeing a thought process that while reasonable on the broad point, is still consumed by the same bugbears, grievance politics, and ambient racism as the typical conservative.
But even he, can't help but note that Conservatives are literate shy, and driven by personalities and culture war. Liberalism is a natural evolution of ideology, while conservatism can be buffeted and switch from neo-cons to the tea party, to isolation belligerence, to anti-vaxxers. Conservatism being so empty of policy (with Trump outsourcing his policymaking to Paul Ryan in his early Presidency, to Mitch McConnell, then to Nancy Pelosi during the covid era where she and her people largely wrote the big COVID relief bills) isn't a Trump thing, it is just what they are becoming. The GOP had a ton of trouble just writing a tax cut bill, a basic idea they all agreed with, because much of the caucus were Tea Party Loons. Let alone repealing the ACA effort.
Being devoid of policy and of basic ideology, however, makes them very easy to whip up to authoritarian ends. They don't have a principled ideal of freedom, they do what Trump or Hannity, or Tucker scream at them to do, and call that freedom. The perfect base for pure demagoguery.
So if you want to know, why the GOP is warring against education on all levels, banning books in Texas, spurring hatred against universities, removing history from high schools, cutting education funding, etc. It's because they know who their base is, and who their base isn't.