Mmm. I understand the point.Even as that may be, according to the lecture lots of generals were relieved of command in the second world war for delivering mediocre results. If you had put this question to the guy, Mr. Ricks, he would probably respond that it is hard to point to any specific instances of inspired generalship during the post-war era. Mediocrity and risk aversion (his terms) crept in as a result of the rotation system, according to him, so that no, you wouldn't find anyone doing an outright bad job and taking undue risks and making it impossible for the US to win. You just wouldn't find anyone doing an outstanding job, either.
You emphasize that the nature and/or parameters of the new conflicts are so different; perhaps these conflicts have not allowed for bold deeds, so to speak. I argued that people back home protested the conflicts on such a scale and manner that it made things much more complicated for the army, but I mainly brought this up because the lecturer said the same thing but did not explain. I don't see how these points don't coexist.
Again, the lecture had a narrow focus. He seemed to be zeroing in on an internal matter because his audience was Army ROTC. He didn't go into our points.
Risk aversion is a Bad Thing and I understand what he's going for there. But I disagree about where it comes from in American generals, and I also disagree about the value of "inspired" generalship.
I think Tom Ricks is a pretty damn good journalist with an understanding of the modern US military that dwarfs my own experience, but I also think that he might be suffering from a bit of recency bias in this case, if these are the arguments that he's making.
No, they couldn't have.Allies could have launched d day in 1943. If the can land 9 divisions in Sicily you could have landed them in France 1943.
German Garrison in 43 was weaker along with the Atlantic wall. German production was also lower. All the toys they had could have been made in 43 as well.
Marshall wanted to avoid deploying troops to North Africa, a secondary theater. However, British pressure to help relieve Eighth Army in Egypt pushed the Americans toward launching Operation TORCH. (Again, coalition management: not everybody's strategic interests are the same.) Marshall understood that TORCH would effectively push the invasion of Northwest Europe to 1944. However, he himself didn't really have any other suggestions. Roosevelt pointed out, quite correctly, that if the Americans focused on the buildup in the United Kingdom in 1942 and 1943 then the US Army would be taking itself out of the war for those years. He wanted the Americans to do something against the Wehrmacht, but in 1942 the US was definitely incapable of invading Europe. The desultory conclusion was North Africa.
In both theaters of war, Marshall fought hard against the diversion of assets to secondary tasks, like the brilliant strategist that he was. However, he was unable to effectively answer the British criticisms of the ROUNDUP plan to amass assets in Britain. For political reasons as much as anything else, the US Army had to get into the fight in 1942. Marshall understood that the internal logic of the Mediterranean theater would make it hard for strategists to be willing to close it down to focus on the main effort against Hitlerism. He knew that once North Africa was conquered, it would be impossible to resist the argument for moving on to Sicily, and from there to Italy, all the while sucking up valuable soldiers, equipment, and ammunition that could have been clearing a path to Berlin. Roosevelt and Churchill were made very aware of those arguments and opted to fight in the Mediterranean anyway.
Even had Marshall won his argument with the other Americans, it would have been impossible to sell the British on a real 1943 invasion. (Brooke agreed in principle to it at some early CCS meetings for tactical purposes, to get the Americans to agree to some British priorities.) Some of the British arguments were good (the Western armies were probably not ready to go toe to toe with the Nazi colossus on its home turf yet), some were not as good (the brainless "soft underbelly of Europe" nonsense), and some were unanswerable due to differing national priorities (the security of Egypt and Malta, opening the Mediterranean for traffic with India, British influence in the Balkans, etc.). Britain was also not the only ally to have national priorities in the Mediterranean. The Free French, too, argued in favor of fighting in North Africa to rebuild their armies and prepare for the redemption of the metropole.
The delay to 1944 proved highly valuable for the Western Allies in other ways. In 1943, the West had not yet secured air superiority over Western Europe. Its strategic bombers were not capable of the overpowering force they would be able to deploy the following year. The Luftwaffe still had high-quality avgas, good airmen, and lots of airframes. Launching the Normandy invasion after the colossal successes of "Big Week" and the Transport Plan bomb strikes gave the Allies a far bigger advantage than the Germans gained by working on the Atlantic Wall and mounting their buildup in France. Air superiority was the sine qua non of a successful offensive in the Second World War.
That's also not to speak of the advantages in experience that accrued to the Allied commanders and staffs after extensive fighting in the Pacific and Mediterranean. By 1944, the Americans and Commonwealth forces had an extremely well developed amphibious warfare doctrine, based off of the experience of Sicily, Salerno, and Anzio. Airborne doctrine was not as well developed but still in a far better place than it was in the summer of 1943. Douglas Porch argues persuasively that the Mediterranean theater was the "path to victory" not in and of itself - the defeat of Italy would not and could never bring down Nazism - but rather because in large part it served as the school of the Allied armies. Learning those lessons in the desert and in Italy was far better than trying to learn them in the middle of the apocalyptic, war-deciding struggle for Western Europe.