Alternate History Thread V

Eh, not done with the installment yet. But comments!

@Dachs: I don't really have much to say about the strategy or how things have turned out thus far, as that's beyond my purview. I do feel like religious developments in the West need to be touched upon, especially the Western Imperial/Papal dynamic as well as attitudes towards Arians and Miaphysites alike. Procopius and Anthemius II should be doing some serious patronage efforts to go along with their reforms in Rome and Ravenna, should they not? Following along with that, has Rome itself recovered much since the Vandal sack?

Also, if and when Rome does regain control of most or much of the Eastern Empire, I'll be interested to know what, if anything, denotes the difference between "Post-Antique" Rome and that of the early 4th century.

I'm also sort of interested in the "autokratōres and their pretensions," wasn't Latin still the official language of their administrative areas when the Empire collapsed? As such, I'm surprised they've gone so quickly to Greek terminology, and haven't been claiming Imperial Roman iconography in their own right.

We've also had a fairly rousing discussion on #nes about the Plague of Justinian Procopius, if it will occur, and how it might be altered in course and effects. Obviously you can't alter the massive asteroid strike/volcanic eruption of 535, but the plague isn't a foregone conclusion, though the famine probably is.

Also, parallels are nice when it makes people feel smug for spotting them. Just don't make the coming war go EXACTLY like the OTL Gothic and we'll be fine.
 
Thlayli, you must look within yourself to save yourself from your other self. Only then will your true self reveal itself.
@Dachs: I don't really have much to say about the strategy or how things have turned out thus far, as that's beyond my purview. I do feel like religious developments in the West need to be touched upon, especially the Western Imperial/Papal dynamic as well as attitudes towards Arians and Miaphysites alike. Procopius and Anthemius II should be doing some serious patronage efforts to go along with their reforms in Rome and Ravenna, should they not?
I imagine you would, but without the Akakian Schism, things are much quieter. Things get more interesting soon, and it made more sense to discuss it all later.
Thlayli said:
Following along with that, has Rome itself recovered much since the Vandal sack?
The Vandal sack wasn't all that bad. Rome's real problem was declining population and the lack of any real reason to be there as far as politics goes. The population thing isn't really "fixed" because even though the grain pipeline from Africa is back, the place itself still isn't as important as it used to be, and a lot of the other reasons behind the late-Roman urban depopulation in favor of the hinterland still haven't been addressed.
Thlayli said:
I'm also sort of interested in the "autokratōres and their pretensions," wasn't Latin still the official language of their administrative areas when the Empire collapsed? As such, I'm surprised they've gone so quickly to Greek terminology, and haven't been claiming Imperial Roman iconography in their own right.
Read up on Roman numismatics, there, chief. Even during the earlier years of the Roman Empire, emperors coined in Greek east of the Adriatic, employing autokratōr as the Eastern equivalent of imperator. Latin was widely used for certain legal purposes, but not for others. So in their way, they are "claiming" Roman imperial iconography - it's just less obvious to OMD folks cause they're used to the Roman Empire in Latin terms.
Thlayli said:
Also, parallels are nice when it makes people feel smug for spotting them. Just don't make the coming war go EXACTLY like the OTL Gothic and we'll be fine.
I have less than zero intention of doing so.
 
Read up on Roman numismatics, there, chief.
The only ironic tshirt i would ever wear would say this. It might be sleep deprivation, but this phrase its literally hilarious. :lol:
 
I imagine that butterflies, messing up the Britanny and Galicia migration stocks and flows, and fiddling with the Hayāṭila have changed all of them quite a bit! But I see no reason to deal with them in detail until first-order alterations have their effects there. I have been avoiding the British situation especially for as long as I possibly could, and will endeavor to continue to do so as long as that course remains practicable.
 
Part Two: Requiescat In Bello – Europe, Part 2/3

The Empire of Christian Spain had thrived under the energetic reign of Ferdinand I, but it had faced no true hegemonic rivals. The Aragonese union had brought Mediterranean influence to the Leonese monarchy, and the conquest of Majardid Andalusia had brought incredible prestige. While the flow of precious metals from the Americas was nothing like that which followed the conquest of Mesoamerica, a slow but steady stream had been coming out of Peru. In fact, several bands of Spanish adventurers were gearing up to conquer the mysterious domain of the Sapa Inca for their own personal profit for the Lion Throne, albeit without official government support.

The Italian Wars were the obvious reason such support was absent, as a properly large expeditionary force was being prepared to strike for Italy. The Pillars of Hercules had been fortified since their seizure by Genoa in the disastrous War of Breton Succession, and the navy rebuilt and expanded again. Their task, however, would be fairly difficult: Make a landing on Sicily, capture the island, and then skip across the Straits to reconquer Naples and then Rome from the south. Some advocated sailing directly for Italy, but the need for a friendly naval base near to Italy (and far from Genoa) was judged more important. A huge Spanish army of 30,000 was mustered to board an equally large fleet. (At any rate, they would only be able to transport 25,000 at best.)

But their actions, like those of their allies, were being prepared for 1540. And the Byzantines struck in 1539. As large as the Spanish fleet was, it was dwarfed by the size of the combined Romano-Genoese fleet which seized the Balearic Islands at the same time as Angelos’ army was invading Tuscany. Suddenly on the defensive, the Spanish fleet took to the seas, urged into an aggressive posture by political pressure from Toledo.

When the ponderous fleets had finally moved to engage, the immense Battle of Cabrera involved almost two hundred fifty galleons, galleys and galleasses on the Spanish side (with minor Aquitainian and Provencal supporting contingents,) and a slightly larger number of Genoese and Roman ships. Coordination and infighting between the Genoese and Byzantine admirals was rife, but despite this the excellent Genoese marines and Swiss infantry managed to take more than thirty Spanish ships, crippling their left flank, while the Hispanic right hammered away at some fairly irrelevant Byzantine galliots. While the battle was a tactical stalemate, the Spanish withdrew in disarray due to poor leadership and the fickle Mediterranean wind.

Following the defeat, the Spaniards changed their tack, holding back most of their fleet to protect the Pillars and sever communication between Genoa and their vast mercantile enterprises in the Atlantic, a measure which proved highly successful after the interception of several armed convoys from Avalon which failed to breach the Straits from the Atlantic side. Due to the lack of ready cash from the Atlantic slave trade, a minor mercenary mutiny was followed by the re-emergence of an old rivalry between the Grimaldi and Tettamanzi factions at the least opportune time. The city, which had already been besieged for half a year by French forces, fell into chaotic street fighting. The French commander, Melchior Alarque, duc D’Auvèrnhe, ordered the storming of the city, and despite taking heavy casualties the divided nature of the Genovese forces allowed him to prevail. Genoa burned, again. Elsewhere, across the Atlantic, the dissolution of the Genoese colonial network was begun by other actors.

But the Romans could not be distracted by this. After paying off some of the Genoeses to remain with their fleet, the Roman expeditionary army of some 25,000 assaulted and captured Cartagena after bombarding the city with their guns. The city’s garrison did not fall to the Romans, but rather to the vengeful (and mostly Muslim) population of the city. Antagonized by the harsh religious policies of the Papacy and the Empire, and never properly integrated into the Empire a generation before (as much of the Majardid bureaucracy had simply been co-opted and made subordinate to the Spanish system,) vengeful mudejar rose to liberate Andalusia. Much of the hinterland was immediately thrown into chaos with the landing of the Roman army, a situation which pleased the Romans to no small extent.

While Murcia was almost entirely lost, Valencia remained in Spanish hands, (and had in fact resisted several assaults before Cartagena fell) as did the heavily fortified Pillars and the coastline west of there. To the Byzantines dismay, the Catalans appeared to stay loyal to Leon for the time being. Cordoba was seized by a Majardid pretender, Hārūn ‘abd al-Qahhār, no-doubt long funded by Genoese and Roman sources. His forces soon captured Granada and Jaen, but Seville and Algericas held out for the time being, and Spanish authority remained strong north of the Guadiana. Even so, the Spanish were thrown into a panic by the successful Roman invasion and rebellion. A small field army was sent from Batalyos (Badajoz) to relieve the siege of Sevilla, while the bulk of the Leonese royal army that had survived Cabrera gathered in Castile to retake Murcia and throw the vile Romans back into the sea. Thus ended the campaigns of 1539.

For their part, the Romans had two broad strategic choices: Help the fledgling neo-Majardid state, or attempt to piece apart the Spanish union on their own. They decided to do a little of both, sending a smaller force south with the bulk of their fleet to help the rebels capture Malaga. While this was successful, it lessened the troops available to commander Nikephoros Katakalos, a storied veteran of the last round of Italian wars. He chose, perhaps unwisely, to march northeast with the bulk of his army, setting up a decisive clash with the Spanish forces barreling towards Murcia.

Meanwhile, in Italy, French forces completed the thorough ransack of Genoa. The city itself was annexed to the Angevin crown, and a Grimaldi doge was scrounged from the ruins and placed on the largest rubble heap as Duc de Ligurie. The Tettamanzi field army, which had ineffectually tried to prevent what had just happened, fled to Milan, where it oh-so-rapidly switched allegiance to the court of Gian I, who was trying his very best to keep Aquitaine, Austria, and Florence from placing his court’s heads in the pikeward position. Thankfully, most of the Austro-Florentines were engaged in the brutal southward grind towards Rome, steadily reducing the built-up Byzantine fortifications of Lazio.

Julio Tettamanzi, dispossessed heir to a ruined city-state, then decided to make himself head of another, since after all it was his money that had bought Gian a kingdom. The blood ran in the streets of Milan, but when all was said and done the Kingdom of Lombardy was born again (again) with a new ruler, who rapidly acknowledged the benefits of alliance with the Emperor of Rome (schism, what schism?) and sent a flying column south to incite Pisa to rebel, which it did, while fortifying the relevant Po Valley fortresses against the threat of the Occitan hordes. Mantua revolted as well, imperiling the Austrian supply line but not severing it.

Things soon became complicated when the Angevins demonstrated their less than pure motives for the future of Italy, as French armies attacked and routed a surprised Provencal army on its’ way to reassert control over Lombardy at Canossa. Lombard-leaning Pisa was soon occupied and turned into a puppet Republic. In the south, Gleispach’s coalition army had inflicted a few more minor outflanking defeats on the beleaguered Romans, finally managing to besiege the vacated See of St. Peter, whose Byzantine-appointed “Patriarch” was murdered by a screeching mob. Outside Rome itself, control of Central Italy began to disintegrate as local partisans harassed various “Roman” officials, collaborator nobles (like the Counts of Pontecorvo and Terni) withdrew support from the ruling regime, and urban mobs (particularly in Napoli, of bishop-martrying fame) put anything vaguely Constantinopolitan to the torch. Venetian mercenary pirates ravaged the Adriatic coast, and the countryside as far south as Benevento was a no man’s land of brutal internecine war.

In short, Italy had devolved into chaos again.

In Spain, Katakalos and his army managed to make it into the interior of Iberia, defeating a small garrison at Chinchilla, before the Leonese royal army could arrive, distracted as it had been by raids north of the Guadiana by mudejar forces. Near the headwaters of that river, Katakalos brought the Iberian forces to battle. The Battle of Albacete, while tactically uninspired, broke the back of the most powerful non-Roman army in Hispania, as a solid defensive position repelled several melee charges and unusually wet weather lowered the effectiveness of the Spanish arquebusiers. Katakalos plodded on, fording the upper Tajo to come upon the capital of Christian Spain itself. The unthinkable was nigh for Spain as Toledo fell under siege. Pope Pius provided an inspiring figure however, rallying the garrison on the walls, venerating icons of the Blessed Virgin and generally making various other comparisons to besieged Constantinople so as to make the Greeks uncomfortable.

The siege dragged on into its second month, the capital city being well fortified and supplied. Several attempts at mining the walls were unsuccessful, and several sorties had been made to beleaguer the besiegers with mixed results. Unfortunately for the unbeaten Katakalos, his string of victories had failed to undo the fabric of the Aragon-Leonese union. Further south, the second Leonese army had lifted the siege of Seville and was now probing up the Guadalquivir towards Cordoba. Even more troubling was the naval battle at Malaga, in which several Spanish fireships and galleasses managed to surprise the Byzantine fleet at night, destroying much of the fleet and imperiling stretched lines of communication further. But Katakalos’ undoing came after an Aragonese army, still loyal to the Lion Throne despite Roman inducements to the contrary, marched out from Valencia, recapturing a lightly garrisoned Albacete and completely severing the already strained Roman supply lines.

Katakalos attempted a fighting retreat back to the coast, but it was truly hopeless given his limited amount of supplies. The Greek general was forced to surrender with his entire force, leaving a scant few thousands holding on to Malaga and Cartagena. The Mudejar revolt would continue on and off for another two years in the countryside, but bereft of Roman support, the fairly disciplined Leonese forces soon made quick work of the most organized Muslim rebels, executing Harun and his coterie after a long and bloody siege of Cordoba. The war had now turned against Constantinople on all fronts, as Rome had lost almost thirty five thousand men in two disastrous offensives. Andronikos’ gambit had failed, and the emperor sought peace terms with the Austro-Spanish coalition, and received them. For his part, Andronikos was not pleased, though the seizure of Mesopotamia ensured that the loss of revenues from Italy would be offset elsewhere. (see Asia)

The new European order continued to emerge. For their part, the great ancient raven perched at the top of Europe, the Norse Empire, had held itself aloof from this great Catholic-Orthodox conflict, if only because they were involved almost simultaneously with two great and violent religious struggles of their own.

Next Time: The War of Man, The War of the League of Windau, the Post-War order in Italy, the Unseemly Dogpiling of the Austrian Empire, and more!
 
Interesting reads, the both you of you :thumbsup:

Dachs, about how much has the population of Italy rebounded at this point? Are the gains in both population as well as prosperity mostly limited to the north, or is the south rebounding as well?

Has Rome regained any population at all?

Which cities are most prominent/important to the WRE?
 
Interesting reads, the both you of you :thumbsup:

Dachs, about how much has the population of Italy rebounded at this point? Are the gains in both population as well as prosperity mostly limited to the north, or is the south rebounding as well?
The "rebound" isn't all that great. Most of the crap that happened to Italy was in the sixth century, so there's not that much room to improve. Gains in prosperity, insofar as they've actually happened, are chiefly concentrated in the cities, especially in central and southern Italy.
Theige said:
Has Rome regained any population at all?
Some, but it's nothing like it was at its peak.
Theige said:
Which cities are most prominent/important to the WRE?
Ravenna, Mediolanum, Carthage are of the first order. Lugdunum, Narbo, Emerita Augusta, Roma, and Salona are the second tier.
 
Random PoD idea: Napoleon IV doesn't get himself killed by Zulus and later manages to establish the Third Empire. Hilarious alt-WWI PoD's can result from this.

Also, now that I think about it, a WWI Team NES might be slightly more entertaining than a WWII Team NES.
 
what is this I don't even

Also, I'm certain that we've tried not one, but two WWI Team NESes. Both failed, to my inestimable dismay.
 
Well, I don't know about the first Team-nes, but I'm pretty sure the second failed due to the mod, not the concept. Perhaps with a more capable mod, the idea wouldn't be so bad.
 
The concept isn't intrinsically bad, I agree. Everybody half-asses it though.
 
Dachs, Thlayli thought you might know something about an older timeline in which Napoleon transferred to the Ottoman Army. Do you recall anything about it?
 
Wasn't a TL, but it was a brainstorming session in one of these threads. das also suggested (it was his idea) that Napoleon might have also ended up resurrecting the Byzantine Empire for kicks and giggles. Or he could have just converted to Islam For Reals and gone the Ottoman route. Don't remember the page or thread, but that should be enough for the search function.
 
I just randomly started reading some Russia history and stumbled across the Battle of Molodi. It kinda got me wondering what might have happened if the Russians had lost. From what I understand, Russia was in pretty bad shape at this point. So could anyone with more knowledge on the matter throw some theories out there about how the Tatars might beat the Russians at Molodi and what they might have done afterward?
 
Truth be told, the victory didn't really help all that much. What I mean is that if the raid was completely successful it would not have changed all that much in Russia, since the damage was already done. I think an effect might be to bolster and encourage the Crimean Khanate. On the Russian side, it would probably have led to a faster conclusion to the Livonian War, but funnily enough not much effect on domestic policies.
 
Renovatio imperii, 524-555.

"And thick and fast they came at last,
And more, and more, and more –"
-Lewis Carroll, “The Walrus and the Carpenter”, in Through the Looking Glass

It was clear by the winter of 524 that Emperor Procopius was intent on sending a military expedition to reconquer the Balkans. Land and naval forces had amassed in great numbers in southern Italy and Pannonia. Diplomatically, there was little to discuss; even if the Romans had had formal diplomatic contacts with the Lombards, they would probably have been severed due to the ongoing low-level fighting around Sirmion. In terms of propaganda, the Ravenna government had not recognized any Eastern colleague since the demise of Herakleios, and held that the throne had been vacant for some four decades. Imperial panegyrists and spin doctors had been speaking of a campaign to “reclaim imperial territory from the barbarians” for the past year. All that was needed, to employ the old cliché, was a spark to start the fire.

Conveniently, such a spark was readily available in the form of a succession struggle in Lombard territory. Unichis, the wildly successful self-proclaimed autokratōr, had shuffled off this mortal coil during the early months of 524. His feckless spawn Aribertos was, according to the contemporary Greco-Lombard chronicler Bertharios “Nikopolites”, as effeminate and unwarlike as the native Romans (Greeks) whose customs he imitated. Whatever his actual sexual orientation and military ability, Aribertos clearly had problems relating to the “Lombards” that made up a great deal of the army, and apparently had quite good connections to the native ecclesiastical and civil administrative machinery. With the backing of the archbishop of Constantinople and the Vigla guardsmen in addition to local army units, Aribertos was raised on his soldiers’ shields and quickly gained the approval of the senate in Constantinople. The new autokratōr was opposed by most of the military formations that were descended from the old Thracian field army. Led by one Rotharios, Aribertos’ cousin, the dissidents kicked off a civil war, seizing Hadrianoupolis and Thessalonikē in the spring of 524.

This was an obvious opening, and Procopius’ armies made the most of it. Some twenty thousand soldiers, under official nomenclature the “real” Thracian field army, were transported across the Adriatic in early summer. Under the command of the titular magister militum per Thracias, Anicius Baduarius, the Romans landed at Dyrrhachium and Lissus and rapidly fanned out through Prævalitana and Epirus Nova. Most of the key fortresses in the area surrendered without much of a fight. Meanwhile, Vitalianus’ Pannonian field army waltzed into Sirmion without a fight, as most of the Lombard forces near there were drawn southwest to fight in the civil war. By midsummer, Roman forces were poised to march down the Via Egnatia, the old highway that cut straight through the Pindus Mountains.

The Romans benefited tremendously from Lombard confusion. Badly organized pro-Aribertos naval forces engaged a Roman fleet under the command of Eugippius off the coast of Bouthrōton and were scattered to the four winds. Meanwhile, Baduarius’ troops seized Pelagonia by storm from a depleted Rotharid garrison, and pushed on towards the Axios valley. In response to the Roman attacks, Aribertos attempted to make contact with Rotharios and his allies at Hadrianoupolis, calling for a common front against the Roman invaders and promising amnesty. Rotharios and his supporters rejected the proposal out of hand as being too risky, and instead launched a general attack on the loyalist army at Arkadioupolis in a bid to win the war before the Romans were able to do too much damage.

Rotharios ended up hitting the jackpot when Baduarius was killed in the siege of the fortress of Edessa in the fall of 524. His subordinate, Flavius Orosius, pulled the army back to the Adriatic coast to winter and sent a somewhat frantic message back to Italy requesting more troops and overstating the seriousness of Rotharid resistance. Orosius’ precipitate retreat allowed Rotharid forces to reoccupy Pelagonia and close the Via Egnatia again. At the same time, Gepid attacks forced Vitalianus to abandon his northern campaign and pull back to Sirmion to defend Pannonia. With their enemies temporarily disabled, Rotharios and his allies defeated the loyalist army at Arkadioupolis, and exploited the victory all the way to Constantinople. Dissent in the capital was already mounting. Well-placed bribes did the rest: Rotharios’ army was let into the city by the Vigla, and Aribertos was overthrown and killed.

Faced with a suddenly much more difficult campaign ahead of his armies, Procopius decided to redouble his efforts in the Balkans, unwilling to back down after the long period of preparation. Another seven thousand men went east, headed by a replacement magister militum: Synesius Lupicinus, a man who had served with some distinction against Heruli and Franks. Lupicinus spent much of the winter reorganizing the field army, scattered along the Adriatic coastline. At the same time, agents sent north began to pay dividends. Roman gold and Lombard frontier weakness combined to make Lombard Thrace look like quite the juicy target to thousands of Hunnic and Alan raiders. Rotharios’ new regime also had to deal with trouble in the east. Egyptian gold and the downfall of the “legitimate” Lombard dynasty motivated Fridereiks, the Gothic viceroy in Anatolia, to cut all ties with Constantinople and coin in his own name.

Lupicinus was thus able to achieve staggering successes in the campaign of 525. Pelagonia was infiltrated and captured relatively quickly, and Thessalonikē surrendered without a siege at all. Rotharios’ Thracian army attempted to block the road to the capital at Traianoupolis, but was heavily defeated. Meanwhile, armed with numerical superiority over the pitiful local security forces in Greece itself, Orosius captured Athens in the fall of 525 and laid siege to Korinthos before retiring for the winter. The only thing that prevented Lupicinus from reaching Constantinople itself was a distraction from the north: the remnant of Lombard frontier forces, including the army that had faced off against Vitalianus at Sirmion, along with the Huns and Alans that the Romans themselves had hired.

In 526 he finished the job. After hunting down Hunnic raiders in Hæmimontus, the Roman army captured Hadrianoupolis to guard its rear areas, then laid siege to Constantinople. A long-term blockade was impractical, though, especially considering the threat from the north and the dubious supply situation on the Thracian plain. Smashing through the great Anthemian Walls of the city would be bloody as well, and Lupicinus probably didn’t have the manpower to do it, with slightly less than twenty thousand soldiers immediately on hand. Yet Rotharios seemed to have a sufficiently strong grip on the city itself to make betrayal a non-option. Fortunately, there was another alternative: naval assault. The Lombard fleet, such as it was, was brushed aside by Eugippius’ ships, which then offloaded marines into the city harbor area. Rotharios himself fled in a dromon, narrowly shaking off Roman pursuit. Initially bloody house to house fighting slowly petered out when it became clear that Rotharios was gone and further violence was basically pointless.

Symbolically, the recapture of Constantinople was a major event. In reality, it was only the beginning of Rome’s problems in the Balkans. Major organized military resistance was over, but effective Roman control was limited to the Via Egnatia, a few outlying cities, and Athens. North of the Hæmus Mountains, Huns and Alans roved around the countryside more or less at will, and several minor Lombard generals and local magnates had set themselves up as miniature potentates. And actual administration and tax collection would be problematic as well. Plus, Rotharios and the nucleus of a decently sized Lombard army were across the Straits in Bithynia, and would certainly make difficulties and act as a magnet for resistance.

So, much as the recapture of Carthage, though often viewed as a significant act in and of itself, was just one part of a long, hard slog, the recapture of Constantinople was just one step in Lupicinus’ campaign to restore imperial authority in the Balkans. Through 526 and 527 Roman forces were dispersed widely along the line of the Hæmus to bar the way south for Hunnic and Alan raiders, and the only major operations were the ongoing sieges in the Peloponnese. After 527 Roman troops were able to carry out punitive operations to the north, and in 529 the Danube river flotilla was resurrected under Lupicinus’ auspices – although effective control of the Moesiæ, Dacia Ripensis, and Scythia was still lacking. Civil administration was also slowly reorganized, with the three dioceses of Daciæ, Macedonia, and Thraciæ falling under the præfectura prætorio Illyrici, headquartered at (where else) Constantinople. So by 530 everything was looking more or less stable. Lupicinus was even contemplating an attack on Rotharios in Bithynia, who was fighting an interminable low-level war against the Goths. Of course, it was at that point that Lupicinus was recalled from his Thracian command and sent back to Italy; before he could do so, however, he caught ill and died at Serræ in January 531.

At the time, Lupicinus’ adjutant, the historian-army officer Eugenius, accused Procopius of poisoning his boss, blaming the Emperor’s “jealousy” and “incompetence” and arguing that Lupicinus was too effective a military leader to be allowed to have any power, even at the expense of the welfare of the Roman state. Of course, Eugenius wrote these words in the same history in which he claimed that Procopius was a demon with a disappearing head and that his daughter Serena secretly dressed up as a whore and indulged in massive orgies. Considering that and Eugenius’ penchant for hero-worshipping Lupicinus (who was certainly a competent military leader, but no godlike genius), it’s fair to call him a little biased.

Instead, the reasoning was far more prosaic – and arguably more dangerous for the Roman state. The Balkan campaigns, although they added taxable land to Roman territory, placed a far greater burden on Roman coffers and manpower than they returned. In addition, the Roman monetary reforms of the last few decades were having radically different impacts in different regions. The Gallic and Hispanian provinces didn’t have to shoulder as much of the fiscal burden as did the more developed and monetized provinces like Italy and Africa. Italian magnates’ resentment at this “unfair treatment” was made worse by Procopius’ efforts to spread offices and commands around among the Gallic and Hispanian aristocracies. Boethius, the magister officiorum, did his best to wine and dine his fellow Italian notables, but personal connections only amounted to so much. In 529, the situation deteriorated even further when Vitalianus, at the head of the Illyrian army, was killed in battle against the Thuringians near Teurnia. Over the next few years, Thuringian and Heruli raids began to reach Italia Annonaria, culminating in a (failed) siege of Verona in 531.

So the regime’s Italian critics were hopping mad, and Procopius was basically trying to placate them and restore a semblance of order on the northern frontier. Undoubtedly, Lupicinus would have helped out there quite a bit. Unfortunately, he wasn’t available. A scratch force under the command of Numerius Salvius was only able to catch some of the Thuringians, and not others. And other military pressures started developing on the northern frontier, as well. Alamanni and Franks raided widely south of the Liger, and annihilated an army of Burgundiones and Romans outside Lugdunum in 532. Still, by 534, Procopius’ military reshuffling and redeployments had stabilized the military situation to a degree. Salvius and other generals were effectively responding to most incursions and stopping them “on the way out”. It was in that year that Procopius inconveniently chose to die of old age.

By this time, the Anthemian dynasty (also called the Procopian dynasty, confusingly) had been entrenched for over sixty years, developing a significant amount of dynastic loyalty in the empire. It was thus somewhat unfortunate that Procopius’ only child was his twentysomething daughter Ælia Serena. The political situation demanded a relatively strong Emperor, preferably with military credentials and no obvious ties to any particular regional interest group. Instead, the Romans got a woman, recently married to an Italian aristocrat, who qualified as the most militarily experienced princess or empress in the past century because she had been present in Verona during the 531 siege. However, Serena had the salient advantage of already being a crowned Augusta, featured prominently on imperial coinage in joint rule with her father for the past seven years.

Her husband, Decimius Constantinus (referred to in later histories as Constantinus III), duly joined his wife on the throne on his father-in-law’s death. Within months, a major military crisis in the Gallic provinces emerged, as more losers from the political struggle in Britannia decided to make their own way in the Empire. This time around, the migrants were chiefly Saxon; though disorganized in the extreme, they established themselves in Lugdunensis Secunda, and raided widely further south. Constantinus’ government’s inability to deal with the Saxon migrants was yet another grievance as far as many Gallic magnates were concerned. With their support, the magister militum per Gallias, Iovinus, raised a cousin of Procopius’ to the throne. This contestant, one Verenianus, quickly managed to get backing from much of the Gallic senatorial aristocracy, along with the Visigothic auxiliaries. Within months, open fighting had broken out in southern Gaul between Constantinian loyalists and Verenianian rebels. Heruli and Thuringian raiding intensified in the north as Roman troops were diverted to the Gallic front. Imperial funds that were already running near to empty were expended even further in creating an army in Hispania to try to improve the situation vis-à-vis Verenianus.

In short, the situation was unpromising. Still, the Italian field army scored some badly needed successes in the waning months of 534, even if they were fairly minor. Arelate, the center of imperial government in the Gallic provinces, was captured by imperial forces under the overall command of Salvius, and a small but highly mobile group of Thuringian raiders was cornered and destroyed south of Tridentum. Things continued to get worse and worse in other ways, though. Mauri attacks on the African provinces increased again, and the Channel fleet that Procopius had been building up was more or less destroyed and/or captured by the Verenianians. Even more troops had to be pulled out of the Balkans to make good losses in other areas, until the replacement magister militum per Thracias, Orosius, was paralyzed into total inaction from abject fear of the numerical inferiority that faced him.

And well might Orosius be paralyzed. Rotharios, who was absorbed in interminable Anatolian campaigns against the rebellious Goths, was by now the least of his worries. In 535 a new challenger appeared, in the form of Egypt. Antiochos’ son, Gaianos, inaugurated his reign with a series of military successes against a somewhat surprising enemy. Sāsānian Iran in the wake of the Mazdaki disorders had been ready and willing to expand to the west. Hormizd IV started the big push in 528, attacking Syria for being such a crappy and willful puppet state. With the willing aid of Fridereiks and the Goths of Anatolia, Sāsānian armies streamed into Syrian territory and delivered a series of body blows to the Syrian military. In response, Gaianos intervened on the Syrian side, valuing Syria too much as a fellow anti-Chalkedōnian partner (and, more prosaically, as a handy buffer for Egypt’s northern border) to allow it to be squashed by Sāsānian military might. At any rate, the Egyptian armies had scored defensive military successes, Hormizd’s Gothic allies had suddenly discovered urgent appointments in Bithynia, and renewed pressure from the Hayāṭila, and in the process a somewhat shrunken Syrian domain became beholden to Egypt.

Now, Rome was looking weak and overstretched in the Aegean, and the door was wide open. The Egyptian general Zoilos landed at Athens in the summer of 535 and rapidly drove out Roman garrisons in Achæa. His twenty-five thousand men dwarfed the Roman field army in Thrace, which quickly retired northwards to Thessalonikē to avoid destruction. In the meantime, a Roman flotilla was wiped out by Egyptian ships off Halonnēsos. For good measure, the Danube frontier was breached yet again by Alans and Gepids. Orosius’ overall timidity didn’t help things, but it’s hard to see what a more daring general would have done with so few resources on hand. That said, while Orosius can be reasonably acquitted of the charge of letting the Greek and Danube defenses down, he committed a serious error in 536 and 537 in withdrawing the bulk of his ten thousand-odd Roman troops to the east, falling back on Constantinople, impossible to supply and cut off from any reinforcement. By the end of 537 the Thracian field army and Constantinople were completely cut off from Italy, and in the next year Egyptian forces invested the city.

Rome suffered some more serious shocks to its tax base during the course of 535-7, with extreme variable temperatures ruining crops and resulting in poor harvests. The only real consolation was that the Gallic territories controlled by Verenianus’ supporters were even worse off. Of course, it wasn’t as though the Romans had any other immediate advantages over the Gallic usurpers. Even the fact that harvests were slightly less worse in loyalist territory than in rebel territory was good news, by the standard of news Constantinus III was getting. In 536 Salvius, what was left of the Empire’s Burgundian auxiliaries, and the Italian field army were surprised and defeated at Valentia Iulia. Arelate wasn’t lost, but the effective end of the Burgundiones as a force in Gallic politics and military affairs was crippling to the loyalist cause. The Egyptians beat up on a Roman fleet off the coast of Zakynthos in the same year. And Heruli raiders destroyed the army camp at Siscia on the Savus in 537, dealing a heavy blow to the Illyrian field army at the same time.

Internally, Constantinus’ regime wasn’t doing much better. In 537, the comes sacrarum largitionem Q. Aurelius Celer, mastermind (with Boethius) of the Procopian reforms, died of old age. While it wasn’t though the already parlous state of imperial finances got magically worse as soon as Celer died, his successors didn’t have as good relations with their colleagues and subordinates and efficiency suffered. The effects of the civil war were also proving to be murder on the coinage. Verenianus, both as a matter of propaganda and to help pay his soldiers, was minting heavily in captured imperial mints in the Gallic provinces, effectively restarting the hyperinflationary period of the fifth century – making it urgent in more ways than one that the usurper be defeated.

By 538 the situation had deteriorated to such an extent that Constantinus was reaching for even the cheesy expedients to help bolster his authority and reverse the military problems. For the first time in a very long time, the reigning emperor took command of a field army – in this case, what was left of the Italian army – and campaigned in person. Leaving Serena to run affairs in Ravenna, Constantinus joined the army at Mediolanum and crossed the Alps in the spring, marching rapidly to relieve a Verenianian siege of Arelate. A few sharp actions around Arausio sufficed to compel the Verenianian commander, Agroecius, to retire northward with his army. Constantinus captured a few fortresses in the southern Rhodanus valley to provide more protection for Arelate, and then returned to northern Italy, where he defeated some Thuringian raiders. By autumn he was back in Ravenna. The campaign didn’t end up being the momentum shifter that the Emperor would have hoped. While the Verenianians were temporarily backfooted, Heruli raids only increased. Not long afterward, word reached Ravenna of the fall of Constantinople to Egyptian forces, and Orosius’ capture with some thousands of his troops.

Constantinus III died in the spring of 539. His reign had not been a happy one; forced into unpleasant courses of action by events beyond his control, he had been unable to prevent widespread rebellion in the provinces, fiscal and monetary crises, bad harvests, barbarian incursions, and the loss of Procopius’ conquests in the Balkans. Still, the Italian-African-Iberian core remained largely intact. Rome was clearly having problems…but so, indeed, were its enemies. There was still scope for recovering Gaul, at least – so long as there was a resolute leader at the helm. Therein lay the rub, though. Constantinus, who blamed “lazy sperm”, didn’t have any kids, and the most credible male dynastic claimant to the throne was Verenianus in Gaul. In the immediate aftermath of the Emperor’s death, it seemed quite plausible that the Roman Empire’s remaining military commanders would fight each other to death over his corpse.
 
It is not common for the position of empress or queen to be viewed as an institution in its own right. In the Roman world, though, especially after the introduction of Christianity, empresses were just as much officials of the state as were præfecti prætorio, vicarii, or magistri militum. They served as deputies for their husbands if and when those husbands were away, and frequently acted as the arbiter of imperial religious policy, just as a patricius of the fifth century was the arbiter of military policy. In a Roman imperial world predicated on personal rule of the autocratic Emperor, the Emperor’s wife was one of the most important conduits to his power and patronage, and frequently wielded a significant amount of personal authority. What separated the Empress from the rest of the imperial offices was the poorly defined nature of her authority and responsibilities. In the Roman autocratic state, though, any office was subject to change on the Emperor’s whim, and as a magister militum might find himself in command of a slightly enlarged or shrunken area of military responsibility, so too might an Empress find herself granted more religious leeway, symbolic authority, or whatever, depending on the circumstances – she was not as different as she might have seemed.

Arguably the only real block to an Empress’ assumption of supreme authority was the control of an army. Few Empresses ever went on campaign, and few were able to gain the kind of favor in the camp that would permit them to wield military power in support of a right to rule. While some of them played inspirational roles in sieges – the mother-protector of the Empire, as it were – this role was nothing like what most Emperors could play up. Serena was unusual in having spent time with the army, at the siege of Verona. She had her partisans in the military, especially due to her dynastic connections, and was especially popular with the Italian præsental field army. More importantly, though, she had loyal officers who were – at least for the moment – prepared to act on her behalf without simply using her as a springboard to the supreme office. One of these, Flavius Litorius, an Iberian who had served with distinction in southern Gaul, was fortunately in Ravenna when Constantinus died.

Tongues, of course, wagged then and now, claiming he had poisoned the Emperor. It’s hard to see any real motive for doing so, since Litorius was already a rising star and there’s no knowledge of any ill will between him and Constantinus. In any event, Litorius quickly assumed command of the troops around Ravenna, who raised Serena on their shields, affirming her role as sole ruler. She moved quickly, gaining full support from Pope Laurentius II, and acclamation from the assembled Senate. Litorius was invested with an extraordinary command, corrector totius Galliæ, giving him civil and military authority in the war against Verenianus. Much of the civil service was kept on, as was magister officiorum Boethius.

Unsurprisingly, Serena was faced with opposition in the Illyrian field army. To handle that particular threat, she dispatched another worthy, the Greek eunuch Theodoros, to assume command over the army and put down the rebels. Theodoros was invested with command over several contingents of Sciri and Gepid mercenaries, as well, who typically augmented the forces of the Illyrian army. With surprising ease he managed to get the barbarians on his side, then, with them at his back, forced the former magister militum per Illyricum, one Severus, to give up his command. A few of the most vocal rabble-rousers were executed, and Theodoros himself followed up by securing the remaining soldiers’ confidence with successful attacks on the Heruli.

Still, none of these actions was decisive in and of itself. Securing her power was one thing, but Serena still had to contend with Verenianus, stop the northern raids for good, and figure out some way to deal with the Egyptians. All that was left of the Procopian reconquest in the Balkans were a few isolated outposts: Sirmion, Dyrrhachium, Nikopolis, and Lissus, defended by scratch forces totaling only a few thousand men. It would not have been particularly difficult to crush these remaining outposts with Egyptian land and sea supremacy. Gaianos, however, decided that these outposts could be reduced at Egypt’s leisure. More threatening, in his view, was the remaining Lombard army in Bithynia, and the Goths of the Anatolian plateau. Egyptian armies under the command of Zoilos and Philoponos were diverted east, where they scored major victories over the Goths and totally overran the remnant of the Lombards – but for another year, at least, the Roman hold on the Adriatic coast was still intact.

In the summer of 539, looking to exploit Constantinus III’s death and expecting widespread discontent among the præsental field army, Verenianus’ general Iovinus launched an offensive towards Arelate, trying to capture the city and wipe out imperial control west of the Alps. Litorius marched against the rebel army, and the two faced off on the Druentia River. When battle was joined, the imperial army attacked in echelon, with the crack palatini legiones in the lead, overwhelming Iovinus’ best troops and driving the remainder into the river, where many drowned. The rebels’ combat power had not been destroyed by any stretch, but the signal victory on the Druentia represented a change in momentum. Litorius was able to follow up the battle with a series of attacks on rebel fortresses in Narbonensis that effectively cleared the land route to Hispania.

The Verenianians were in trouble from other quarters, too. Iovinus could not support the Gallic field army on the Gallic provinces’ resources, and taxes had to be raised precipitously, ruining the goodwill much of the Gallic aristocracy felt towards the rebellion. Even as it was, pay for both Roman and barbarian – Visigoths and Saxons both – was scanty and often insufficient. After the failure on the Druentia, those barbarians represented the majority of the Gallic army’s disposable manpower. The Visigothic phylarchus Recaridus parlayed that into an expansion of Visigothic territory, and installed many of his supporters in high positions in the rebel government. Where he turned the usurpers’ military problems into advantages, the Saxon leadership was too dispersed or nonexistent to do the same. Instead, many of the Saxons shifted to outright raiding and pillaging in rebel territory instead of doing so under the guise of military requisitions. Verenianus and Iovinus lacked the manpower to deal with their raids, and their standing with the Gallic aristocracy took yet another hit. In the fall of 539, the city government of Vienna threw out its Verenianian garrison and requested assistance from the imperialists, which Litorius was all too happy to provide.

Recaridus, who effectively controlled the usurper’s military affairs, launched a series of initiatives designed less to win the war for Verenianus than to provide Visigothic security against Rome. He convinced the Vascones, the disorganized bacaudæ of northern Hispania, to raid south of the Pyrenæi. To this end, and to make them a more effective offensive instrument, he disbursed Verenianus’ cash to one Æghyna to better centralize Vascon authority. Litorius was forced to divert the small Hispanian army to deal with the Vascon incursions. That still left him the præsental army to crush the Verenianian resistance in Gaul itself. In the spring of 540 Litorius and his troops left the Arelate area and marched north, clearing out rebel garrisons in the Rhodanus valley in the process. By early summer he had reached Lugdunum, and in order to force a set-piece battle he besieged the city, hoping to crush the rebel field army in a second, decisive engagement.

Yet no army came: Recaridus was unwilling to risk his Visigoths for eastern Gallic territory, and Iovinus, who was attempting (and failing) to deal with the Saxons, was too far away to intervene in time. Imperial troops recaptured Lugdunum within a month and moved on towards Avaricum, Verenianus’ putative capital. On the way, Litorius received invitations from disgruntled Gallic senators and local landowners to reoccupy much of the old frontier. Others, though, had accepted protection from various Frankish groups. Litorius responded to many of these requests, reducing his field army to some fifteen thousand men as he neared Avaricum. By that time, Iovinus had reached the area and Recaridus had gotten spooked by the Romans’ location. This time, the allies drew up twenty-five thousand troops in formation at Gorgobina. The imperialists blinded the rebels’ “eyes” by driving in their outposts, then were able to launch a surprise night attack on the camp. Iovinus and many of the Romans were killed or surrendered, but a sizable portion of the Visigothic forces were able to retreat in the confusion. In the aftermath, Litorius was able to march to Avaricum. By the time he got there Verenianus had committed suicide, and many of his troops surrendered without a fight.

Fighting in the west was not by any means over, though. Just as the capture of Constantinople had only just started the war in the east, the capture of Avaricum left several knotty problems for the corrector totius Galliæ to handle. The Saxons in the north would need to be crushed, of course, and the Franks evicted. Most importantly, though, the Visigoths and Vascones were a major organized security threat. Serena had it in mind to smash the Visigoths entirely, totally ending their special relationship with the Empire, and Litorius agreed. It was unfortunate that Recaridus had control over so many of the troops from the old Gallic field army, and worse that he had used Verenianus’ rebellion to extend Visigothic control over the three Aquitaniæ.

Further east, Theodoros rebuilt the shattered Illyrian field army and toughened it with successful, if minor, campaigns against the Heruli, backfooting them and – for the moment – stopping the raids on beleaguered Pannonia. By late 540, with Heruli territory in a poor state, Serena proposed a truce and subsidy, which was hurriedly accepted. Theodoros then moved to Salona, where he began building up the army to go back into the Balkans. The Romans still controlled their Adriatic outposts, and Egypt was suddenly looking weaker than ever before. Plague had broken out along the Nile, and one of its casualties had been Gaianos himself. His sons scrambled for the vacant Egyptian throne, and soon an intractable civil war had broken out, which stymied Egyptian operations in Anatolia and Greece – and the plague itself, which screwed with the Egyptian economy and depleted the ranks of the army, obviously didn’t help matters.

But before the Visigoths were defeated, no eastern expedition could take place. Litorius’ target for 541 was Tolosa, recovered by Recaridus just a few years before. Although the Romans were harassed by Visigothic forces before they reached the city, no major engagement eventuated, and Litorius was able to settle down to a siege. In an effort to boost her military cred even further, Serena crossed the Alps to visit the siege lines at Tolosa, bringing along extra cash and troops for the præsental army. This perhaps rash move nearly got her killed by raiders when crossing the Atax River, but she ultimately reached Tolosa safely and spent a few weeks there, presiding over the capture of the city. As Litorius secured the area and prepared to move north against the Visigothic heartland around Burdigala, the Empress returned to Ravenna. In her absence, there had been two attempted coups, both of which were put down by the eunuch comites domesticorum Severus and Constantius – her rule was by no means secure yet.

By the autumn of 543 the Visigoths had finally been penned into a corner around Burdigala. Elements of the Procopian Gallic fleet, which had defected first to Verenianus and then back to Serena, blockaded the harbor, while Litorius’ troops closed in by land. Recaridus’ efforts to come to a compromise peace with the imperial authorities were rebuffed. The Visigoths attempted to break out by land, but the ensuing sortie was a slaughter, as the experienced Roman comitatenses slaughtered Recaridus’ close-order troops. Within three weeks the besiegers had broken into the city. Remarkably, Litorius was able to prevent a sack, and reenlisted many Roman and some Gothic troops back into the imperial military. Most of the Goths were slaughtered, though, and eventually he permitted looting. The Visigoths as an ethnic group had not ceased to exist – but as an independent power bloc in Roman territory, and as an organized people, they were no longer a factor.

That still left the Vascones, who felt the brunt of Roman military power in the West from 544 onward – and the Franks, and the Saxons, against whom Litorius campaigned personally in the following years. By 546 the drain on the western front was sufficiently reduced to permit Theodoros, in the east, to launch his attack on the Balkans. Egypt’s position had not improved markedly in the five years since the civil wars began. One of Gaianos’ sons, Apollinarios, had gained control of Egypt itself, along with many of the garrisons around the Aegean and the fleet, but Palæstina was strongly held by partisans of the other son, Eutyches “Melanos”, who also had the support of the current phylarchos of the Banū Ġassān, al-Mundhir ibn Jabalah and of the Syrian autokratōr Isidoros. Egyptian-controlled territory in Anatolia had more or less fallen to pieces, with the Gothic ruler Giballos overrunning much of the remainder.

At the same time as Theodoros’ landing at Dyrrhachium, though, the Sāsānians reentered the picture. Šāh-an-šāh Ardašīr III saw the Egyptian civil war as the perfect opportunity to smash persistent Syria, and did. In 545 Sāsānian troops under the command of one Shahrapan crossed the Euphrates and crushed a Syrian army at Barbalissos, but did not exploit their victory – Ardašīr was dipping his toes in the water. Next year an invasion came in full force. Hierapolis was sacked by a virtually unopposed Sāsānian army, which pushed on to Kyrrhos, then swung north to Samosata. Isidoros was effectively powerless against the Iranian army, and friendless to boot, an extremely crappy combination.

With that ominous threat materializing from the East, Theodoros opened his campaign in the Balkans. That old catspaw, Pelagonia, was stormed yet again, clearing the way across the Pindos. This time, the eunuch general had its walls torn down in a combination of both optimism and pessimism, and continued to Thessalonikē, where the shell-shocked Egyptian garrison turned over the city without a fight. The ten thousand-odd troops left in Greece and Thrace – loyal to Apollinarios – were too spread out to effectively respond. Brushing minor detachments aside, Theodoros overran most of the garrisons in Greece within the year. Only Korinthos held out over the winter, and that was more out of a lack of time to capture it than serious Korinthian resistance or a lack of Roman means.

In 547, a more serious threat appeared south of the Danube, in the form of a large group of organized Gepid raiders. These Gepids, drawn south by the evaporation of organized Egyptian border defenses, sacked Markianoupolis and crossed the Haimos. The remaining Apollinarid Egyptian garrison in Thrace, led by one Stephanos, was powerless to resist and too weak to even offer the Gepids any inducement to fight at their side. Theodoros, with eighteen thousand men in hand, crossed the Rhodopē Mountains and ambushed the Gepid main body near Philippoupolis, dealing them a serious blow but failing to disperse the raiders. Still, the victory gave the Romans enough breathing room to continue to Constantinople, which was besieged. Before long, Stephanos and his garrison capitulated, and Roman troops reentered the city after nine years of Egyptian control. Not long afterward, more Romans, under the command of Theodoros’ subordinate Ursicinus, stormed Korinthos, capturing the local Egyptian army payroll, a not insignificant sum.

While Roman troops were cleaning up in the Balkans, Sāsānian attacks in Syria intensified. Much of the 547 campaigning season was taken up by the epic siege of Zeugma, a major Syrian fortress that threatened the Sāsānians’ northern flank. The siege, related in the Church chronicle of the soldier-monk Ioannes bar Qursos, eventually ended after three months when the Sāsānians, having captured a ridgeline to the southeast, were able to launch a coordinated attack on the city from two directions. It was not as though Zeugma had bought the Syrians any time, though. There just weren’t enough men to fight both Goths and Sāsānians, and for that matter not enough to fight even one of them. In the same year, in fact, the Goths overran the last Syrian strongholds north of the Tauros Mountains. The end, not to be too melodramatic, was at hand for Isidoros and the Syrian monarchy.

While Theodoros spent 548 clearing out the Balkans and dispatching a small expeditionary force under Ursicinus to establish a foothold in Bithynia, the Sāsānian ērān-spāhbed Gūdarz, scion of the Ispahbudhān, launched a major offensive into the Syrian heartland, aiming at the capital. The resulting Great Big Siege of Antiocheia, which involved the usual stratagems and some slightly unusual ones, ended after two months when Gūdarz captured Isidoros at a parley and had him order the city to be opened. Thousands died in the ensuing sack, and most of the city’s movable wealth was sent back to Iran. Some Syrian garrisons in the south – especially that of Damaskos, under the command of the general Rōmanos – remained resistant, but effective military opposition to the Sāsānians in Syria collapsed. Gūdarz followed up his victory at Antiocheia by razing Apameia to the ground before retiring back across the Euphrates.

The corrector totius Orientis could not effectively invade Anatolia and dislodge the Egyptians there without secure lines of naval communication and supply. Theodoros was fortunate to be the beneficiary of several years of Roman naval construction programs to replenish the losses of the 530s. Under the command of the admiral Priscus, a sizable Roman fleet sailed around Cape Tainaron into the Aegean, on a search-and-destroy mission. Priscus’ ships were unopposed until they attacked the major Egyptian naval base at Smyrnē, capturing more than fifty vessels and sinking another fifty. Apollinarios’ chief admiral, one Ioannes, sailed from Alexandria with a fleet of equal size, and worsted the Romans off Myra in Karia. A few months later, Ioannes rashly divided his fleet to try to recover part of the Peloponnese. Priscus seized on the opportunity and fell upon each of the Egyptian squadrons in turn, defeating them in detail at the naval battles of Kalymna and Anaphē. By the close of the Aegean naval campaign of 549, the waters north of Crete were effectively closed to Egyptian fleets. Theodoros had his secure lines of communication.
 
During the course of 549, Ursicinus and a small force of some four thousand men had been patiently establishing a secure beachhead in Bithynia. He was able to recruit significant numbers of Romans and Lombards into the army – troops left disorganized and jobless after the collapse of the legitimist Lombard forces in the region under Rotharios. These expedients doubled his effective troop strength, so that, from his base at Nikomēdeia, Ursicinus was able to seize outposts at Prousa, Klaudiopolis, and Hērakleia. He faced little effective resistance. No organized Egyptian garrisons lay in his way – the work, not of plague, but of civil war. And the Goths were too busy dismantling the Syrian state to bother with a tiny Roman expeditionary force in Bithynia.

At the same time, Serena and her advisors were determining the best course of action with regard to Anatolia and the East. Several generals, including the comites domesticorum and Litorius, were convinced that even the Balkan entanglement was too risky, and to extend the war deep into Anatolia and beyond would mean weakening imperial resources beyond reason. Better instead to employ the Egyptian civil war as a breathing space, during which Rome could consolidate what it had. Theodoros’ partisan Avitus, who held the post of comes Hispaniæ, and the new magister militum per Illyricum Constantius instead argued that it was best to exploit this temporary state of affairs in the East. Rome was fiscally and militarily exhausted, true; but Egypt was even worse off, the Goths were distracted, and the Sāsānians might well draw off more of Rome’s enemies. The Romans, Avitus argued, would not get this kind of chance again. Serena was convinced by his arguments and by the lure of the glory of a successful conquest, and dispatched reinforcements to Theodoros et al., with the brief of reestablishing authority over as much of Anatolia and the East as was possible.

By the spring of 550 Theodoros had the reinforcements in hand and was prepared to cross the Straits. Having bought more time with a winter campaign against the Gepid raiders, he left several thousand troops behind to form the core of a new Thracian army under the command of magister militum Constans. He and twenty-five thousand of his own men sailed to Asia and met with about the same amount of resistance Ursicinus had, i.e. zero. Upon his chief’s arrival, Ursicinus, with a smaller detachment, set about overwhelming the garrisons of Egyptian-held cities and forts along the Aegean coast in concert with Priscus’ fleet. Theodoros himself struck out for central Anatolia and the Gothic heartland. After some abortive negotiations, Fridereiks drew up an army of Ostrogoths to oppose the Romans at Pessinous. The canny old eunuch placed the Roman army in a strong defensive position, and smashed Gothic attacks with sustained arrow fire. With his army in disarray, Fridereiks pulled back into the depths of Kappadokia, pursued hotly by Theodoros and his Romans.

Gūdarz of the Ispahbudhān had spent the past few years plundering Syria, but never actually attempting to occupy it – it was too militarily costly (and unsuited to the Sāsānian military) and there were too many potential enemies about from which to plunder. With his erstwhile Ostrogothic allies suffering a heavy defeat at Roman hands, Gūdarz decided that they were now a perfect target. Presuming that the Goths’ new defenses in the Tauros would be denuded of troops, he ordered simultaneous attacks on several passes to overwhelm the already stressed Gothic defensive net. The city of Anazarbos fell within days, and Tarsos was captured not long afterward. A gaping hole was soon torn in the Ostrogothic frontier, and Sāsānian raiders poured in.

Terrified of the Sāsānians, Fridereiks made a fresh attempt to come to terms with the Romans, and this time they were more willing to listen. Provisionally, Theodoros gave Fridereiks a viceregal command – comes Orientis – and defined his responsibilities as covering most of the old Roman dioeceses of Pontus and part of Oriens. Ostrogothic settlement was cordoned off to the Kappadokian and Galatian provinces. With Gothic and Roman forces at his back, Theodoros marched into the Tauros in fall 550 and dealt the Sāsānians a defeat at Faustinoupolis, scuttling Gūdarz’s plans for a cross-Tauros offensive. It was all well and good to defeat Iranian troops in the mountains, though – but on the plains of Kilikia, the heavily armored dehkāns would annihilate the cavalry-deficient Roman army. Until Theodoros had solved the tactical problem of dealing with the Sāsānian horse, the two sides would be at an impasse.

The problem was solved in an unexpected manner: the abrupt end of the Egyptian civil war. Having attempted to remain safe in his Palæstinian fastness for years, Eutyches Melanos had elected to take his chances with Apollinarios’ armies after learning of his brother’s defeats in Europe and Anatolia. With a strong force, including part of the Ġassānid army and a contingent from Damaskos, Eutyches had marched down the coast from Raphia to Pēlousion, where he fought an Egyptian army under the command of Apollinarios’ general Zoilos in the summer of 550. After gaining a defensive victory, Eutyches foolishly dispersed his army to pursue the routed Apollinarid army. He and his cavalry guardsmen were killed by a group of Egyptian infantry that turned and fought. Upon discovering this, his army disintegrated and Apollinarios became the victor by default. He attempted to reoccupy Palæstina, only to find it strongly held by the Ġassānids.

In the decades since their arrival in the Roman East, the Ġassānids had been heavily influenced by the Palæstinian view of Christianity, a synthesis of views on the controversy between Chalkēdōnian and anti-Chalkēdōnians over the issue of the nature(s) of Christ. Palæstinian “irenic” theology, which had evolved out of the need to reconcile the Chalkēdōnian views of the archbishops of Jerusalem with the opposed ones of the Alexandrian popes, was perhaps best formulated by the monk Leontios, who argued for the concept of uniting the (Chalkēdōnian) “two natures” – human and divine – of Christ in one “hypostasis”. He used easily understood metaphors for comparison: the hypostasis was like how water and a sponge come together in one entity, but remain separate by nature, for instance. Leontios and others had managed to convert many of the Banū Ġassān by the 550s, supported enthusiastically by the phylarchoi, who saw the alternative theology as a way of maintaining “independence of the mind” from the overlords in Alexandria.

Irenic Chalkēdōnianism contributed to al-Mundhir’s complete break with Egyptian authority, but the Ġassānid move was motivated by other, arguably more important factors as well. Like Eutyches, al-Mundhir saw an Egypt weakened by plague and civil war and unable to exert its will upon others. Now was essentially the perfect time to seize power. With his religious bent – and, more practically, his geopolitical position – al-Mundhir could almost certainly count on Roman approval, perhaps even Roman support. So in the aftermath of the Battle of Pēlousion, al-Mundhir seized control of most of the Palæstinian provinces and Phoenikē and sent a request to the Romans for aid and recognition. Over the winter of 550-551, Theodoros passed the message to Serena at Ravenna, who enthusiastically agreed to naval support and recognition of “Alamundarus” as rex totius Palæstinæ – essentially an extraordinary command theoretically in the Roman hierarchy, but in practice quite independent. Further contacts between al-Mundhir and Theodoros led to strategic planning, and by spring the Ġassānids were prepared to launch an offensive against the southern flank of the Sāsānian corridor in Syria.

What ensued in the spring and summer of 551 was an elaborate campaign of maneuver warfare in northern Syria. Gūdarz and his Sāsānians attempted to link up with their Arab allies of the Banū Lakhm and crush the isolated Ġassānid army, while Theodoros endeavored to move quickly enough to reach the Ġassānids before they were overwhelmed by sheer numbers. Everybody’s troubles were compounded by the distances involved, poor reconnaissance (especially on the Romans’ part), and the inherent difficulty of coordinating and uniting two armies when all communications are by runner or rider. Near Laodikeia, al-Mundhir nearly fell into Sāsānian hands, but was saved by the arrival of Priscus and the Roman fleet, along with a sizable contingent of marines, which helped the Arabs hold the city until the Sāsānians exhausted their local supplies and were forced to draw off. Theodoros himself almost led his army into a Lakhmid hornet’s nest in the desert near Berroia, but managed to escape before the Lakhmids were able to close the net with the Sāsānians. At Kyrrhēstikē, the Roman and Ġassānid armies finally came together and narrowly defeated the Sāsānian army, employing trenches offensively to cover the Roman infantry’s flanks. The decisive blow was delivered by, of all people, some of Fridereiks’ Ostrogoths.

The Battle of Kyrrhēstikē by no means destroyed the Sāsānian and Lakhmid armies, but it battered them sufficiently that Gūdarz was convinced the campaign would cease to be profitable if it were continued. His sovereign was also worried about cost. Ardašīr III saw the Syrian campaign as having accomplished its goals. The Syrian state had ceased to exist, and the region had been plundered. Further glory and perhaps actual conquests awaited in the east, where the hated Hayāṭila qagans were suffering major defeats against a poorly-known group of rebels, the Tiele. Sugd and Dihistān lay wide open for the taking. With the tacit approval of their sovereigns, Theodoros and Gūdarz concluded a truce and went their separate ways, with the Sāsānians confined east of the Euphrates. Both Romans and Iranians prepared more formal diplomatic missions to hold talks at Hierapolis. But Theodoros himself had more important things to do. During the course of 551, Apollonarios’ armies had seized Raphia, and were preparing to bring Jerusalem under siege. That fall and winter, the Roman-Gothic-Ġassānid army made tracks for Palæstina. In the spring of 552, the Romans and allies won another victory at Ioppē that cleared the Egyptians from Palæstina and secured al-Mundhir’s control over the region.

Even as the Romans were winning signal military victories, and reestablishing control over an astonishing portion of the Empire of Constantinus Magnus, trouble was brewing in several quarters. First: the Gallic provinces. After the Visigoths were finally crushed in 543, Litorius had spent five years harassing the Vascones. The Romans could not invade and occupy their territory, nestled in the mountains along the sea-coast and nearly impossible to reach. But they were able to conduct punitive raids, burning crops, slaughtering villages, and so forth. Litorius also resettled many of those troublesome Visigoths in Vasconia, as a sop to Gallic landowners and to provide a better military basis for fighting them. The wily old Æghyna eventually brought the Vascones into the fold in 549, retaining significant self-government privileges and exemptions from military service and recruitment. Litorius had then turned on the Franks in full force, only to find that his troops were barely needed there.

During the course of the 540s, one of the great organized migrations in European history was picking up steam. Like the Huns before them, the Avars came from parts unknown. Some historians claim that they were Hayāṭila, others that they were from a qaganate north of China called the Tantan, and still others that they were neither of these groups at all, but a coalition formed by ethnogenetic pressures on the steppe. Whatever their origin, they had reached the Pannonian Plain by the early 540s, and were exerting serious military pressure against the Gepids by the end of the decade. Other migratory groups went further north, either as part of the Avar coalition or as groups “pushed” west by Avar movement. These northerly groups exerted serious pressure on the Thuringii, who started moving of their own accord. During the course of 549-551, the Thuringii crossed the Rhine and established dominance over many of the disorganized Frankish groups in Roman Germania and Gaul. Those that didn’t enter Thuringian “protection” were annihilated straight out. By 552 a Thuringian overking, Badereiks, had assumed sufficient power over the new Thuringian polity to negotiate with the Romans. Since effective Roman control changed little from the Thuringian migration, and a military campaign against him would be costly and arguably pointless, Serena and Litorius agreed to recognize Badereiks as rex Turingorum.

The Avars themselves caused other problems. By the early 550s they had more or less assumed control over the entirety of the Pannonian Plain, wiping out, driving away, and assimilating the Gepids that ruled there before. In 553, the magister militum per Illyricum, Constantius, at the head of an army of Romans and Heruli, drew a bloody battle with the Avars at Sopianæ. Further attacks on the Heruli by Avar chieftains weakened the Heruli so badly that they voluntarily revoked their semi-independence as foederati and asked permission to settle in the Empire as Romans. Avar raids didn’t stop, though; Constantius was hard pressed to deal with attacks through the gaps in the Adrianic Alps on the Dalmatian coast. As for what was left of the Gepids, they crossed the Danube into Thrace and settled north of the Haimos, which Constans, the Thracian magister militum, was powerless to prevent.

Serena was no fool; she fully recognized the vulnerability of her new conquests and the danger inherent in these new enemies. Realistically, there was little that could be done, except continue efforts to revive the economy and rearm. Manpower was only just beginning to recover from the disasters of the 530s, as was the imperial fisc. New conquests helped, but many of these were not under direct imperial control. Anatolia, for instance, ended up contributing very little to the Empress’s exchequer, as did Oriens. Many of the conquered territories were also in a ruinous state from the war, and only so many funds could be spent on improvements to infrastructure, like aqueducts or city walls. There was also imperial ceremonial and the Church to consider.

Speaking of the Church, the conquests helped to significantly change the nature of the Empire in religious affairs. In late 552, the anti-Chalkēdōnian archbishop of Antiocheia, Alexandros, died, and the Empress had Theodoros install one that was more in line with the 451 council. Efforts by the new archbishop, Ephraim, to impose Chalkēdōn on some parts of Syria were heavily resisted by local clergy. At the same time, there was a schism in the Alexandrian see; some monks, led by one Damianos, took anti-Chalkēdōnian miaphysitism to its logical extent and concluded that each of the parts of the Trinity had its own nature and substance. These “Tritheists” were attacked as being polytheistic by the Alexandrian pope Theophilos II, since if each element of the Trinity had its own nature and substance, they were essentially separate deities (according to his logic, anyway). The tritheistic controversy made Coptic Christianity look vulnerable, and the archbishop of Jerusalem, Anastasios II, wrote Serena, asking for her to convoke and support an ecumenical council to try to draw the Coptic church back into communion with the rest of Christianity. The Empress moved to Rome to hold the council, which was opened in July 555 in the Pantheon, converted to a church for the occasion.

Representatives were sent to this inventively named Council of Rome from the three Chalkēdōnian archbishoprics, as well as Antiocheia. Unsurprisingly, few Egyptian bishops attended due to threats from Apollinarios, and of these only four stayed for the entire council. During the proceedings, the irenic Palæstinian formula met with opposition from Pope Marcellinus II, who personally attended, and from most of the Coptic bishops, who argued that it didn’t actually concede them anything. One of the Egyptian bishops, Anthimos, demanded that the council condemn some earlier writings called the “Three Chapters”, writings from before Chalkēdōn that could be seen to approve of Nestorianism – Nestorianism being the grounds on which miaphysites disapproved of Chalkēdōn. In addition, Anthimos and the Coptic bishops wanted the authors of the Three Chapters anathematized as well as their works. It was to this last point that Chalkēdōnians, especially ones from the western sees, especially objected, feeling that it would be overly harsh to anathematize these men, who had died in good standing with the Church. Even though, ultimately, the hypostasis formula was confirmed, the Three Chapters remained untouched, and eventually Anthimos and many of his colleagues stormed out of the council over that issue.

In addition to approving the hypostasis formula, enthusiastically supported by the representatives from the sees of Antiocheia and Jerusalem, the Council formally recognized the “pentarchy” that had effectively existed since the Council of Chalkēdōn. The five great archbishoprics, those of Rome, Constantinople, Antiocheia, Jerusalem, and Alexandria, were given parity, with the position of Rome as “first among equals”, and all of the prelates were designated “patriarchs”. The problem of the Alexandrian patriarchy was resolved by the creation of what amounted to a shadow Chalkēdōnian clergy in Egypt, headed by a properly Chalkēdōnian patriarch. One of the Egyptian bishops that stayed for the whole council and signed its canons was appointed Patriarch Demetrios II by Serena to fill the need.

The 555 Council had not been the Church union that Anastasios II and others hoped it would have been, but in reality there was nobody around to seriously push for Church union in the first place. Perhaps if all five patriarchates were within the same territory, the secular ruler might have felt the need to push strongly for unification and badger the prelates into burying their differences over the Three Chapters and hypostasis – if that would have solved the problem, and it may very well not have. But Serena felt little need to conciliate the Coptic bishops, and by and large she let the churchmen handle their own issues. This (relatively; the Antiochenes, for instance, may have disagreed) hands-off approach ended up placing her in the constellation of great imperial ladies like Flaccilla and Helena revered for their piety and all that good stuff that a stereotypical Empress was supposed to live up to. Eventually, that and her actions later in life got her canonized.

The Council may not have formalized the separation of Coptic Christianity – that had happened more than a century prior, and in practical terms the resumption of communion was no longer a possibility by the sixth century anyway. It did not even formalize a limit on Roman reconquests – even though Serena elected to not pursue the path of an immediate attack on Egypt, it was certainly beyond Rome’s reach anyway, and only a great deal of luck had allowed the Empire to get as far as it had. But in symbolic terms, the Council was important in both of those respects. It was the last quixotic attempt to bring the Copts back into communion with the rest of the Church, and it was the signal that Serena had finally recognized how much she could swallow without choking – and that she might already have something stuck in her throat. Even more importantly, it’s a convenient stopping point.

OOC: I apologize in advance for any theological errors committed in the writing of this installment. I also apologize for how scatterbrained it is. Product of working on it over such a long period of time, I guess. Constructive comments and criticism, naturally, would be great. :)

Spoiler Mediterranean Littoral and Middle East, 555 :
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