American dominance

What will happen with the power of the USA over the next century?

  • The USA will gradually increase it's relative power.

    Votes: 6 6.3%
  • The USA will stay equal in relative power.

    Votes: 19 19.8%
  • Power of the USA will decline over the next decades.

    Votes: 71 74.0%

  • Total voters
    96
OT: Dachs: Well, as you describe it, it seems Rome was bound to fall.
Still, I don't completely understand how expansion could have no effect on it's stability; it would have given the people something to strive for and it would have given those elite communities a good opportunity to die and be replaced by more loyal feudal (as that is how it sounds in your description, Rome as a feudal system with the emperor on top but not really able to control his vassals)governors.
Am I wrong, or do you imply that ethnical division caused fracture? In that case, more Latinification would have been good too. Or moving people around a bit, like Stalin did. But that might have caused rebellion.

Still, I think that although the Germans might not have been the cause of the fall of Rome, they did decide it's ultimate fate : both England and France were Germanized, and they were quite important in world's history. Imagine if the WRE would have just fallen apart - you would have squabbling, but still Roman kingdoms.
 
OT: Dachs: Well, as you describe it, it seems Rome was bound to fall.
Still, I don't completely understand how expansion could have no effect on it's stability; it would have given the people something to strive for and it would have given those elite communities a good opportunity to die and be replaced by more loyal feudal (as that is how it sounds in your description, Rome as a feudal system with the emperor on top but not really able to control his vassals)governors.
Am I wrong, or do you imply that ethnical division caused fracture? In that case, more Latinification would have been good too. Or moving people around a bit, like Stalin did. But that might have caused rebellion.

Still, I think that although the Germans might not have been the cause of the fall of Rome, they did decide it's ultimate fate : both England and France were Germanized, and they were quite important in world's history. Imagine if the WRE would have just fallen apart - you would have squabbling, but still Roman kingdoms.

Roman kingdoms formed on Britain after Rome withdrew. I'm pretty sure the Saxons/Nords destroyed them.
 
Interferes with reproduction and tribal stability.

Not good enough.
If you want to make your point tell me what 'tribal stability' is. I can't see how buttsex will lead to riots. I also don't see how it affects reproduction. If people don't want children they usually don't get childre, if they want children they often get children. Our medicine is advanced enough for that. I also don't see why you want higher reproduction. When we take the economy and social mobility into account a higher birth rate now could just mean higher unemployment in the future.
It's a moot point anyway since it doesn't have much to do with your original declaration that the US is in moral decline, a statement that relies on a definition of morality which is not a definition of morality.
 
Not good enough.
If you want to make your point tell me what 'tribal stability' is. I can't see how buttsex will lead to riots. I also don't see how it affects reproduction. If people don't want children they usually don't get childre, if they want children they often get children. Our medicine is advanced enough for that. I also don't see why you want higher reproduction. When we take the economy and social mobility into account a higher birth rate now could just mean higher unemployment in the future.
It's a moot point anyway since it doesn't have much to do with your original declaration that the US is in moral decline, a statement that relies on a definition of morality which is not a definition of morality.

Pornography makes the real thing obsolete for many men in our society and major fetishes (beyond buttsex) can steer people towards lives of hedonism and indulgence, rather than selfless devotion to family and societal well-being.
 
Again, you reply with one sentence and make general statements without backing them up.
I don't know how experienced you are in these matters, but pornography does not make the real thing obsolete.
How does non-standard sex -for lack of a better word- steer people to hedonism ? How is it more harmful in this regard than videogames ? Alcohol ? Gambling ? How has this changed since the twenties ?
Do you really believe people in the past used to lead selfless lifes for the greater good and the sexual revolution put an end to it ?
 
Again, you reply with one sentence and make general statements without backing them up.
I don't know how experienced you are in these matters, but pornography does not make the real thing obsolete.
How does non-standard sex -for lack of a better word- steer people to hedonism ? How is it more harmful in this regard than videogames ? Alcohol ? Gambling ? How has this changed since the twenties ?
Do you really believe people in the past used to lead selfless lifes for the greater good and the sexual revolution put an end to it ?

I never said pornography makes sex obsolete, and if I have to explain how hedonistic activities lead to hedonism then you are hopeless. And no I do not believe and have never indicated that everyone pre-sexual revolution was a saint.

Take your strawman elsewhere.
 
If you don't like strawmen you should give more detailed answers.
 
I expect my country (US) to decline over the next few decades, and the most heart-breaking thing about it is I consider it to be our own fault.

The Bush administration got this country into two wars that were stupid at best. Then they got us into a national debt. They carried to torch to the Obama administration, who made our debt even worse.

Ok, to be fair I am somewhat of an Obama supporter, but I still disagree with his overspending as well as bailing out the banks.

I blame: 1. The masses of American people, who refuse to listen to what the other side has to say, and voting for politicians that only do things that is good for them in the short term rather than the long term.

2. The politicians, who are easily corrupted by major corporations, and many of whom don't seem to care much about their country, and can't get much done.

The bottom line is the masses of people are too closed minded to educate themselves about political issues (FYI Fox news is not a real education), and the politicians make terrible decisions, including but not limited to: giving tax breaks to "American" companies that put American jobs overseas, giving corporations way too many tax breaks and lack of regulations, and major emphasis on issues that don't effect the country much one way or another (such as gay rights and abortion) instead of focusing on the issues that are actually screwing the country over. Needless to say, they do that to get votes.
 
To me the biggest "moral" decline is evident in the fact that people who used to not lock their doors, do so now out of necessity not fear.
 
OT: Dachs: Well, as you describe it, it seems Rome was bound to fall.
Not really. It wasn't even "bound" to contract in territory and power. Gratianus' decision to move the capital back to Italy - the cause of the elite management crisis best documented in Halsall (2005) - was based on contingent factors - his tutor was Italian, he wanted to better manage the Gothic war, things like that - and was certainly not preordained. I can think of several ways to sustain the WRE beyond the fifth century.
strijder20 said:
Still, I don't completely understand how expansion could have no effect on it's stability; it would have given the people something to strive for and it would have given those elite communities a good opportunity to die and be replaced by more loyal feudal (as that is how it sounds in your description, Rome as a feudal system with the emperor on top but not really able to control his vassals)governors.
Giving the people something to strive for would be irrelevant. "The people" did not rule Rome. Furthermore, unifying the aristocracy around a single aggressive purpose is, to put it mildly, not plausible. Look, it's not like the Roman elites wanted the Empire to die or anything. Up to about 471, everybody, from the Vandals to the Goths to the Gallo-Romans to obviously the Italian notables and Emperor, was working within the Roman political and symbolic framework to secure better positions for themselves under the aegis of Rome.

"Feudal" is a pointless label when applied to Rome, and really oughtn't be used in a Western European context before the 900s or so when the ballyhooed "caging of the peasantry" happened. But if you mean that personal politics (instead of mass politics) was most important under the Empire, of course it was. It was most important under literally every government in the history of the world until the end of the nineteenth century. Mass politics did not exist; you couldn't work with parties, you had to work with individuals and cajole them into doing stuff for you.
strijder20 said:
Am I wrong, or do you imply that ethnical division caused fracture? In that case, more Latinification would have been good too. Or moving people around a bit, like Stalin did. But that might have caused rebellion.
No. Ethnic differences were irrelevant; all of the aristocrats and military officers I'm talking about were essentially part of the same classical Ciceronian Latin-speaking and -reading and -writing elite. Aristocratic literary culture was ossified around a series of Latin (and sometimes Greek) classics from the late republic and early imperial periods that had very little to do with the proto-Romance tongues that real people on the streets and in the farms were actually speaking. When I say "Gallo-Roman", I mean "Romans who were living in Gaul". Arguably, you could get a better classical Latin literary education in the provinces than you could in Italy by the middle of the fourth century (something noted letter-writer of the time Symmachus resented considerably).

The fact that ethnicity was irrelevant does not mean that sectionalism was nonexistent. Simply put, the Gallo-Roman elite had different interests than Italy's aristocracy did, and enjoyed considerable privileges under the fourth century emperors. Once Gratianus removed many of those privileges, the Gallic notables lost a significant chunk of their stake in the state, and wanted to get it back - and so frequently sided with rebellious generals who wanted to take the throne, like Magnus Maximus and Constantinus "III".
strijder20 said:
Still, I think that although the Germans might not have been the cause of the fall of Rome, they did decide it's ultimate fate : both England and France were Germanized, and they were quite important in world's history. Imagine if the WRE would have just fallen apart - you would have squabbling, but still Roman kingdoms.
Post-Roman Britain is the exception to a few of the rules one can have about the demise of the WRE. In Gaul, Iberia, and Italy, no meaningful mass migration on a scale incommensurate with the migratory activity under the Empire (which was considerable, by the way) took place. In Britain, it did. While I would object to the characterization of Angles, Saxons, Jutes, and so on as "Germans" (some of them may have spoken a language that is part of the Germanic language group, but so do Americans of the modern day, and we don't call them "Germans") - it's clear that a bunch of people moved to Britain and their language eventually became the primary one spoken in most of the island.

France, though - I dunno what you're talking about there. The French speak a Romance language directly descended from the Gallo-Romance tongue that normal people were beginning to speak around 400. There was no major meaningful migratory activity into Gaul. The only real legacy of "external" groups there was, in fact, the name of the country, a derivative of "Frank" - but the "Franks" that grew to dominate northern Gaul in the fifth century were primarily Gallo-Romans from the field army on the Loire River who adopted a "Salian Frankish" identity after a Romanized Salian Frank won control of that army in a power struggle in the 480s.
 
Yes, that was what I meant with feudalism. A king on top, and various 'servants' below him, who in turn hired men to help their cause. Not the social caste sytem, but the political system. Vassalage, as you like.
Never trust Wikipedia - it said the Franks were German. Well, in fact they were, but you explained that neatly.
So, in your opinion, the fall of the WRE on that date was just a matter of dicerolls? It could have very well have survived.
 
No. Ethnic differences were irrelevant; all of the aristocrats and military officers I'm talking about were essentially part of the same classical Ciceronian Latin-speaking and -reading and -writing elite.
Were ethnic differences that irrelevant, though? Even Clovis' Salic Law differentiates between "Franks" and "Romans" in some places.
 
So, in your opinion, the fall of the WRE on that date was just a matter of dicerolls? It could have very well have survived.
I wouldn't characterize it as "just a matter of dicerolls" - it was random, but not that random, and there were causative factors, they just need not have existed - but um, yeah, it could very well have.
Were ethnic differences that irrelevant, though? Even Clovis' Salic Law differentiates between "Franks" and "Romans" in some places.
Frankish ethnicity in the Salic Law and later Merovingian legal documents is a post-Roman construction and reflects extant differences between army and civilian spheres, not linguistic ones. "Franks" in the Salic Law would in fact have been comprised almost totally of men whose fathers were Romans born inside the Empire and served in the military, and would have spoken a variant of Latin or Gallo-Romance.

That has little to nothing to do with the political divisions between Gallo-Roman nobles and Italo-Roman ones, though. :confused:
 
Am I suposed to detail every possible permutation when I write something instead of expecting people to understand the general idea and follow up on their own?

Why should anyone follow up on generic statements that are wrong?
 
Am I suposed to detail every possible permutation when I write something instead of expecting people to understand the general idea and follow up on their own?

No, but your answers are so short and vague that it's kind of hard to see your point. It doesn't leave the impression that you've put much thought into it. Tribal stability ? Come on.
 
Am I suposed to detail every possible permutation when I write something instead of expecting people to understand the general idea and follow up on their own?
You can't spout one sentence here and expect everyone else to read your mind for context.

It's also a good idea to avoid statements like "hedonistic actions lead to hedonism". Tautology much?
 
Back
Top Bottom