I think this would be likely if we were to get 8 more, with the possibility of Haiti showing up over a second NA tribe. Though I would argue Italy could easily be paired with Austria in a pack with a theme of making Great Musicians great again.
That would leave room for something else, maybe not even in Europe. Either way I guess Bulgaria could there, if not Romania.
As far as Asia goes (not counting the Middle East) I'm on the fence if they would go for something like Burma/Tibet or Timurids/Mughals? I guess the former would make sense based off of the city-states they just released.![]()
If there is a second season, I would anticipate it being stripped down compared to NFP. No modes. Just civs, leaders, units, city-states, maps, wonders, etc.
Haiti definitely would be the dark horse, but it's the only other post colonial civ I would expect. That being said if they gave us two native civs, no matter if both in continental NA, or one in the Caribbean, I'd be fine with it.I do see Haiti as a dark horse, although I don't think it is as likely as the Navajo or Inuit. For one, because it wasn't very "expansionist" and was only nominally an "empire" (making it a dubious mechanical fit for the civ mold). For two, because there is a lot of North America that wants to be filled and I don't think one civ will be enough. And for three, I think if we were ever going to get a Caribbean civ, it would have been the Taino or Nassau Republic (something which realistically wanted to settle every island), and between Caguana and the Pirates! scenario, I think we just won't get a Caribbean civ this time around.
Going off the pairing new and old was the reason why I said Italy and Austria together. I consider Vietnam to be as marketable as a "new" Italy, unless they just give us Venice again.With regards to Austra/Italy/Bulgaria, I think the devs will try to do what they did with NFP as far as grouping civs by marketability. Both Austria and Italy are marketable alone, so they won't be grouped together. Of the two, Italy is far more popular and requested, so Italy is more likely to be sold solo (and, indeed, I think the only new addition that could have been sold solo; GC, Gaul, and Vietnam were still paired with other civs/leaders to sell their respective DLC packs). So I think Austria/Denmark will end up being paired with a "lesser" newcomer, and I think Bulgaria is the only significant empire we are missing on the European continent.
To be fair I agreed with the possibility of Numidia (Berbers) with the other Egyptian leader. In that case I could see Assyria/Hittites making a return.(Note, my predictions do directly contradict this soft rule, in that we probably won't get Oman as a single DLC, nor Burma or Tibet. Maybe Oman and Burma could be sold together under a different distribution model, but more likely I would bet that we would just get Assyria and Morocco, with Hatshepsut being paired with the Swahili or something like that).
My only question is would they give us another SEA civ on top of the 3 we already have? And another one that might get faith bonuses with unique holy site district/building similar to the Khmer?Normally I would have considered Burma and the Timurids roughly equal competitors for the Asia slot, but now that we have Samarkand and no Pagan, I think Burma is just more likely at this point. Ideally we could get both if development continued long enough, but if we're only looking ahead at the next year I think Burma has the clear edge.
Going off the pairing new and old was the reason why I said Italy and Austria together. I consider Vietnam to be as marketable as a "new" Italy, unless they just give us Venice again.
I also think Denmark is very unlikely. At least I'm not expecting a third civ from Scandinavia.
My only question is would they give us another SEA civ on top of the 3 we already have? And another one that might get faith bonuses with unique holy site district/building similar to the Khmer?
At this point, considering we got Kublai Khan for China and no Lhasa city-state yet, I'm tempted to say maybe Tibet has a chance?![]()
I agree that Denmark isn't as far behind as Austria, but as you said a separate niche is harder to fill considering we have Vikings (Norway) and the Early Modern Swedish Empire, while Denmark under Margaret would probably be designed as another Medieval, but non-Viking civ. To compensate they could let her lead all three.Given that we have Canada and the Cree, England and Scotland, Gaul on top of three French leaders, and are reasonably expecting Assyria on top of Sumeria and Babylon, I don't think the difference between Austria (on top of Germany and Hungary) and Denmark (on top of Norway and Sweden) is substantial. The only real advantages Austria has are:
1) Precedent of having been in the game already (which Denmark was as well)
2) Maria Teresa being a powerhouse persona (in which case Margaret I comes very close to the same level of fame)
3) Classical music and diplomacy being a slightly clearer angle to work with mechanically (although Denmark could easily find a science/industry/trade niche)
I think Austria is more likely because it's low-hanging fanservice fruit. But Denmark really isn't that far behind Austria in terms of implementability, and if we are seriously considering the Saami or Finland as a third Scandinavian civ, I think an actual empire is more likely based on VI's design tendencies.
The only reason why I said Timurids is because it is closer to Central Asia, but considering we also just got Lahore and Samarkand, probably not.I think Burma could distinguish itself enough by being more militaristic and maybe have a gold-to-faith exchange system. I agree their niche is a little more narrow wedged between Khmer and India. But is it all that different from the Timurids being wedged between Persia, Scythia, and Chandragupta?
I agree that Denmark isn't as far behind as Austria, but as you said a separate niche is harder to fill considering we have Vikings (Norway) and the Early Modern Swedish Empire, while Denmark under Margaret would probably be designed as another Medieval, but non-Viking civ. To compensate they could let her lead all three.
Currently Peter is also the only European leader who lived in the 1700s, so it wouldn't hurt to have another though.![]()
The only reason why I said Timurids is because it is closer to Central Asia, but considering we also just got Lahore and Samarkand, probably not.
I guess Tibet/Burma are the most likely candidates for East Asia/Central Asia.
To be fair I could care less about Austria if we just happened to get Maria Theresa as an alt leader to lead Germany and/or Hungary.Yeah, it is rather hard conceiving of how a medieval Denmark would be designed. Again, maybe trade and production. I don't have much particular fondness for the idea, but neither do I care much about Austria and Maria Teresa when we already have Hungary.
Ideally, a second season would only give us Bulgaria and Italy, and skip on any other European civs. Devote those resources to filling out other continents. But alas, I do think that Austria may be an inevitability if there is a second season pass. They need the clout of returning civs/leaders to sell the thing, and Austria is the last great stronghold in Europe. There is no way the devs aren't looking at it as a frontrunner.
To be fair I could care less about Austria if we just happened to get Maria Theresa as an alt leader to lead Germany and/or Hungary.
I'd really only want Maria Theresa in the game so if they pull off a pack with Italy and Maria Theresa as an alt leader with culture and diplomatic abilities, I'd be fine with that too.![]()
Good point. I guess Margaret would work in that regard too. But considering Germany is primarily designed around HRE, which Austria has historically been a part of and became a de facto leader for them, it feels like less of a stretch than it would leading a more modern designed German civ.It would be such a stretch to make her lead Germany, and on a completely different axis, make her lead Hungary but not Austria. I don't think the devs will reach that far for a leader. But I personally would allow it if it meant not having an Austrian civ in the game. And frankly, I would accept the same thing with Margaret leading Norway and Sweden, because the analogues are roughly the same between Germany/Sweden and Hungary/Norway.
And have "4 leaders" for France that's not either Louis XIV or Napoleon?And, while we are at it, if we are including token representation of "middle-man" civs by dual leaders with no real civ of their own, throw in Charlemagne too.
Good point. I guess Margaret would work in that regard too. But considering Germany is primarily designed around HRE, which Austria has historically been a part of and became a de facto leader for them, it feels like less of a stretch than it would leading a more modern designed German civ.
And have "4 leaders" for France that's not either Louis XIV or Napoleon?![]()
I do see Haiti as a dark horse, although I don't think it is as likely as the Navajo or Inuit. For one, because it wasn't very "expansionist" and was only nominally an "empire" (making it a dubious mechanical fit for the civ mold).
You could say this of a few other civilisations already in the game but, in this case, not of Haiti. Haitian leaders were intent on exporting their revolution throughout the Caribbean, supporting a slave uprising in Mississippi, conquering the territory now known as the Dominican Republic to "unite" Hispaniola, and also supporting the Bolivarian independence wars in Venezuela. Curiously, Haiti was also technically the first country in the world to recognise Greek independence, in a letter from President Boyer in 1822. The Haitian constitution was based on Enlightenment principles, and early Haitian leaders like Henri Christophe were fascinating characters, with Christophe building the remarkable (and now utterly ruined) palace of Sans-Souci. They absolutely have a place in some Civilisation game.
As far as what we have already, every civ was either an actual empire (most civs), an expansionist tribe/people that settled a lot of land (Norway, Scythia, Cree, Mapuche, Maori, Phoenicia, Gaul) or some kingdom with a sizeable amount of land and regional dominance that it was a "soft" empire over surrounding smaller kingdoms (Kongo, Georgia, Zulu, Hungary, Gran Colombia, Vietnam). Scotland is really the only civ that is hard to put into any of these three categories, and really the way it is designed it just feels like the other half of the British Empire, so category 1.
I gotta say it sounds like these are just “fan rules” retroactively applied to make sense of the civs in the game. The truth is the only criteria is that Firaxis wants to include a civ. Haiti is no more or less likely than any other new civ to be included.
That is some strange kind of definition, and I doubt Firaxis has any similar over-thinking of what "empire" means. For Civilisation all it denotes is a common, generic term essentially meaning "playable faction" like you find in other strategy games. It does not refer to an actual empire in the historical definitions of the word. Haiti had a sizeable amount of land and regional dominance which was largely curtailed from growing further by an economy shattered by petty French imperialism.
What about Korea?As far as what we have already, every civ was either an actual empire (most civs), an expansionist tribe/people that settled a lot of land (Norway, Scythia, Cree, Mapuche, Maori, Phoenicia, Gaul) or some kingdom with a sizeable amount of land and regional dominance that it was a "soft" empire over surrounding smaller kingdoms (Kongo, Georgia, Zulu, Hungary, Gran Colombia, Vietnam). Scotland is really the only civ that is hard to put into any of these three categories, and really the way it is designed it just feels like the other half of the British Empire, so category 1.
I disagree with PhoenicianGold's theory, but Korea did have a small empire under Goguryeo that extended into Manchuria (albeit not into the southern tip of the peninsula...).What about Korea?