Immortalism

Oh, I see. If I were diagnosed with Alzheimers or some other terminal degenerative disease, I'm quite certain I would want to go out by assisted suicide long before it reached the point where I could no longer recognize anyone or know what was going on around me. That would be both a burden on everyone else and a terrifying experience for me. It's especially bad that that they don't grant people with early-stage Alzheimers the right to make their own medical decisions for as long as they are fit to do so. I'm also a big fan of allowing people with truly incurable, severe mental illness to choose euthanasia if they have tried every possible treatment and never reached anything resembling a positive quality of life.

Then again, physician-assisted suicide is still a hot-button topic around the West, despite the fact that it generally receives majority support in polls and referendum outcomes. I believe only 5 or 6 states have legalized it in the US, and always with very stringent terms.
 
A more politically simple solution to the problem of Alzheimer's and suicide is a treatment being available. It's not a perfectly simple statement. But it's a simple observation.

Again, you're (deliberately?) avoiding the issue of degree. In the UK, the dying dictate the lifestyles of the healthy to the extent that they (='the elderly', here, which I think means over-65s) take up 40% of the NHS budget, or about 3.2% of GDP. So caring for the elderly means that younger people can't have a non-negligible amount of things - 3.2% of the UK's GDP is quite a lot. But in the grand scheme of things, it still leaves 96.8% of GDP untouched. Vastly increasing the number of elderly people, even while reducing the rate of diseases like dementia, cancer and so forth, would mean massive changes to how people could live - for one thing, there would be serious population pressures that would need to be somehow addressed, and a hugely skewed ratio of retired to working people. At some point, you have to start looking at how much social cost buys how much social good: it's not enough to say 'well, that's already a problem, so we shouldn't be worried about making it more of a problem'.

Yes, I underplay the degree a bit. But mainly because I am so already onboard with the idea that the problems being presented are legitimate and serious problems. And so I am less onboard with the proposed partial solution. The various objections people have to curing aging-related and poverty-related diseases usually get a "yes, let's effing fix that, I'll help". Because we're not already paying a terrific price for these ills, but it's being compounded by the fact that the cost is also being paid in other problems not being solved.

Look at it this way, if you came to me with your problems (overpopulation, retirement ratios, etc.) and I said, "oh, I can cause people to die five years early with a mandatory injection, but it also speeds the onset of physical and mental degeneration", you'd think I'm kidding. So, when we're seemingly not allowed to budge the trends either direction (increase or decrease age-based degeneration), then it's this weird idea that the current system is ideal. How does that work?
 
Um, that's not the only reason. I literally know dozens of people that I don't want to see slowly degenerate and become more decrepit. Also, because 'teamwork' is part of my theme, I am betting that this is true for other people too.

But there's also general empathy. I generally disapprove of the amount of (solvable) suffering in the world. This gets less traction, since a lot of people aren't prone to giving to charities that don't at least indirectly benefit themselves.
 
Hang on, you can't say that because these problems exist, it shouldn't bother us if they get worse. That way madness lies.
Who says the problems need to get worse?

You're arguing that you don't have a ready solution for them that doesn't involve people dying, therefore people must continue to die. I'd argue this is mad. We must find solutions to the other problems too because they already exist and are worth fixing on their own.

And I've tried to make the case that the other problems will likely be fixed on the way to achieving immortality because that's just how this sort of technological progress tends to work out. Automobiles weren't created to make people healthier by eliminating streams of horse feces in the streets and providing for faster access to emergency services but that's what happened. And yes, the automobile caused all sorts of other problems (and their own health hazards, of course) but society not only adapted but took a massive net gain from their invention and deployment.
 
Who says the problems need to get worse?

You're arguing that you don't have a ready solution for them that doesn't involve people dying, therefore people must continue to die. I'd argue this is mad. We must find solutions to the other problems too because they already exist and are worth fixing on their own.

And I've tried to make the case that the other problems will likely be fixed on the way to achieving immortality because that's just how this sort of technological progress tends to work out. Automobiles weren't created to make people healthier by eliminating streams of horse feces in the streets and providing for faster access to emergency services but that's what happened. And yes, the automobile caused all sorts of other problems (and their own health hazards, of course) but society not only adapted but took a massive net gain from their invention and deployment.

Hm, i am not really seeing how "immortality" is going to happen for anything other than the tiniest fraction of super-wealthy people, even assuming it can happen at all. So it is a bit naive to ask from the rest of society to help bring about something which won't help them in the slightest.
Moreover, i am not seeing how "immortality" has to exist in the end of a "prolongue life" medical series of breakthroughs. Infact i intuitively doubt it can exist, and even if it can it surely won't be something achievable at some moment as if it is a cure for a disease. It will require constant monitoring for side-effects, cause all life has a circle, and will die. Death is not a disease at all.
 
Hm, i am not really seeing how "immortality" is going to happen for anything other than the tiniest fraction of super-wealthy people, even assuming it can happen at all. So it is a bit naive to ask from the rest of society to help bring about something which won't help them in the slightest.
Moreover, i am not seeing how "immortality" has to exist in the end of a "prolongue life" medical series of breakthroughs. Infact i intuitively doubt it can exist, and even if it can it surely won't be something achievable at some moment as if it is a cure for a disease. It will require constant monitoring for side-effects, cause all life has a circle, and will die. Death is not a disease at all.
You can re-read my other posts on this subject. I think you're wrong and constructed a decent argument and theoretical framework for how this could play out. All you've done is said 'I suspect your wrong' without anything to back it up. Forgive me if I take a hard pass.

Would it be a good guess that you've read Cities in Flight, by James Blish?
I have not heard of that book. I actually have only read one book that was about anything resembling a generation ship and even that was a weird, soft-sci fi military adventure book divorced from reality.

Surely my thinking is heavily influenced by science fiction but it's also heavily influenced by my own grounding in the subject. I can't tell you how to build a generation ship but I can tell you what they would have to look like to work and provide some insight into the industrial capacity and advancement that will be required to make such a thing.

Why do kids get bored in a roomful of toys and a playground across the street? There are some nights when I sit here in front of my computer, Wikipedia just a couple of clicks away, I'm surrounded by books, fanzines, and DVDs, I have Netflix, and I just feel so bored that the only thing I can think of to do is either to read an Archie comic or go to bed. I've got over a thousand books in my personal library that I've never read, yet what I'm reading right now is a book I've read a dozen times already.
Yeah so why again is this a problem unique to a generation ship? One that will by definition have more advanced entertainment features than what we currently possess and will be a large, self contained ecosystem and major city. To be completely honest, boredom is simply not a problem a generation ship would face.

I'll admit that part of the problem is that I've had issues with clinical depression for many years. When it's really bad, I can barely muster interest in anything. If it weren't for the cats needing food, water, and litter box cleaning, there are some days that I wouldn't bother getting up. So there could be all of my favorite entertainments and activities right at my fingertips, and none of it would matter. I should think that anyone living on the ships or colonies you're imagining would have to be fully screened for such things as depression and other forms of mental illness. Hopefully by then a cure would be found for these things. Right now I wouldn't want an eternity of the sort of life as it is.
Why would anyone bother with mental health screenings more than a cursory check of sanity? We can't stop mental illness from spontaneously manifesting itself in anyone - much less in a population the size of a city. Of course they'd stop the completely mentally incompetent from boarding a ship in the first place but they wouldn't be able or even required to prevent people with all mental illnesses from boarding. A generational colony ship will (again by definition) have ample capacity to deal with mental illness.

So with your moneyless society and infinite availability of stuff, how would the economy work?
I don't know, I'm sorry I can't predict that. But I can look at the overwhelming, long-standing trends in human capacity for resource generation and utilization and confidently predict that one day soon our current economic models won't make any sense. I don't think serfs on farms in the middle ages could have predicted our modern economic system either but it changed nonetheless. The fundamental difference between us and them however is that they were too ignorant of how the world functioned to have even been able to ask the question in the first place.

So how would unlimited stuff and infinite possibilities for activities work in a city-sized spaceship? Severely limiting population growth, or zero-growth, as in Bova's Saturn/Titan novels? If it's limited growth, you'd have people applying to have children, and who gets to decide if they're allowed, and what would the criteria be? For that matter, if everyone is immortal, why even bother having children? (interesting side note: in the TV series Highlander and Highlander: The Raven, the Immortals are all sterile, even before becoming immortal; none of them can father or bear children)
I think population growth will naturally slow to a trickle over time. Kids are hard to raise and people choose to do it much less when given the option as we've seen all across the world. I think that trend will accelerate and we may come to a point where the only way to keep populations from crashing is to continually extend life spans. I don't think that's a particularly likely outcome however.

And then there's the possibility of extending or even creating life through human machine interfaces and AI. Hell there may even be a slow, natural progression of our entire species into artificial forms that won't require a Matrix style apocalypse.

But this is all way off topic.

And we're confusing two issues here. I don't think someone on a ship will have infinite possibilities - for that statement I was referring to Earth bound humans. Leaving on a generational ship will limit what you can do unless we invent a way to create large amounts of mass from pure energy and also have effectively limitless amounts of energy to do it. I don't know if that would ever happen but hell if you life billions of years who knows?

But for those of us who stay in the solar system (with effectively infinite mass) we'll eventually be able to do just about anything.
Assuming people would want to go to NYC in the first place... I assume there would have been an immense change in society to eliminate crime, or you'd have street gangs and organized crime out in space. And please don't say that in a post-scarcity society there won't be any crime because people will have everything they could possibly need or want. It's human nature to test the rules and break them. Do it out in space and the result could mean a very nasty death for everyone.
You're missing my point here and simultaneously looking over the self-selection inherent to getting on a generational ship.

And again I will say that it is not easy, by definition, of taking down an entire generational colony ship any more than a street gang could take out NYC.

Time lag... have a long enough time lag and you get problems. Who is in charge of these space cities? Are they completely autonomous, or just part of a central government? If the latter, I would say that C.J. Cherryh had it pegged when she said that the farther from Earth a colony or space station was, the less relevance Earth had in issuing orders and setting rules. That's a recipe for eventual rebellion and war.
Why would time lag cause problems? What problems would happen?

Why do you assume a generational ship would be subservient to anyone but its own occupants to begin with? Why does it require external control?

Elderly people aren't part of a hive mind any more than any other age group. Take my grandmother and great-aunt, for instance. You know the phrase "raining like cats and dogs"? The rest of that saying is disgustingly racist by modern standards. Back in the '80s I explained to her that if she said that in public, people would be shocked and disgusted, and call her a racist. She didn't understand at first, but finally was able to eliminate that part of the saying from her vocabulary. I never heard my great-aunt say anything racist, ever. She was more old-fashioned than my grandmother in domestic matters, but she was also more enthusiastic at first about my then-new interest in science fiction. She gave me a Star Wars blanket and an astronaut-themed binder "for your outer space stories." (I still have those)
I'm not making generalization about old people really and if I came across that way then I misrepresented my own point. I'm making a generalization about people, period. People do adapt and change over time. That not all people make big attitude changes on big topics is as much of a function of their inevitable death than their resistance to change. More so, in fact because people change and shift biases without even realizing it all the time.

I do take my hat off to your optimism. Optimism is necessary for humans to survive and get off this planet. But human nature would have to undergo quite a change to make this scenario of yours possible.
Thank you and I agree with you.

What restrictions do they have on physician-assisted suicide that you find excessive?

FWIW, palliative care and hospice care is pretty good for most cancers, even when there isn't . My mother died of cancer in 2014, and she got all the opioids she needed at any dose including ones that would be considered dangerous for a non-terminal patient. It was able to control her pain all the way up until the last 36 hours when she stopped being lucid.

Although medical professionals are technically not allowed to assist your death in Illinois or most other US states, hospice care does provide the patient with more than enough strong opioids that they can decide to overdose themselves if they wish and are physically capable of it, providing a very peaceful end. My mother didn't choose that, but it's an option that is available to anyone in hospice care who have made that decision and are still capable of doing it themselves.
I think that assisted suicide needs a legal framework so it can come out of the legal grey area. Yes, doctors can and routinely do enable terminally ill patients to die but that doesn't mean they don't take risks to do so.


^How does it work to say that you only want immortalism cause you want your parents to stay alive? How is that even a political argument?
That's a childish interpretation of what he argued.
 
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Actually I don't know if they'd stop the completely mentally ill from joining a generational ship if it meant breaking up families. It will have the capacity to deal with such illnesses.
 
Valka and anyone else - maybe we should migrate space ship discussion to the space thread? I don't want to derail this one.
 
That or you can just copy my post over and reply to it there. I'm more than happy to continue the discussion. :)
 
Hm, i am not really seeing how "immortality" is going to happen for anything other than the tiniest fraction of super-wealthy people, even assuming it can happen at all. So it is a bit naive to ask from the rest of society to help bring about something which won't help them in the slightest.
Medicine is mostly an information technology now. That's what it most heavily is. There are some services, absolutely. But these services are going to be priced according to the cost of the information technology backing them.

And I don't see 'won't help other people in the slightest'. What are you imagining, that Musk snaps his fingers and has a secret injection that cures him of aging and he just sits on it? Or do you think that the process will be a gradual increase in healthspan, as we chip away at the various ills that afflict the body? I mean, this process of 'healthspan' will require tackling Alzheimer's. And beating it soundly. Do you think that truly will benefit no one but the super-wealthy? Same with osteoporosis. Same with cardiac issues. Same with liver and kidney failures. Same with vision degeneration.

There are oodles of people collecting a suboptimal amount of money for research into a variety of aging-related diseases. You think that it will never help anyone in the slightest?
 
Medicine is mostly an information technology now. That's what it most heavily is. There are some services, absolutely. But these services are going to be priced according to the cost of the information technology backing them.

And I don't see 'won't help other people in the slightest'. What are you imagining, that Musk snaps his fingers and has a secret injection that cures him of aging and he just sits on it? Or do you think that the process will be a gradual increase in healthspan, as we chip away at the various ills that afflict the body? I mean, this process of 'healthspan' will require tackling Alzheimer's. And beating it soundly. Do you think that truly will benefit no one but the super-wealthy? Same with osteoporosis. Same with cardiac issues. Same with liver and kidney failures. Same with vision degeneration.

There are oodles of people collecting a suboptimal amount of money for research into a variety of aging-related diseases. You think that it will never help anyone in the slightest?

What i suppose is that prolonguing life for decades will not just be secured by a next step in medicine, since we may die at x decade on average but this does not at all mean that by decade x+y we would be facing the same group of bodily deteriorations we would at x. It is very likely that a multitude of factors which currently simply don't come into play cause you die at x, will become apparent at x+y. This is due to the human body not being built to last for 150 years. (the oldest people, very very few obviously, will get to 110 give or take a few years).
Now if the goal became to have a human live to 100, then to 150, then to 200 or 250, it seems very unlikely you would be building upon stuff which were enough to get you to 150 by the time you are 200 or even less than that.
Which is why, intuitively, i regard it as more likely that if you have to run X number of medical tests/treatments to get to 150 years of age, you would need to run X^Y numbers to get to 170 or 200, and this very quickly renders any prolonguing past a threshold not just difficult, but actually impossible.

Another note: i am not seeing why this has to be a heated discussion (i don't mean you, but Hobbs here ^^ ), given we aren't deciding what will happen. Just expressing views on whether this immortalism business is viable, let alone ethical or productive for a society.
 
Yes, things will absolutely get exponentially more difficult. Each victory against cancer has been more difficult than the previous. But there's an implicit assumption that you're holding that the difficulty then trends towards infinite. But this isn't true. The body is a machine. And the search into the solutions is an information technology, which also compounds upon itself as well. So, there will be an upper limit on what's needed to be done in order to survive until the next necessary breakthrough. And there's also a limit on what total number of breakthroughs are required.

But yes, your X+Y calculation are true in a variety of the short-term scenarios. But what makes you think that only the super-rich will benefit from each X? Why would they? There are oodles and oodles of things that can be discovered and rolled out that will have widespread benefits to people.
 
Yes, things will absolutely get exponentially more difficult. Each victory against cancer has been more difficult than the previous. But there's an implicit assumption that you're holding that the difficulty then trends towards infinite. But this isn't true. The body is a machine. And the search into the solutions is an information technology, which also compounds upon itself as well. So, there will be an upper limit on what's needed to be done in order to survive until the next necessary breakthrough. And there's also a limit on what total number of breakthroughs are required.

But yes, your X+Y calculation are true in a variety of the short-term scenarios. But what makes you think that only the super-rich will benefit from each X? Why would they? There are oodles and oodles of things that can be discovered and rolled out that will have widespread benefits to people.

Re the super-rich assumption, i am just going by what is happening now. Yes, you can get very expensive treatment for old-age related problems now, but only if you either have health insurance that covers it, or are rich enough to pay the rest. Not many will be able to, and that is just counting citizens of actually rich countries. When you go past that, to 3rd world countries, or just in poverty, all those treatments that already exist elsewhere are either not to be found or are accessible only by a tiny local elite (which usually will just travel to the other country to get the treatment).

Re the "body is a machine", i am just assuming that even our DNA is not really having built-in calculations that would allow (with some finite manipulation) for life past a lot of decades after the absolute oldest current age. Maybe it will, but even from a biological point of view it looks unlikely that DNA must be open to accomodate for massively longer life-spans. That said, i am only guessing here. I am not optimistic in this, cause i would imagine that if the human body could really get to 150 or 200 years of age with minor changes, it would put a huge stress on what already is a very delicate and complicated mechanism.
 
Oh, absolutely, only the super-rich can afford the expensive treatments. But treatments also get cheaper over time. Look at the number of pacemakers in the world. The number of people on cholesterol-lowering and blood-pressure drugs. The number of people with deep-brain implants. None of these current things are optimal solutions, but they're trendlines I can point to.

But there's also the bit where there are oodles and oodles of options available for those seeking to help the poor. Remember, we're tackling involuntary death. And yeah, we're not rolling them out fast enough, 'cause people are insufficiently generous and the politics are difficult, but it's also true that a lot of those tools have not only been created but also come down in price.

A person in Nigeria might have poor odds of getting a pacemaker. But his ability to survive the previous threats of malaria and polio are getting better. And the 'half a pill of aspirin per day' that oodles of doctors recommend don't need to be out of reach either.

If people want to help me on the polio front rather than on the Alzheimer's front, there's no way I'll say they shouldn't.
 
To piggy back on cures getting cheaper -

First there were bloody expensive iron lungs that only helped the symptoms of disease. Then came the vaccines that were both cheaper to produce and eliminated the disease entirely. The interval between the introduction of both technologies wasn't even that long either.
 
I don't think the generation ship derail has been too disruptive or too tangential to the topic to justify moving it, although people are definitely encouraged to move their replies to a more relevant thread (or make a new one) and post a link here.
 
Introducing this topic as "immortality" automatically gets people's backs up. I mean, I kind of intuit why, but I can't explain it. None of the arguments made against immortality are compelling when unpacked and held up to the light.

Introducing this topic as "curing all diseases and helping the poor, needy and sick" is much more politically palatable, even if it materially detracts from the ultimate goal (which is to prevent unwanted death).

The argument is best constructed in the way that lawyers do cross-examinations:
  1. Is it true that vaccination has eradicated diseases like smallpox and polio?
  2. Should we vaccinate against, for example, malaria?
  3. Would it be better or worse if, through vaccination, malaria was eradicated?
  4. Should we vaccinate against other diseases?
  5. Would it be better or worse if these other diseases were eradicated?
  6. Are there any diseases that we should NOT eradicate?
  7. Should we attempt to cure cancer?
  8. Would it be better or worse if cancer was cured?
  9. Should we cure other major causes of death, such as heart disease, respiratory infection, or diabetes?
  10. Are there any diseases that we should not cure or attempt to cure?
  11. Should these treatments be withheld from poor people?
  12. Who should these treatments be withheld from?
  13. Would it be better or worse if everybody had access to these treatments?
  14. Would it be better or worse if nobody died from preventable diseases?
  15. Under what circumstances would it be permissible to deny someone access to lifesaving medical treatment?
  16. Should we attempt to cure all causes of death?
  17. Which causes of death should we not attempt to cure?
  18. If cures for all causes of death were discovered, should we withhold such treatment from anybody?
  19. Would it be better or worse if all people had access to cures for all causes of death?

For some reason, people have reasoned that curing 1 disease = good, but curing all diseases = bad. Curing 1% of diseases = good, but curing 100% of diseases = bad. At what point does it stop being good? Answer: it doesn't.
 
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@Mise: Death by 'natural causes' is not a disease. In the same way that milk way past its expiration date had no problem in the reasonable time it could have been drunk.
Everything material... will die. If that could be altered (and i am not of the view it can) it won't be the same object. Stars will die, and humans living past 150 years or a little more is in my view very unlikely to happen without opening a pandora's box of what material objects really are. Get born-live-die.
 
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