Pre turns speculation.
I decided to put it here as people seem to want this game to be a learning game.
So, I decided to put explanation of my thinking process and what factors I use when decide on course of action.
Current situation – we are probably alone on island, but not sure yet. It is possible that we have very long winded continent and our side of it is complete scrap.
Currently I see a place for 1 good city and 2 fishing villages. Most ties we will work will be water ties and all cities are coastal cities.
So, Great lighthouse and colossus look attractive. Very attractive. We probably can get cooper to speed up colossus (unknown yet), but where we can build this 2 wanders? The only good productive city would be our capital and it is not coastal. Aaaaaa… Shi………
Would not work, unless we find some good productive city to settle.
Ok, let’s look on what we got then and try to do best we can with stuff in hand.
We have marble. What early wanders we can build with marble?
Pantheon, Oracle, Great library and national wanders.
Oracle, free technology and we already researching well. But what can we get out of it?
If people read about Civil service or even Col shot from Oracle – I will say people are dreaming. Not on Monarchy or higher difficulty. Well, it is possible to get Col, may be, if you lucky. But we do not want to rely on luck.
So, what we can get from it for sure?
Metalworking with would work perfectly for colossus, but AAaa….. Shi………
Monarchy – thin to consider.
Let’s look on situation from other point of view.
What do we need to progress in the game?
Our middle term target is – find source of happiness. Hmm… so far we see only one Alpha it source of happiness. So, what in depended sources of happiness possible?
Representation with Pyramids – but we do not have stone or lot of forest. To try to get Pyramids with out stone will fall, or even if not we will spend to mach resources so we only will fall behind. Dismiss pyramids.
Monarchy – and we can always get it from Oracle. One more + to take Monarchy from Oracle. It is relatively cheap tech, but it would have immediate effect.
What other alternatives?
Religion. We bypassed early religion and with out save I do not know how many was already taken. Chances on early religion are slim. From other point of view we will take a few religion techs to get Oracle. Can we get religion?
Ok, if we research Polytheism (possible Pantheon with Marble), priesthood, and then what?
Writing for CoL? But will be benefit from CoL Straight away? No, we would not. Thought, there is possible land and there may be a good town cites and relatively far away, so, courthouses might be needed. But again, we will not be there soon. Wait, CoL gives religion! Ok. And CoL is one of alternative for Philosophy.
OK, Col it is with back up for Monarchy.
Now what we need? If we bypass Bronze working, expansion we need..
Finish Well -> masonry ->Polytheism->Priesthood-> writing why building Oracle. Hopefully get Oracle just as writing finished.
With out Bronze working for a long time.
Now, do we really need masonry? Oracle only 150 shields. 75 with marble.
How many shields we can make out of our town max? 2 hills. 1 1/2 forest. 1 cow
2*3+2+2+2city – expected amount = 12.
150 /12 = 13. Writing 120 beakers, with 2 prerequisites will be cheaper a bit.
Not sure how mach, let’s say 108 beakers and I think (from memory) capital will make 8/turn =13 turns. So, we do not need masonry and then we do not need well.
Then plan become – switch to Polytheism-> priesthood = ~18 turns.
Conclusion: Plan to get Col ASAP from Oracle, need to beat AI.
Check when start game what religions already taken. Check what we can build in 18 turn and grow capital to size 4 and build 2 mines. Consider saving 2 turns by researching Meditation instead of Polytheism. Oracle expected in 18+13 = 31 turns.