At the current moment, it looks like this
TOP10
Vietnam 99 vote(s) 48.5%
Italy 88 vote(s) 43.1%
Apache/Navajo/etc 76 vote(s) 37.3%
Hungary 70 vote(s) 34.3%
Israel 61 vote(s) 29.9%
Tibet 54 vote(s) 26.5%
Ashanti 50 vote(s) 24.5%
Inuit 48 vote(s) 23.5%
Phoenicia 47 vote(s) 23.0%
Cherokee/Creek/Choctaw/etc. 47 vote(s) 23.0%
Rest:
Colombia 44 vote(s) 21.6%
Canada 44 vote(s) 21.6%
Gothia (any Goths) 37 vote(s) 18.1%
Ireland 37 vote(s) 18.1%
Kilwa/Swahili 36 vote(s) 17.6%
Mughals 35 vote(s) 17.2%
Armenia 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Zimbabwe/Mutapa 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Romania/Wallachia 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Argentina 31 vote(s) 15.2%
Haida/Tlingit 30 vote(s) 14.7%
Burma 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Bulgaria/Thrace 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Benin/Dahomey 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Palmyra/Syria/Nabataea/etc. 22 vote(s) 10.8%
Ukraine/Kievan Rus' 21 vote(s) 10.3%
Lydia/Pontus/Kappadokia/etc. 8 vote(s) 3.9%
Etruria 4 vote(s) 2.0%
Shawnee 8 vote(s) 3.9%
Man, in polls like this there are always some OP's favorites who get sad amount of votes, but Lydia, Etruscans and Shawnee got so destroyed...
For me the most missing civs on the list are Philippines (precolonial), Maori, Afghanistan, Yemen, Timurids, Czechia and Switzerland. And Somalia although nobody would vote on it except me
Now, I'll narrow the list to IMO realistic possibilities.
So, the following is my best shot at predicting what civs of this thread will actually add in civ6:
Vietnam, Italy, Goths, "Cherokee/Creek/Choctaw".
So, those four. And on top of that I think Maori have high chances of arrival - they are really popular (should have been in this poll
), very unique, never seen before, a way to get Pacific to the game.
My personal prediction list of all civs that will be added to civ6 is:
old ones - Maya, Inca, Ethiopia, Carthago, Portugal, Babylon, Byzantium, Ottomans
new ones - Vietnam, Italy, Goths, Cherokee, Maori
returning ones - Mali, Morocco
two black horses - ehh, let's say Gauls and Ashanti, why not
For the final number of 50 civs, fitting 25th year anniversary of series and increase of roster by 7-9 civs by every next iteration of the franchise.
We shall see how wrong am I.
TOP10
Vietnam 99 vote(s) 48.5%
Italy 88 vote(s) 43.1%
Apache/Navajo/etc 76 vote(s) 37.3%
Hungary 70 vote(s) 34.3%
Israel 61 vote(s) 29.9%
Tibet 54 vote(s) 26.5%
Ashanti 50 vote(s) 24.5%
Inuit 48 vote(s) 23.5%
Phoenicia 47 vote(s) 23.0%
Cherokee/Creek/Choctaw/etc. 47 vote(s) 23.0%
Rest:
Spoiler :
Colombia 44 vote(s) 21.6%
Canada 44 vote(s) 21.6%
Gothia (any Goths) 37 vote(s) 18.1%
Ireland 37 vote(s) 18.1%
Kilwa/Swahili 36 vote(s) 17.6%
Mughals 35 vote(s) 17.2%
Armenia 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Zimbabwe/Mutapa 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Romania/Wallachia 33 vote(s) 16.2%
Argentina 31 vote(s) 15.2%
Haida/Tlingit 30 vote(s) 14.7%
Burma 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Bulgaria/Thrace 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Benin/Dahomey 28 vote(s) 13.7%
Palmyra/Syria/Nabataea/etc. 22 vote(s) 10.8%
Ukraine/Kievan Rus' 21 vote(s) 10.3%
Lydia/Pontus/Kappadokia/etc. 8 vote(s) 3.9%
Etruria 4 vote(s) 2.0%
Shawnee 8 vote(s) 3.9%
Man, in polls like this there are always some OP's favorites who get sad amount of votes, but Lydia, Etruscans and Shawnee got so destroyed...
For me the most missing civs on the list are Philippines (precolonial), Maori, Afghanistan, Yemen, Timurids, Czechia and Switzerland. And Somalia although nobody would vote on it except me

Now, I'll narrow the list to IMO realistic possibilities.
Spoiler :
Tibet and Israel are too controversial due to geopolytics, and especially after Cree Mess Firaxis won't add them. On Inuits they already commented, saying Inuits basically have no possible leaders. Phoenicia has almost no interesting, well documented leaders, is pretty "city-state civ", and is kind of eclipsed by its own child Carthago in every way. Canada is IMO very improbable now that Australia is in, and putting in Cree - Canadian First Nation - was probably the message regarding that. Hungary has kind a niche of "castle faith defense cavalry christian", but that niche is at least partially filled by Georgia/Poland/other civs, unless it goes for something else. "Plains Indians" have a niche sort of filled by Mapuche, who are "ferocious indigenous culture/cavalry defenders of open fields". Swahilli and Zimbabwe have a problem of finding any appropriate leaders and its capitals are represented as architectural wonders, which imo kills them. Armenia is probably the civ I'd like to see the most, but I think it is very improbable after Georgia, especially as it has main Armenian niche "mountain Christian defenders". Haida has no recognizable leaders. Mughals and Kievan Rus - I'd love to see both but I also can imagine Firaxis going "ehh they are too Indian/Russian, we simplify" ("MUGHAL" is architectonic style of Indian palace right now...). Burma is, as you can see, less popular than Vietnam. Ireland and Argentina are very close geographically to Mapuche and Scotland. Ashanti I'd love but I think Ethiopia and Mali have higher chances of coming from Subsaharan Africa, and I don't think we will get 6 black civs.
So, the following is my best shot at predicting what civs of this thread will actually add in civ6:
Vietnam, Italy, Goths, "Cherokee/Creek/Choctaw".
Spoiler :
Vietnam, Italy and Goths are all very popular, powerful, never seen before, and can fill a variety of niches. Goths were IIRC the most popular of all additional civ mods in civ5 and Vietnam was very close to the top. As for Amerindians - there is no way American "progressive" company won't add US Natives to this game, and "Cherokee/Creek/Choctaw" have following advantages:
1) Never before were in a civ game, unlike Iroquis, Lakota and Shoshone/Comanche
2) Can fill new gameplay niches, unlike "plains, defense, cavalry" (taken by Mapuche) which pretty colliddes with Apache, or "trade, alliance" of Cree.
3) Were and remain one of the biggest Amerindian ethnic groups
1) Never before were in a civ game, unlike Iroquis, Lakota and Shoshone/Comanche
2) Can fill new gameplay niches, unlike "plains, defense, cavalry" (taken by Mapuche) which pretty colliddes with Apache, or "trade, alliance" of Cree.
3) Were and remain one of the biggest Amerindian ethnic groups
So, those four. And on top of that I think Maori have high chances of arrival - they are really popular (should have been in this poll

My personal prediction list of all civs that will be added to civ6 is:
old ones - Maya, Inca, Ethiopia, Carthago, Portugal, Babylon, Byzantium, Ottomans
new ones - Vietnam, Italy, Goths, Cherokee, Maori
returning ones - Mali, Morocco
two black horses - ehh, let's say Gauls and Ashanti, why not
For the final number of 50 civs, fitting 25th year anniversary of series and increase of roster by 7-9 civs by every next iteration of the franchise.
We shall see how wrong am I.
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