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NASA-led study, reported by BarentsObserver:
"Further studies are needed to determine what factors caused the cold period to last so long", but my thoughts quickly went to the climate changes that (most likely) are occurring:
If I remember correctly, it is possible that a generally warmer climate system (i.e. more energy in the system) may lead to increased cloud cover? Clouds would then trap more heat closer to the surface of the Earth, as well as reducing the sunlight that gets through (blocking the sunlight should have a cooling effect on the surface, but not in the stratosphere?).
I know the article didn't talk about it, but is it possible that increased cloud coverage could trap more heat below the clouds and therefore making the stratosphere colder? I.e. one of the effects of increasing global temperatures may be that the stratosphere gets colder, and we risk damaging our ozone layer (most likely only in the polar regions, but still...)?
Or am I just making this stuff up by myself?
Any other thoughts?
I can attest that both the last two winters in Norway have been extremely cold, and I live in the southern parts! Not that my family up north would disagree with my statement... My money is on yet another very cold and long winter this time as well.Ozone hole over Arctic worst in history
Intense cold in the upper atmosphere of the Arctic last winter activated ozone-depleting chemicals and produced the first significant ozone hole ever recorded over the high northern regions.
A NASA-led study has documented an unprecedented depletion of Earth's protective ozone layer above the Arctic last winter and spring caused by an unusually prolonged period of extremely low temperatures in the stratosphere, NASA reports.
The amount of ozone destroyed in the Arctic was comparable to that seen in some years in the Antarctic, where an ozone "hole" has formed each spring since the mid 1980s.
- Day-to-day temperatures in the 2010-11 Arctic winter did not reach lower values than in previous cold Arctic winters, said Gloria Manney from NASA. - The difference from previous winters is that temperatures were low enough to produce ozone-destroying forms of chlorine for a much longer time. This implies that if winter Arctic stratospheric temperatures drop just slightly in the future, for example as a result of climate change, then severe Arctic ozone loss may occur more frequently, she added.
Last winter was extremely cold in the Barents Region. The Finnish town of Rovaniemi, for example, had 100 days of sub-zero temperatures, as BarentsObserver reported.
To investigate the 2011 Arctic ozone loss, scientists from 19 institutions in nine countries analyzed a comprehensive set of measurements. The scientists found that at some altitudes, the cold period in the Arctic lasted more than 30 days longer in 2011 than in any previously studied Arctic winter, leading to the unprecedented ozone loss. Further studies are needed to determine what factors caused the cold period to last so long.
"Further studies are needed to determine what factors caused the cold period to last so long", but my thoughts quickly went to the climate changes that (most likely) are occurring:
If I remember correctly, it is possible that a generally warmer climate system (i.e. more energy in the system) may lead to increased cloud cover? Clouds would then trap more heat closer to the surface of the Earth, as well as reducing the sunlight that gets through (blocking the sunlight should have a cooling effect on the surface, but not in the stratosphere?).
I know the article didn't talk about it, but is it possible that increased cloud coverage could trap more heat below the clouds and therefore making the stratosphere colder? I.e. one of the effects of increasing global temperatures may be that the stratosphere gets colder, and we risk damaging our ozone layer (most likely only in the polar regions, but still...)?
Or am I just making this stuff up by myself?
Any other thoughts?