BT Update 0 - 2100
In a small village somewhere in Greece, a wise man sits atop a hill, detailing the events of his lifetime so that perhaps in a bog of lies some truth might be preserved.
This inquiry into our history will cover all that I have seen and read since I lost my job as a teacher in the global debt crisis of 2028 – the only date I’m truly sure of. It was after that black year unemployment in the West ballooned as proud and industrialized nations went bankrupt – debt had grown to such a size no bailout could save Europe or the Americas. When East Asian markets collapsed the next year the world had irreversibly taken a path to annihilation. The American Empire, after briefly flirting with interventions in Europe and Latin America to try and stop a new fascism from taking root, receded from global politics to handle violent domestic chaos. American bases were decommissioned and hastily abandoned as Western countries declared martial law to try and manually reboot their economies. Rebels and terrorists world-wide exploited the weakness of the international order to declare independence, begin campaigns of genocide and overthrow weak governments in the developing world. Sectarian violence erupted in civil wars in Africa and the Middle East, while ideological insurgencies and coups overtook nations in East and South-East Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
A new Red Army of the unemployed masses organized in
China, weakening and eventually destroying the People’s Republic (though the Red Army would eventually decentralize into a modern warlord system), while
Japan receded into bleak austerity.
Russia rolled tanks into neighbouring states to find itself quickly overextended. Overcome by corruption and struggles for leadership the church began to assert itself over the rural population and eventually the urban centres forming strange patriarchate. India and Pakistan fought a desperate war over the Kashmir region, fighting the first and only limited nuclear war in history to discover the general ineffectiveness of nuclear weapons in the face of advanced technical defence systems – which had been successfully developed in the 2020s and proliferated to most of the world’s nuclear powers. Pakistan “won” the conflict because at that point the total fraud of a democracy India had become lost all central authority to its regional subdivisions under the strains of an expensive war that tore at a society already suffering from mass starvation.
In
Africa aid (military and humanitarian) stopped flowing and with the threat of peacekeepers and foreign intervention gone, a galaxy of rebel groups took their chance to overwhelm weak administrations. The Sahara and Sahel came under the harsh authority of conflicting tribal groups; large countries, such as Congo, South Africa and Ethiopia splintered to secessionist or radical insurgents. The rest of the continent suffered either coups or harsh military law, but in trying to defend what precious little authority states had as mass graves of dying and starving people were mounting was futile. Huge urban slums were emptied of people, and rural subsistence life, away from violent rebels and authoritarian governments became the normal life.
The need for oil prompted multiple attempts at invasion of the
Middle East, but they were expensive and only hurried the demise of the foolish developed nations that attempted them. Unable to safely export petroleum over the seas due to constant naval warfare and pirating, only after the developed and militarized economies that would have otherwise imported oil had become silent and rural did the seas clear up – by which point billions had died in war and famine, with the Mid-East no exception. A strong dictatorship formed around Iraq, which was spared a foreign attack where its neighbours, Iran and Saudi Arabia, were not. Some military tyrant called himself king, and the region has seen surprising peace since perhaps the 2070s. Turkey’s current government can still trace its history to Ataturk, though the government had to abandon its eastern portion to keep the regime alive.
It was
Europe that was the most profusely confusing of all. That’s where the great book burnings began, which destroyed vast amounts of human knowledge, and wiped out the historical profession almost entirely. European integration failed spectacularly, as deeply indebted countries were taken over by radical nationalists and unabashed fascists that promised recovery through war, or at least, to put the pains of economic destruction and climate change on other nationalities. Eastern European states were the first to turn, one by one they were overtaken, until a military coup in France forced a desperate Germany to intervene with Great Britain and the United States – only to ignite nationalist passions all across Europe. By 2075 so many governments had changed, and so many countries taken sides in liberal “interventions” or nationalist crusades the detailed history of conflict perhaps will never be fully understood. In northern Italy fascists worked closely with corporate entities to preserve some functioning state, which grew a minor empire to some renown. Some fascists in Germany declared their dictator king. Hungary overcame its despots in revolution, but a revolution of the vastly more impoverished. In England the monarchy had fled the wars in Europe to safety in Canada – but never returned after the seas went silent. General anarchy forced the end of fascist leadership, though on the local level many nationalists survived and still pine for central states to fight the new European powers.
The worst of the plague that struck the world at its weakest during the high point of famine in the 2040s hit
Latin America where climate was well suited to the particular virus that ravaged the world. Populations there were so radically reduced even without war cities were falling into disrepair from a lack of workers, and general decreases in world trade impoverished and starved millions. Argentina survived as basically a city-state of Buenos Aires, ruled by a staunchly republican elite, though the gift of democracy has yet to get to the majority rural poor. Peru similarly survived as a city-state around Lima run by an autocratic and prejudicial military elite. Venezuela preserved a long-line of leftist tradition, though urgency in keeping the state together required dictatorial authority – while Mexico’s poor revolted and in the last years of the twenty-first century created a leftist republic of the people.
While roving marauders roam the Great Plains and paranoid forts dot the general landscape of
North America now, the fall of the United States initially seemed like it might be a peaceful affair of seceding states as their economy collapsed – until climate change had ruined American agriculture and mass starvation in an unprecedented scale for the first time threatened the American way of life. The military was commanded to establish order and serve upper class interests, infuriating the poor (at this point included the middle class) which began organizing militias from across the political spectrum, with people prepared to topple the government. On multiple occasions the failing American Empire had to invade its own states preparing to secede or militarize, until it could hold no more, and retreated what it could to the north east, where corporate interests dominate what remains of the American military-industrial complex. Far away from most of the trauma, California more successfully converted the Sacramento valley into farmland, where a faux republic tries to survive. Much like the United States, Canada abandoned its farther territories to focus on its capital and surrounding territories, though tensions between Quebec and English Canada nearly shattered what remained of the constitutional monarchy.
Over huge stretches of land, from the Great Plains to the African savannah to Central Asia,
nomadic life has resumed, as wild animals have finally been given breathing room to be in sizeable numbers for hunting. Though human food supply systems were tragically disrupted beyond recovery,
animals were comparatively well off, growing in number and diversity since 2075 onwards – though near extinction of the vast majority of species gripped the world until then. Forests have slowly been recovery, and over the next century will likely become sizeable again, while sea life has been doing incredibly well since fishing became a non-option after the opening of global naval combat.
Infrastructure has been hugely damaged by technologically advanced bombing wars, and no major infrastructural projects have survived direct attack combined with neglect due to radically fewer technical experts or labourers. For most folks plumbing and electricity are a privilege, with some societies faring better and some worse – though an underclass of largely farmers, hunters and fishers exists in every society mostly without an electric grid or typical infrastructural maintenance of roads or bridges. The world’s most advanced technological structures are all gone, though older ones, from nuclear plants to various factories and rail systems have survived in part or sometimes in whole. Just about no skyscrapers dance on the horizon, and no large technical systems such as telecommunications are operational. De-globalization hurt
industrialized areas, but a modicum of manufacturing exists about everywhere on the planet, with industrial labourers make up a tiny fraction of the world’s population compared to agricultural workers. The necessaries of economic life,
coal, oil, natural gas, and mineral resources had not been entirely exploited by the beginning of the end, nor by the end of the end. Small quantities are burnt to supply existing small-scale industry, but reserves are still around – wars, economic catastrophe and mass starvation prevented their full exploitation in the waning years of civilization.
In the
technical fields high level specialists were prized as civilization fell, and modern medicine, science and engineering are still being taught to the children of elite families – though resources are usually lacking for effective pharmaceuticals or building projects due to de-globalized trade. Medicine in particular received patronage even in war and famine due to the plague that shattered the world. Some say it was man-made, some countries biological weapon gone wrong, but if it was that truth was thoroughly hidden. The plague is and air-born virus that initially expels as much bodily fluid as possible – blood, stomach fluid, sweat, whatever can be excreted – living as skin boils.
All throughout this whole cataclysmic history not only was
education preserved and literacy kept high, but it was enhanced. I know from the vicious lies the younger generations have tried to persuade me of that this was a tool of
propaganda everywhere. When the book burnings started in Europe they spread far and wide to control information and present nationalistically appealing and historically revised accounts of history, biology and science. Only the wealthy and powerful in society receive an education at least free of the most obvious lies – though the upper classes have participated in self-delusion perhaps for their own sanity. The
social effects of five sixths of the world dying are harsh. Ruralization was a global phenomenon, and most people have returned to agriculture, while variously corporations, communes and elite-populated bureaucracies have taken the helm of a few organized countries. Corporations formed the bedrock of most domestic trade, becoming effectively bodies of elite ad hoc administrations – combining variously the military, the wealthy, and those popular with the people together. Some societies are largely controlled by corporate interests that run the business of government. Some societies hold onto now ancient ideological beliefs – communism, socialism, nationalism, republicanism. Some are just run by families – usually these places pretend they gain legitimacy when their mobster-governments call themselves monarchies.
When the bell tolls, it tolls for thee, but in the deafening clatter of six billions bells its hard to tell.
OOC:
Is the above plausible? Certainly not everywhere, but I would like people to interpret just about everything in the BTs as not objective truth but some particular person's view – probably partially fueled by misinformation or outright lies. The above account is what much of the upper class (the leadership of your countries) will probably believe more or less, whether it’s all true or not. In fact, I fully expect that by 2200 whatever happened before 2100 will have basically no bearing on the great majority of nations on the planet.
Major things to note:
- Ethnic, religious and demographic divisions are pretty much as they are in 2013, approximate population is 1/6th of what it would be today anywhere in the world with obvious exceptions (places where no water could get to without modern infrastructure, so deserts and stuff, like most of Saudi Arabia).
- Absolutely no relations between peoples or states before 2100 will be relevant by 2200. I’m willing to agree with just about anything based on the random numbers and player actions – Israelis and Palestinians living in total harmony? Sure, if the numbers are right and player choices work together. The purpose of the BTs is to setup the hostilities and relations of people and states for the full NES.
- Stories are welcome, so long as they don’t intrude on substantive matters (so I determine who wins wars, and whether wars are fought at all) I particularly would like to know what people want to see in their domestic politics so that I have concrete government types rather than “leanings” by the year 2200.
- No WMDs. Stealing an idea from TheLizardKing, you can pretend nuclear weapons (and other WMD stockpiles) “rotted” away, they stopped being important, and everyone hates them. The scientific community hates them, and won’t design them – but in any case, they’re an insane expense for basically barely industrial societies.
- The only nations eligible to use Wars of Aggression are those that have a country within marching distance of their own, so for the first turn, only
South Germany,
Hungary,
Padania,
Canada and the
United States are all allowed to order wars.
- Diplomacy is fine, but remember that telecommunications are down and international transit is basically non-existent, so it might actually take more than 20 years to get a message there and back - keep it reasonable.
- Finally, beyond this post, I will never really reference the pre-collapse times beyond the fact that they were pre-collapse times – and I’d prefer if you didn’t either. They aren’t meant to be relevant or burdensome on your choices, and I don’t want to be constricted by them. Also, any place not mentioned in this post you don't know about yet, and will have to learn about through the BT updates.
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Please submit orders now for the first 20 year BT! All questions are open too, as I've probably missed things that will be pertinent to your nation, please PM me and I will try to add them to this post or the front page.
Current order
deadline will be next Wednesday, December 18th.