That sounds demoralizing.
For the purposes of speculative/science fiction, I wonder (a) how much of the Earth's raw material we've used, like in the entire history of human engineering, and (b) how much of the raw material in the Solar System will be available to us, once we've figured out how to get there and construct things out there. As I understand it, the great cost of putting things in orbit comes from getting it off the surface of this gravity well we live on. If you could construct things in space, and with the mass of material Out There, I think that an artificial space station the size of, say, Manhattan Island would be no big deal (the question of whether people can actually live in space long-term might turn out to be the greater limitation than what we could build).For totally not-mad science reasons, I've added up the mass of the Moons of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune; the mass of the Asteroid Belt, and the mass of the Kuiper belt.
The results were...disappointing.
For starters, the Earth has a mass of around 6,000 10^21 kg.
The second runner up, the Kuiper Belt in its entirety, has 400 10^21 kg. Jovian Moons - 260 10^21 kg. Saturnine Moons - 140 10^21 kg. Uranian Moons - 9, 140 10^18 kg. The Asteroid Belt? A paltry 3 10^18 kg. Neptunian Moons - 2, 150 10^18 kg.
Which looks like:
6,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♁ - We're here.
---400,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♇ - Eris, Pluto, Charon, et al.
---260,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♃ - More evenly distributed between the main four.
---140,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♄ - Most of this is Titan. Like, 96 % of it.
-----70,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ☾ - The moon, for comparison.
-------9,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♅
-------3,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 ⚳ - Ceres is about half of all of this
-------2,150,000,000,000,000,000,000 ♆ - Triton is most of this.
If somehow all of this mass was put together it would be a MEASLY
814,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 KG. Or around 1/6th, 1/7th of the Earth.
And apparently we started out with 30 Earth masses of junk out there, now it's gone. And no, the Theoretical Oort Cloud doesn't really count. Going around the galaxy eight or so times, so many stars doing drive by's, and our own internal gravity 'dance' threw most of it out. And yet the system still looks like a mess.
Ah well, it's easier to peel the crust off moons and then crack them bit by bit when they're smaller anyway.
You're correct - the cost driver of space exploration and exploitation is the cost of launch. It is huge and it drives other costs in pernicious ways. When you are paying $500 million to launch something into space, you want to make absolutely certain that the thing you are launching is completely fool-proof and without error. So you wind up spending $2 billion designing and building a perfect satellite to launch on a $500 million rocket and then pay some tens of millions in insurance against launch failure. Launch prices are falling and this has enabled a lot of experimentation and innovation on the satellite side such that now even NASA is launching shoebox-sized satellites past freaking Mars that cost 'only' a million to build. When launch costs come down to the <$1000/kg range, space exploration and exploitation will kick into high gear. One of the key problems of the late 21st century is how to structure an economy when raw material costs for almost everything fall through the floor, thanks to cheap imports from outer space.For the purposes of speculative/science fiction, I wonder (a) how much of the Earth's raw material we've used, like in the entire history of human engineering, and (b) how much of the raw material in the Solar System will be available to us, once we've figured out how to get there and construct things out there. As I understand it, the great cost of putting things in orbit comes from getting it off the surface of this gravity well we live on. If you could construct things in space, and with the mass of material Out There, I think that an artificial space station the size of, say, Manhattan Island would be no big deal (the question of whether people can actually live in space long-term might turn out to be the greater limitation than what we could build).
For now. Give us time and we will build one or find a better substitute.I suppose a space elevator is still just science fiction?
Oh and imagine when all of the pollution that comes with extraction, refining and production get shifted off the planet? That's the future I'm hoping for anyways.
I was thinking that you could use a solar sail, because if it's garbage anyway, you don't need it to get there fast. But can a solar sail carry something towards the sun?Could they launch all the garbage into the sun?
Sand commonly found on ocean beaches tends to be smoother and more circular which makes it unsuitable for construction.
These sand mafias illegally take sand from ecologically sensitive areas which leads to beach degradation
The problem is tinsel strength. There is no material strong enough to support it's own weight.I suppose a space elevator is still just science fiction?
I just leave it on Synsensa's desk.Could they launch all the garbage into the sun?
I just leave it on Synsensa's desk.
Well, there are techniques for sailing in a zig-zag against regular wind.I was thinking that you could use a solar sail, because if it's garbage anyway, you don't need it to get there fast. But can a solar sail carry something towards the sun?
I just leave it on Synsensa's desk.