Session Start: Thu Jul 26 13:27:16 2012
[13:27] <CD2> OK, so this 'not being able to trade RP' means that this deal we had needs to be revised
[13:27] ->> CD2 is
Mibbit@ircip3.mibbit.com (
http://www.mibbit.com)
[13:27] ->> CD2 is on: +#nes
[13:27] ->> CD2 using coaxmetal.selfip.net (Coaxmetal)
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[13:27] <noob> Yup
[13:27] <CD2> I'm willing to hand you blueprints for 10 years
[13:27] <CD2> Tell me what you need me to research
[13:27] <CD2> (hell, I'm willing to just hand you blueprints)
[13:28] <CD2> Alternatively, what else can I offer you?
[13:29] <noob> Well, 1: blueprints I need are low-efficiency and blueprints apparently now cost money to use. 2: I already lent away all my income for a while elsewhere :/
[13:30] <noob> Sorry
[13:30] <CD2> damn
[13:30] <CD2> ok
[13:30] <noob> I'm getting good interest
[13:30] <CD2> How good?
[13:30] <noob> 50% of my investment, it looks like
[13:30] <noob> In several turns, sure, but I don't need money for several turns
[13:30] <CD2> OK. I'm willing to pay more than that over several turns
[13:31] <noob> Hm.
[13:31] <noob> Shoot
[13:31] <noob> I give you $6 the first turn.
[13:31] <noob> $7 the next.
[13:31] <noob> $7 the next?
[13:31] <noob> Make me an offer based on that
[13:32] <CD2> 9 over 3 years.
[13:32] <noob> So?..
[13:32] <noob> $9 each year you mean?
[13:33] <noob> Meh.
[13:33] <noob> My other deal right now
[13:33] <noob> Has be lending $12 and getting back $18

[13:33] <noob> Has me*
[13:33] <CD2> *nod*
[13:33] <CD2> ok, so that's a 33% rate of return
[13:33] <noob> I'm getting 50% currently.
[13:33] <noob> But sec, let me type this up.
[13:33] <CD2> oh, derp, right
[13:34] <noob> Alright, how about this. No tech needed. Turn 1: $6 to you. Turn 2: $7 to you. Turn 3: $7 to you. Turn 4: $8 to me. Turn 5: $10 to me. Turn 6: $12 to me.
[13:34] <noob> Sound good?
[13:39] <CD2> Sounds excellent!
[13:39] <noob> Great.
[13:40] <noob> PM sent to Crezth.
[13:40] <CD2> Will confirm in my orders.
[13:40] <CD2> Thanks!
[13:41] <noob> np np
[13:41] <noob> Anytime

\
[13:41] <noob> Oh.
[13:41] <noob> Nevermind.
[13:41] <noob> Apparently you default on people.
[13:42] <noob> Ok, yeah; I have evidence of prior defaults from you now.
[13:42] <noob> Sorry D:. I'll stick with the safe bet.
[13:43] <CD2> Hey no
[13:43] <CD2> I do *not*
[13:43] <CD2> default on people
[13:43] <noob> Huh.
[13:44] <CD2> PerfNES was me gaming the system
[13:44] <noob> Ok then.
[13:44] <noob> Loan going through.
[13:44] <CD2> I have *never* missed a loan payment
[13:44] <CD2> Thanks!
[13:46] <noob> Ok
[13:46] <noob> Apparently you'll be running some kind of Ponzi scheme
[13:46] <noob> Deal's back off
[13:47] <noob> :/
[13:47] <CD2> what
[13:47] <CD2> no
[13:47] <CD2> who are you talking to
[13:47] <noob> Oh.
[13:47] <noob> Ok then.
[13:47] <noob> Deal's back on.
[13:47] <CD2> I'm happy to explain to you my logic.
[13:47] <CD2>

[13:47] <CD2> Ah, I see, you're talking to Kraz
[13:47] <CD2> If you have questions, I'm happy to explain my thought process
[13:48] <noob> np np
[13:48] <noob> That "no" should suffice for now
[13:49] <CD2> Thanks

[13:50] <noob> Ok
[13:51] <noob> I'm told that if you default I lose 3 turns of income
[13:51] <noob> Deal's back off
[13:51] <noob> Unless you want to explain your thought process

[13:51] <CD2> OK.
[13:51] <CD2> So, here's my situation.
[13:51] <CD2> (explaining now)
[13:51] <noob> Ok
[13:51] <noob> Deal's back on.
[13:51] <noob> Nice doing business with you.
[13:52] <CD2> Thanks!
[13:54] <CD2> I'm in an exceptionally strong position, *if* I can hold off Matt for 1 turn. Szuro and New Qijad are worth $10, and both border my cores
[13:54] <noob> They're also both +2 from terrain, with another +1 from fortification

[13:55] <CD2> Doesn't matter.
[13:55] <CD2> Artillery is the great equalizer.
[13:55] <noob> Nope.
[13:55] <CD2> +3 Eva is not that much
[13:55] <CD2> when you take breakthrough, plus the officer bonus
[13:55] <CD2> and with enough meat shields to soak enemy attacks
[13:55] <noob> Even with breakthrough, art hits at a 10/36 chance on primary targets
[13:55] <noob> And 6/36 on secondary
[13:56] <CD2> Throw an armored car in there
[13:56] <CD2> infantry don't have enough pierce to break it
[13:56] <noob> That actually sounds plausible, 10/36.
[13:57] <CD2> a 30% chance
[13:57] <CD2> but 1 artillery is going to be rolling 9 times on secondary attacks
[13:57] <CD2> Throw a second gun in
[13:57] <noob> Your AC do have ~1/9-1/8 chance of dying
[13:57] <noob> Er.
[13:57] <noob> Why would it be rolling 9 times.
[13:58] <noob> It only has 3 attack.
[13:58] <CD2> 3 heats
[13:58] <noob> That's only 3 splashes
[13:58] <noob> Oh.
[13:58] <noob> Meh
[13:58] <CD2> Yeah.
[13:58] <noob> On average, 9 rolls of that is still only 1.5 inf
[13:58] <CD2> Add your AC pair to that, though
[13:58] <noob> But yeah.
[13:59] <noob> ACs
[13:59] <noob> Are going to hit at -2 modifier
[13:59] <noob> Which is... 6/36?
[13:59] <noob> What, wait.
[13:59] <noob> Yeah.
[13:59] <noob> That's right.
[13:59] <noob> Hm.
[13:59] <noob> Actually.
[13:59] <noob> I'm told Art is bad at attacking against large maluses.
[13:59] <noob> So deal's back off :/.
[14:00] <CD2> Wait, how so?
[14:00] <noob> Dunno
[14:00] <CD2> I don't see it
[14:00] <noob> They seemed pretty sure of themselves though
[14:00] <CD2> Yeah, I'm not convinced
[14:00] <noob> Of?
[14:01] <CD2> Arty being inefficient against large maluses, when paired with something that can tank hits
[14:01] <noob> Ok
[14:01] <noob> Our deal's back on
[14:01] <CD2> I totally understand your hesitation
[14:02] <CD2> Knowing Matt's plan would make this a lot easier, honestly
[14:02] <CD2> If he rushes me, then I roll over everything next turn
[14:03] <noob> Ok
[14:03] <CD2> If not, my casualties are a bit higher
[14:03] <noob> I'm told that if you plan on invading Szuro on Turn 2
[14:03] <noob> Even after you take it you won't get income for one turn
[14:03] <noob> Which means earliest you'll get income is Turn 4.
[14:03] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:03] <CD2> ...but turn 4 is when I owe you my first payment
[14:04] <noob> Oh.
[14:04] <noob> Deal's back on.
[14:04] <noob> Ok
[14:05] <noob> I'm told that if you succeed, you'll be the biggest power, and have incentive to default since I won't be able to punish you.
[14:05] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:05] <CD2> Wait, waht
[14:05] <CD2> that doesn't make any sense
[14:05] <noob> Oh?
[14:05] <noob> It doesn't?
[14:05] <noob> Nvm then.
[14:05] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:05] <CD2> I want to be able to borrow in the future
[14:05] <CD2> Like, this is not the only NES I will ever play
[14:06] <CD2> and I *do* want to be able to borrow and lend in the future
[14:06] <CD2> Iterated prisoner's dilemma with a theory of mind

[14:07] <noob> I'm reminded that you've already defaulted once before.
[14:07] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:07] <CD2> In PerfNES
[14:07] <CD2> To the GM
[14:07] <CD2> Never to a player
[14:07] <CD2> Sounds like someone's a little terrified of us working together

[14:07] <noob> Ok.
[14:08] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:08] <CD2> As a gesture of good faith
[14:08] <CD2> i'm willing to let you set my research priorities
[14:08] <CD2> and hand you blueprints for free
[14:08] <noob> I'm told you're wrong
[14:08] <noob> You broke deals with the Mongols and a couple of other long-named players.
[14:08] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:09] <CD2> Ok, so you *are* talking to Kraz
[14:09] <noob> My sources are fully confidential.
[14:09] <noob> Middleman's oath and all.
[14:09] <CD2> Right

[14:09] <CD2> First, let me say that the person you're talking to clearly sees me as a threat
[14:09] <CD2> And is not making good-faith arguments
[14:10] <noob> Ok.
[14:10] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:10] <CD2> Second, in PerfNES
[14:10] <noob> Hm.
[14:10] <CD2> I was told that the Mongols weren't likely to keep their deals; and Birdjaguar had no intention of playing faithfully
[14:10] <noob> I'm told that you're also a biased source-of-argument.
[14:10] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:11] <CD2> So, Kraz
[14:11] <CD2> just PMed me
[14:11] <CD2> so it's OK to say that it's him

[14:11] <CD2> Here.
[14:11] <noob> My sources are fully confidential.
[14:11] <noob> Unless you're willing to pay for the information of course.
[14:11] <CD2>

[14:12] <CD2> You're obviously worried that I'm going to renege.
[14:12] <noob> I am?
[14:12] <noob> Ok.
[14:12] <CD2> It sounds like it
[14:12] <noob> Go on.
[14:12] <CD2> Clearly, I need to do something to demonstrate my good faith
[14:13] <noob> Ok,
[14:13] <CD2> Both in-game and out-of-game
[14:13] <CD2> In-game, I'm happy to sign a formal alliance, but I don't think that alleviates your fears
[14:13] <CD2> Would it make you feel better if I cc'd you on my orders?
[14:13] <noob> Ok.
[14:13] <noob> Deal's back on.
[14:14] <CD2> furthermore, it sounds like your source is concerned that if we successfully work together, it threatens his position
[14:14] <CD2> I think this is a good thing--for us
[14:14] <noob> Apparently you can send me fake orders on the 4th turn.
[14:14] <noob> Our deal's back off.
[14:14] <CD2> By cc
[14:14] <CD2> I mean "PM both you and Crezth"
[14:15] <CD2> Your source is *definitely* concerned
[14:15] <noob> Ok
[14:15] <noob> Our deal's back on
[14:15] <CD2> Yes. he could say "But what happens if I change my orders behind your back"
[14:15] <noob> Supposedly you could just back out on turn 4.
[14:15] <noob> And at that point it'll be too late.
[14:15] <CD2> I am *way* too lazy to do that
[14:15] <noob> Deal's back off.
[14:16] <CD2> I *could* do a lot of things
[14:16] <CD2> But like I say, it comes down to trust
[14:16] <CD2> I am opening my orders to you, to demonstrate that trust and good faith
[14:16] <noob> Ok.
[14:16] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:17] <CD2> I'm happy to publicly post my turn 4 orders
[14:17] <noob> He says I should trust him more.
[14:17] <noob> Our deal's back off.
[14:17] <CD2> Of course he would say that

[14:17] <CD2> Have you played civ with... your source?
[14:17] <noob> Nope
[14:17] <noob> Have you?
[14:17] <CD2> OK.
[14:17] <CD2> I have.
[14:17] <noob> Which civ did you play as?
[14:17] <noob> Did you start near ivory?
[14:18] <noob> Ivory was pretty OP early game in C3C
[14:18] <CD2> Civ 4, I was... Arabia, playing Saladin
[14:18] <noob> Ah.
[14:18] <CD2> Your source, if he is who I suspect he is, was playing England-Victoria
[14:18] <noob> Saladin was a cool guy.
[14:19] <noob> How do you know who my source is o.O??!??
[14:19] <CD2> Saladin was cool! A little weak in the early game
[14:19] <noob> Did I accidentally tell you?
[14:19] <CD2> No.
[14:19] <CD2> Two reasons
[14:19] <CD2> 1) it's obviously someone on #nes who played in PerfNES and followed China
[14:19] <CD2> otherwise they wouldn't have the details of my arrangements with the Mongols
[14:20] <CD2> which means either Azale, Kraz, or Birdjaguar
[14:20] <CD2> Outside chance, Dachs or Thlayli
[14:20] <noob> ing hell.
[14:20] <CD2> 2.) Kraz actually sent me a PMCW
[14:20] <noob> You're like a goddamn modern Sherlock Holmes!
[14:20] <noob> o.O
[14:20] <CD2> saying "rofl this is hilarious"
[14:21] <CD2> Eh, I just notice details. Having a text log helps

[14:21] <noob> Damn.
[14:21] <noob> You're smart.
[14:21] <noob> Ok
[14:21] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:21] <CD2> And anyway, azale's not logged in, and bird is never on IRC
[14:21] <CD2> I've had some practice.
[14:21] <CD2> Anyway, ask Iggy or any of the other civ4 players about Kraz and his playstyle
[14:22] <CD2> Kraz is determined, and he plays to win
[14:22] <CD2> He also logged on once pretending to be me =P
[14:22] <noob> o.O
[14:23] <noob> Devious.
[14:23] <CD2> Yeah.
[14:23] <noob> Oh wow
[14:23] <noob> He just outdid you
[14:23] <CD2> Are you familiar with the iterated prisoner's dilemma?
[14:23] <noob> In deduction
[14:23] <noob> Our deal's back off
[14:23] <CD2> Oh?
[14:23] <noob> No, do tell?
[14:23] <CD2> What's his claim?
[14:23] <CD2> Ah, OK
[14:23] <noob> It-er-ated?
[14:23] <noob> It-era-ted?
[14:24] <noob> Is that like
[14:24] <noob> Archeology?
[14:24] <CD2> it-er-ated
[14:24] <CD2> comp sci, actually
[14:24] <noob> Huh.
[14:24] <CD2> (How old are you?)
[14:24] <noob> 12, sorry.
[14:24] <CD2> No worries

[14:24] <CD2> I see why you're nervous
[14:24] <noob> I've taken Comp Sci, though, don't worry.
[14:24] <CD2> I joined 'poly when I was about your age, many years ago
[14:24] <CD2> OK.
[14:24] <CD2> So iteration is a for loop
[14:24] <noob> Learned all about that groove on the f key
[14:24] <noob> Loop?
[14:25] <noob> For?
[14:25] <CD2> What language did you code in?
[14:25] <CD2> Anyway, the Prisoner's Dilemma is a very simple game, with two players
[14:25] <CD2> There are two prisoners in jail
[14:25] <noob> Code?
[14:25] <noob> English
[14:25] <noob> Of course

[14:26] <CD2> right

[14:26] <noob> What are they in jail for?
[14:26] <CD2> The prisoners can either choose to cooperate with each other and say nothing, or to snitch on the other prisoner
[14:26] <CD2> Doesn't matter for the game
[14:26] <CD2> All that matters is that they have a choice--stay silent, or snitch
[14:27] <noob> Snitches stink.
[14:27] <CD2> Call them Prisoner A and Prisoner B.
[14:27] <CD2> If both Prisoner A and Prisoner B stay silent, they both serve 1 month in prison
[14:27] <noob> I got snitched out to my teacher once, for not doing my homework. The guy that did it is a douche.
[14:27] <CD2> If either A or B snitch, they go free and the other prisoner gets 3 months in prison
[14:27] <noob> Damn, 3 months is a good deal
[14:28] <CD2> Oh, sorry. the other prisoner gets 1 *year* in prison
[14:28] <noob> What did they do, shoplift?
[14:28] <noob> Oh.
[14:28] <noob> Well that's certainly worse/.
[14:28] <CD2> (Yeah, people who do that are douchebags)
[14:28] <CD2> but, if they *both* snitch, they both get 6 months
[14:28] <noob> Well that's pretty obvious.
[14:28] <noob> They both stay silent.
[14:28] <noob> I don't see the dillema
[14:29] <CD2> because if you stay silent and the other person defects, you're screwed
[14:29] <noob> But I mean, you both agree not to beforehand.
[14:29] <noob> That way you both get out quickly.
[14:29] <noob> 1 month isn't even that much.
[14:29] <CD2> I think you start to see the implications to what we were just talking about

[14:29] <noob> Except if it's during summer break; that would suck.
[14:29] <CD2> Hahahahaha
[14:29] <CD2> We're in the same position
[14:29] <CD2> If we cooperate with this deal, we both win
[14:30] <CD2> Now, when I was talking about the 'iterated prisoner's dilemma'
[14:30] <CD2> I'm talking about the same game, happening many times
[14:30] <CD2> The optimal strategy there is to cooperate, until one person defects, then you punish him
[14:31] <noob> Yeah
[14:31] <noob> Snitches stink
[14:31] <CD2> Right, *exactly*
[14:31] ->> CD2 is
Mibbit@ircip3.mibbit.com (
http://www.mibbit.com)
[14:31] ->> CD2 is on: +#nes
[14:31] ->> CD2 using coaxmetal.selfip.net (Coaxmetal)
[14:31] ->> CD2 has been idle for 11 seconds (Logged on at 7/26/2012 9:13:32 AM)
[14:31] ->> CD2 :End of /WHOIS list.
[14:31] <CD2> So, apply the same logic here.
[14:31] <CD2> Your source is trying to get you to defect
[14:31] <CD2> Which begs the question
[14:31] <CD2> What's in it for him?
[14:31] <noob> Oh .
[14:31] <noob> You're right.
[14:31] <noob> Ok.
[14:31] <noob> Our deal's back on.
[14:32] <CD2> Thanks.
[14:32] <CD2> Oh, also
[14:32] <CD2> I tutored algebra in the past, many years ago
[14:32] <noob> Oh! Could you help me with that?
[14:32] <CD2> Absolutely.
[14:32] <noob> I failed my last test. My friend laughed at me :/.
[14:32] <noob> Er.
[14:33] <noob> Ok.
[14:33] <CD2>

[14:33] <CD2> ers.
[14:33] <noob> My source tells me that you're trying to take advantage of me.
[14:33] <noob> D:
[14:33] <CD2> what was it on?
[14:33] <noob> Deal's back off
[14:33] <CD2> See above.
[14:33] <noob> Algebra, of course.
[14:33] <CD2> "What's in it for him"
[14:33] <CD2> Right. which part of algebra?
[14:33] <noob> He says you're a con artist.
[14:33] <noob> What do you mean which part?
[14:33] <noob> The part with the x

[14:33] <CD2> Graphing? Equation solving?
[14:34] <CD2> Word problems?
[14:34] <CD2> Polynomial functions?
[14:34] <noob> Polynomial functions??
[14:34] <noob> We have to do those in algebra??
[14:34] <noob> .
[14:34] <noob> Sounds scary.
[14:34] <CD2> You will have to learn about them eventally
[14:34] <noob> What are they?
[14:34] <CD2> Eh, just a fancy word
[14:34] <noob> Oh, ok

]
[14:34] <CD2> Things that are like
[14:35] <CD2> y = x^2 -9x + 9
[14:35] <CD2> Algebra's important because it's your first exposure to abstract reasoning
[14:35] <noob> y?
[14:35] <CD2> x and y are just variables
[14:35] <noob> I thought we just had to deal with x??
[14:35] <noob> Oh, and thanks for the help

. Our deal's back on.
[14:35] <CD2> we use them because of convention
[14:35] <CD2> (no problem)
[14:35] <CD2> So.
[14:35] <noob> So you could say x = x^2 - 9x + 9 instead?
[14:36] <CD2> well, not quite, because you can't define an equation in terms of itself
[14:36] <CD2> So, let's start from the very beginning
[14:36] <CD2> and get you a foundation for why we're doing all of this.
[14:36] <CD2> So, you've had math, right?
[14:36] <CD2> Like, arithmetic and stuff
[14:36] <CD2> You can do long division, you know your times tables, etc, etc
[14:36] <noob> Arithmetic?
[14:36] <noob> Oh yeah.
[14:36] <noob> Yeah.
[14:36] <noob> I know those.
[14:37] <CD2> Right.
[14:37] <CD2> All of these have very practical, everyday uses.
[14:37] <CD2> you go to the store.
[14:37] <noob> You buy apples, yeah

!
[14:37] <CD2> you're trying to figure out what's more expensive, the 2-liter of Coke or the cans.
[14:37] <CD2> So, algebra is one step above arithmetic
[14:38] <CD2> in that you're trying to generalize a little more, make statements that are true of more things
[14:38] <noob> How do you mean?
[14:38] <CD2> Let's start simple.
[14:38] <CD2> I have 20 dollars. Apples cost $2 per apple.
[14:39] <CD2> How many apples can I buy?
[14:39] <noob> 10!
[14:39] <CD2> Right.
[14:39] <CD2> You can express this problem slightly differently
[14:39] <CD2> by saying that the number of apples you can buy
[14:40] <CD2> equals the money you have, divided by the cost of each apple
[14:40] <CD2> But that's a lot of words to write
[14:40] <CD2> so let's just abbreviate 'the number of apples you can buy' as the letter 'a'
[14:41] <CD2> so, a = 20 / 2
[14:41] <CD2> Makes sense so far?
[14:41] <noob> Can't you just write the numbers of apples you can buy as 10??
[14:41] <noob> Why do you need to give it a nickname
[14:41] <CD2> In this problem, you could do that, sure.
[14:42] <CD2> But let's say that I'm in the car, and I've left my phone at home
[14:42] <CD2> so I don't know how much each apple costs
[14:42] <noob> Yeah lol, that always sucks
[14:42] <CD2> so i can't fill in the bottom
[14:42] <CD2> so, I don't know what a is
[14:42] <CD2> So I can't say that it's 10
[14:43] <noob> You figure it out when you get to the store!
[14:43] <noob> (did I get the riddle right

?)
[14:43] <CD2> but I can say how many apples I can buy, in relation to the price of apples
[14:43] <CD2> Let's call the price of apples 'p'
[14:43] <CD2> so, from above
[14:43] <CD2> a = 20 / p
[14:43] <CD2> Now, "Why is this useful", you ask
[14:43] <noob> This is getting complicated
[14:44] <noob> Where did you get the 20 from?
[14:44] <CD2> I have 20 dollars
[14:44] <CD2> (still have 20 dollars)
[14:44] <noob> Oh!
[14:44] <noob> That's right!
[14:44] <CD2> Yeah.
[14:44] <noob> I thought you bought apples with them, lol
[14:44] <CD2> Hah! Not yet, I haven't been to the store

[14:44] <noob> Ah!
[14:44] <noob> Ok
[14:44] <noob> I'm getting it now!
[14:45] <noob> Oh
[14:45] <CD2> This is useful because, say, you're having an apple-bobbing party
[14:45] <noob> I'm sorry man
[14:45] <noob> My mom's coming home
[14:45] <CD2> No worries
[14:46] <noob> Probably got kicked out of work again for being drunk XD
[14:46] <noob> Will you be on tonight?
[14:46] <CD2> I should be.
[14:46] <noob> I'd really like some more help with this
[14:46] <noob> Ok, thanks!
[14:46] <CD2> Sounds like a plan
[14:46] <noob> Good luck!
[14:46] ->> Connection closed from coaxmetal.selfip.net