Calendar is going to be a significant source of commerce/food, so early math would be good.
More dotmaps for fun. These feature Red Dots that we have to settle, then three settling paths, blue, green and pink.
North:
South:
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Red Dots Gotta settle these next two cities. I'm torn between red dot and black now, both are fine though. Definitely need the Horse/Rice next and get our Chariots out.
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Pink: We expand towards izzy and try to steal the corn/clam/gold city. We can probably skip one of them and backfill, though I think this path is the least likely to work out. I feel like we would either be late or we'd have to settle so aggressively that infrastructure would suffer.
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Green: Feels rather conservative, as we might be able to grab this after going Pink, but it does give some decent production and we could get a cottage city going on the river. Don't know if we've got anyone north of us up there, but I think those three are easily get-able without having to worry about someone else grabbing them up.
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Blue: My favored option. We still get a gold resource, while nabbing marble and incense as well. We could cut off Izzy from the southern part of the continent and backfill as well, assuming no one has a capital down there. I like this one best because it synergizes with an early calendar run, we can lock down MoM and push through the rough land with some extra golden ages.
Just food for thought.