MOOOOOOONSTER post
Hahahaha!
The problem with appealing to "big picture" facts is that they function only at the level of the "big picture", i.e. that they are too general to tell us any historically-specific details.
I am not sure what exactly you mean with "historically-specific details". If you mean the specific implementation of general concepts, I suppose I have to agree. But if we discuss an alternative society, there - at least at the first step - is no need to get all too specific. We can settle with the broad, general, overarching, fundamental features of a given society. We can stay in the "big picture". So use not being able look beyond it is a non-argument.
Unless it was not possible to understand the big picture without the historically circumstantial specifics.
But is that so? Marx certainly doesn't seem to think so.
After all, he thinks to be able to predict the down-fall of capitalism nevermind its further specific history. The IMO indisputable general truth is, that any assumption of alternative societies
or projection of future developments of a given society (like capitalism) will always be based on more or less complex
models. And those models are what we talk about when referring to the "big picture". Marx created a model describing capitalism and based on this model predicted that it had to destroy itself and inevitably would find itself replaced.
If Marx can do so, certainly we can also device a model regarding whatever alternative societies?
May that model reflect what would actually come to fruition or not - we can still try to test if it could work based on our model. After all - that is exactly what Marx did! And what Marxism is based on - no?
To give a simple illustration of a model which may serve to test hypothetical societies: The Prison dilemma. I assume you are ware of it, if not, no bother, I forget the details myself, but what it comes down to is the following point: If a person has no reasonable security to trust in the actions of another person, if hence all the person got is the option of faith and if betrayed faith would mean a loss too high be acceptable - the rational choice is to not trust the other person. Within this model, this rationality is IMO indisputable (but please still oppose whatever you must). And the thing is, if we look at real life, if we look how people again and again act in certain situations - the empirical science - by and large this model has been validated again and again. And the practical consequence is the justification of the monopoly of force. Because it establishes security with regards to physical violence. It is reasonable to have faith in others to not physically harm me, because they would get themselves in serious trouble otherwise. And accordingly, with the development and centralization of the monopoly of force, physical violence per capita has seen a dramatic decrease over the previous centuries and even millennia.
So see, in this case, empirics don't just supply a "invariable biology" (though I have to admit I am not quit sure what I would have to understand as belonging to this category), they also - within the constraints of models - establish constants of human behavior.
Of course one must not just take such a monopoly of force as the only answer to prevent thriving violence. Of course one can suggest that there are alternative means - but then one needs to consider how the aforementioned model could be accounted for. Or explain why this model wasn't universally valid (which I think no one can because it IMO is universally valid, as it in deed merely describes a simple necessity of human survival instinct [that is perhaps what you label invariable biology?] and rationality). If actually possible, that should be doable, no? Nevermind historical circumstances, just analyzing this one isolated dynamic.
And there are other models like that out there. Or can be constructed. Not always convincing, always deserving some skepticisms - but all in all very potent to discuss hypothetical societies.
They won't tell us a thing about what will actually happen, I agree. For historical specifics and such. But they give us fundamental perspective of
what can be expected to happen.
But Reds do at times seem absolutely uninterested in such perspective and the models such perspective could be based on, but only care about the Marxian model. And then exclude other models by criteria the Marxian model itself does fulfill! Which is the unfeasability of models due to historic specifics. Seems rather inconsistent to me.
Psychology or neurobiology may be able to outline for us the basic terms of human society, but they can tell us nothing about any specific society.
As already said - agreed. And this brings me back to models.
Communism is not for Marx an ideal structure, like Plato's ideal republic but a particular historical outcome that can only be understood in terms of the processes leading to it.
To reiterate my criticism of the as I see it inconsistent reasoning here:
But the downfall of capitalism can be understood without knowing the process leading to it? Marx certainly didn't knew it, given his predictions of acute pauperism and the abolishment of the middle class, while the exact opposite is what happened.
Only if we begin from the assumption that rational schematics precede real society, which I don't think is at all the case.
I already replied to this in the past, but sadly received no response. What about the Soviet Union? Wasn't this for its time unique social experiment preceded by rational schematics? What with the French revolution? Didn't they need rational schematics to organize a new society? What triggers sweeping social change might be beyond rational schematics. But what kind of change actually is implemented - how can you disjunct that from rational schematics? The whole democracy movement in Europe - based on the enlightenment and respectively on rational schematics such as natural rights.
I think you seriously underestimate the power of ideas. Don't get me wrong. I also think in a lot of ways we see eye to eye here. I am not naive. I realize that there are vast historically rooted, circumstantial but at the same time systematic developments at play which to a large degree shape our societies. But it to me appears as an unfounded extreme to just disregard ideas in their entirety as a factor.