GOP Super Tuesday

Looks like no one is going to land a hard enough blow today to claim frontrunner status. Santorum and Romney are going to pretty much split and Ohio is going to be a near tie % wise. Romney will win in the long run I think since Newt is going to likely stick around and prevent Santorum from fully absorbing the not-Romney vote, but things were close enough today that this will drag on and on.
 
Why is Super Tuesday so small this year?
 
I'm predict Ohio for Santorum. 81% reporting and Santorum ahead by 6,000 votes.
 
How can any day without California or Texas be called "super"? The word is starting to mean nothing at all.

Well at least seven of those states have something super in common. They are super boring.
 
1) Didn't hurt Obama (after defeating Clinton) it would seem.

Hilary and Obama weren't all that different. They largely wanted the same things even if the details and intended executions were slightly different. The supporters of both candidates generally liked the other candidate but saw their prefered choice as being more dependable/trustworthy/female or inspirational/uncorrupted/black. It wasn't very difficult for Obama to pick up Hilary supporters in the general election and it would have been just as easy for Hilary to pick up Obama's supporters if she had won the nomination.

Romney is very different from not-Romney. A clear victory for Romney would be good for him because it would mean that he had the firm backing of the Republican party's base. In the general election it will be a lot harder for him to pick up votes from Gingrich, Santorum, and Paul supporters.
 
I hope the nutjob wing has enough delegates to force it to a convention. I would love to see what hoops Mittens will have to jump through. Even if the two remaining nutjobs don't get any more delegates, the burden they will place on Mittens should be fun in a general election.
 
Also, the campaign stayed mostly positive. It removed Edwards from the running, and he would have been potential trouble. The long primary in '08 amounted to two democrats talking each other up, and then coming out working together, with the added bonus of Obama demonstrating that he knew a bit about something by managing a good campaign. It was generally an excuse to campaign earlier.

The republicans really are doing Obama's work here for him. The spotlight is off him, and we're seeing each candidate pegged by the other ones into nice, effective negative images. Romney as an uncaring plutocrat who will say anything to get elected, Santorum as a lunatic, and Newt as an evil warlock.

At this point I don't think anyone can see a unified ticket emerging out of the republicans, like the dems did in '08.

If Romney wins the nomination, can you see Newt in his cabinet? Or even Santorum? Ron Paul is obviously out. Who's he going to draw on to rally the base? Bachmann is the only one with the 'star power' to really get some attention, but they're not going to really do a Palin 2.0.
Huntsman and Perry seem like the most likely people for Romney to draw on, but they're not going to do much to make this look like a united front from the republicans.
 
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