Hypothetical War: Armenia vs Azerbaijan. What would be the outcome?

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Virote_Considon

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Imagine for a second that Azerbaijan and Armenia went to war. Assuming the following conditions were true what do you think would be the outcome of it would be in regards to victor and damage done.

Conditions assumed to be true:

"Armenia" also includes Nagorno-Karabakh, the Armenian state which has separated from Azerbaijan.
The Mujahadeen would not get involved, because, as in the 90s, the possible religious dimension available in this war would not be played out

Do you think Azerbaijan has a chance of invading Armenia and winning?

Does Armenia have the manpower to defend themselves from the Azeri forces without significant territorial loss or casualties?

What are your thoughts?

I think that if such a war occured, the Azeri's would likely take a beating, but at significant cost to the Armenians. However, I think the end result would be that Artsakh manages to assert its independence even more so.

Of course, then there's the fact that Russia has pledged to defend Armenia if Azerbaijan is the aggressor (I can't get the link to this right now; it was in a recent edition of Pravda, IIRC), and of course Turkey would be likely to get involved if either Armenia was the aggressor, or if Armenia invaded Nakhchivian.

Forces:
Azerbaijani Armed Forces
Armenian Armed Forces
Nagorno-Karabakh Defense Army
 
Turkey would give the Azeris war subsidies, so they'd come out on top.
 
Armenia is in the CSTO and thus Russia would ensure that it won, and won handily.
 
dmbdN.png
 
When doesn't America get involved?:rolleyes:

Insurgency in Northeast India, 1964-present
Naxalite-Maoist insurgency, 1967-present
Papua Conflict, 1969-present
Aceh Insurgency, 1976-2005
Mozambican Civil War, 1977-1992
Sudanese Civil War, 1983-2005
Sri Lankan Civil War, 1983-2009
Lord's Resistance Army Insurgency, 1987-present
Nagorno-Karabakh War, 1988-1994
Mauritania–Senegal Border War, 1989-1991
Liberian Civil War, 1989-1996
Rwandan Civil War, 1990-1993
Tuareg Rebellion, 1990–1995
Casamance Conflict, 1990-2006
Slovenian War of Independence (Ten-Day War), 1991
South Ossetia War, 1991-1992
Georgian Civil War, 1991-1993
Djiboutian Civil War, 1991-1994
Croatian War of Independence, 1991-1995
Sierra Leone Civil War, 1991-2002
Algerian Civil War, 1991-2002
East Prigorodny conflict, 1992
Transnistrian War, 1992
Abkhazian War, 1992–1993
Tajikistan Civil War, 1992-1997
Burundi Civil War, 1993-2005
Nagaland ethnic conflict, 1993-Present
Chechen War, 1994-1996
Caprivi conflict, 1994-1999
Hanish Islands conflict, 1995
Ogaden Insurgency, 1995-2009
Congo War, 1996-2007
Nepalese Civil War, 1996-2006
Lottery Uprising (in Albania), 1997
Republic of Congo Civil War, 1997-2009
Abkhazia War, 1998
Guinea-Bissau Civil War, 1998-1999
Eritrean–Ethiopian War, 1998-2000
Chadian Civil War, 1998-2002
Congo War, 1998-2003
Kargil War, 1999
East Timor Conflict, 1999
Preševo Valley insurgency, 1999-2001
Second Liberian Civil War, 1999-2003
Chechen War, 1999-2006
Ituri Conflict, 1999-2007
Indian-Bangladeshi Conflict, 2001
Macedonia Insurgency, 2001
Darfur War, 2003-2009
French-Ivorian Conflict, 2004
Central African Republic Bush War, 2004-2007
Kivu Conflict, 2004-2009
South Thailand Insurgency, 2004-present
Mount Elgon Insurgency, 2005-2008
Chadian Civil War, 2005-present
Tuareg Rebellion, 2007-2009
Ingushetia Civil War, 2007-present
Mardakert Skirmishes, 2008
Anjouan Invasion, 2008
South Ossetia War, 2008
Nigerian Sectarian Violence, 2009
Sudanese Nomadic Conflicts, 2009-present
North Caucasus Insurgency, 2009-present
South Darfur Clash, 2010
South Kyrgyzstan Riots, 2010
Mardakert skirmish, 2010

Hot dayum, nicca, that there be a lot of conflicts they ain't got involved in in the last 20 years!
 
But Russia would do the same to Armenia...
Nah, Russia won't honor the agreement; they still have cores in Armenia and want to take them for themselves. Turkey has no such issues with Azerbaijan.
 
Cher would step in for Armenia. Remember, she can turn back time.

sanctuary1.jpg


You don't want to know the depths I had to go to to find this photo.
 
Russia will get involved, America might if they see it good to mess with the Russians, Though I highly doubt it. What if Azerbaijan convinces Georgia to attack and open up a second front on the Russians? Also, as my (Badly made :lol: ) picture shows, Georgia and Azerbaijan cut off Russia from Armenia, and if Russia attacks Georgia to get to Armenia and hit the Azerbaijanis from the sides or rear, It might very well bring the US's ire to bear on Russia.
 

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Yeah, we might make some noise, but we're not actually going to do anything to help some random Caucasian republic that Russia has decided to crush. Especially not Azerbaijan.
 
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