Prediction Thread

[Sommerswerd]

Donald Trump will resign on his last day just to make Joe Biden 47th President and spoil all of his party decorations.

I heard on CNN yesterday that the main reason Trump won't resign is that he does not trust Pence to come through with a pardon. I don't know if that means Pence offered but Trump does not believe he would actually do it, or if Pence just won't commit to giving him a pardon.

 

[Lohrenswald]

I heard on CNN yesterday that the main reason Trump won't resign is that he does not trust Pence to come through with a pardon. I don't know if that means Pence offered but Trump does not believe he would actually do it, or if Pence just won't commit to giving him a pardon.

I think it might be that Trump feels betrayed by Pence and don't trust him anymore lol

 

[Sommerswerd]

I think it might be that Trump feels betrayed by Pence and don't trust him anymore lol

So... the standard, baseline way that he feels towards everyone...

Feeling betrayed, aggrieved and victimized by literally everyone is pretty much his jam.

 

[innonimatu]

We - Europe, Americas and some other parts of the world, will still have a raging epidemic of covid in January 2022.
Most of Africa will be dealing with hunger (food price problems) but laughing at covid and the dumb europeans on that. And then cursing them for screwing up the world economy and causing a commodity prices depression.

 

[Ferocitus]

The US will push for another United Nations Human Rights Council vote to condemn China over issues involving Hong Kong, Xinjiang and Tibet.
They lost 53-27 at the 44th UNHRC, and won't do better at the 45th.

There will be no Olympics in 2021.
Buzkashi will not be a demonstration event at the next Olympics.

The number of people dying from accidents involving ladders will increase as more men try DYI roof repairs while at home under lockdowns.

 

[amadeus]

I heard on CNN yesterday that the main reason Trump won't resign is that he does not trust Pence to come through with a pardon. I don't know if that means Pence offered but Trump does not believe he would actually do it, or if Pence just won't commit to giving him a pardon.

I was really making the prediction based on pettiness; if you can ruin some party decorations and grab headlines and make history and be named Donald J. Trump, would you not do it?

 

[Sommerswerd]

I was really making the prediction based on pettiness;

I know. I just got confused between this thread and one of the political discussion threads, so I responded to your post as if it were more serious than it was. So that's my fault, pay it no mind.

I will add though, that your comment was still funny, and I've borrowed it elsewhere .

 

[Farm Boy]

We - Europe, Americas and some other parts of the world, will still have a raging epidemic of covid in January 2022.
Most of Africa will be dealing with hunger (food price problems) but laughing at covid and the dumb europeans on that. And then cursing them for screwing up the world economy and causing a commodity prices depression.

What will have changed in commodities to kick it off the general kilter? The global food price problems happen when commodities are unusually high, not depressed. Unless they stay depressed long enough that supply runs thin, then the prices don't stay low.

 

[innonimatu]

What will have changed in commodities to kick it off the general kilter? The global food price problems happen when commodities are unusually high, not depressed. Unless they stay depressed long enough that supply runs thin, then the prices don't stay low.

In Europe at least there are lots of business closures and unemployment being staved off by state intervention, but the political skituation is such that states refuse to spend to the level the US or even the UK are doing. The political architecture of the place with a "foreign" currency in sue is a disaster. I can't be sure when it will come crashing down, but my guess is as summer approaches and it becomes clear there won't be an end to this this year either. Small businesses that were pushed to borrow to stay afloat last year will just close. Those small businesses employ a lot of people. Income crashes, spending crashes, commodities fall. Except the one class of commodities no one can live without, basic foodstuffs.

We are seeing white-hot financial speculation going on. I thing the bastards will all jump into speculation with essential goods - food prices - when the rest comes down. Remember what caused all those riots in North Africa and the middle east a few years after the great financial crisis. Unfortunately it may not even be to any benefit at all to the people who actually produce the food.

As with all predictions this is a wild guess. I still try to hepe governments will regain some sense and put an end to this crisis, because there are examples of such.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

I think at most 5 GOP senators will vote to convict Trump in the impeachment trial. Thus falling short of the required 2/3 of the Senate for conviction, will be acquitted.

I don't think he will run in 2024 but he will make continual noise like he is going to run until at the last minute he backs one of his kids to run. Whichever kid does run, they will get their ass handed to them in the primaries.

This is assuming the NY State investigations go nowhere. If it does look like he's going to be sent to prison, I still say he flees to Russia.

 

[Ajidica]

I still say he flees to Russia.

I think if he tries that, the whole country will pretend to be on vacation and accidentally miss his calls.
(Minor Language)

 

[Farm Boy]

In Europe at least there are lots of business closures and unemployment being staved off by state intervention, but the political skituation is such that states refuse to spend to the level the US or even the UK are doing. The political architecture of the place with a "foreign" currency in sue is a disaster. I can't be sure when it will come crashing down, but my guess is as summer approaches and it becomes clear there won't be an end to this this year either. Small businesses that were pushed to borrow to stay afloat last year will just close. Those small businesses employ a lot of people. Income crashes, spending crashes, commodities fall. Except the one class of commodities no one can live without, basic foodstuffs.

We are seeing white-hot financial speculation going on. I thing the bastards will all jump into speculation with essential goods - food prices - when the rest comes down. Remember what caused all those riots in North Africa and the middle east a few years after the great financial crisis. Unfortunately it may not even be to any benefit at all to the people who actually produce the food.

As with all predictions this is a wild guess. I still try to hepe governments will regain some sense and put an end to this crisis, because there are examples of such.

Fair enough. No idea what speculators will do. I do know in the production cycle the Chinese are expanding their hogs again after having culled them down several years ago, and global grain reserves have fallen from their previous highs. I think basic foodstuffs are on a general upswing in price on the cycle already. Markets have just been crummy for so long, could be wrong on that even.

 

[innonimatu]

Fair enough. No idea what speculators will do. I do know in the production cycle the Chinese are expanding their hogs again after having culled them down several years ago, and global grain reserves have fallen from their previous highs. I think basic foodstuffs are on a general upswing in price on the cycle already. Markets have just been crummy for so long, could be wrong on that even.

It is looking bad for Africa. The nobel-peace prize winning warmonger who took over power in Ethiopia is already doing shady deals with phony food purchases. The bankers have been licking their lips looking at speculating with commodity prices, metals and food, see this piece from yesterday. I believe food is where they will be hitting for longer. Food is the one thing people cannot do without or really cut back. It might provide better prices for farmers. But the speculators will grab as much profit as they can.

Incidentally, did you knew "farmer Bill" Gates seems to be the largest (farm) landowner in the US?

 

[Farm Boy]

Land prices have not been soft.

 

[Ferocitus]

Rupert Murdoch will not be an executive chairman of News Corp by the end of 2021.
Fox News will lose ground to the other major networks because it will not be able to shake off its role in the spread of disinformation leading up to the 6 Jan. riots.

 

[Imaus]

Rupert Murdoch will not be an executive chairman of News Corp by the end of 2021.
Fox News will lose ground to the other major networks because it will not be able to shake off its role in the spread of disinformation leading up to the 6 Jan. riots.

Or that its base is too radicalized for it, and doesn't consider it enough for them anymore.

Sinclair is going to become a frontline topic in the next few years, for sure, and so is whatever happens to OANN and Parler/Gab remnants/regroupings.

 

[Ferocitus]

Or that its base is too radicalized for it, and doesn't consider it enough for them anymore.

Sinclair is going to become a frontline topic in the next few years, for sure...

I'm so old that I smiled at the thought of Upton Sinclair being topical again.

 

[cardgame]

Casualties in at least one maga incident on Jan 19-20

 

[Ferocitus]

No electrical-testicle-related casualties in DC MAGA protests on Jan 19-20.

 

[innonimatu]

No electrical-testicle-related casualties in DC MAGA protests on Jan 19-20.

You are aware that the story about electrical-testicle-related casualty was very much in the spirit of Rupert Murdoch - as in, it was false?