2020 US Election (Part Two)

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Meh, tying individual income tax returns to net worth is kind of a guessing game. Last I checked, Forbes listed him at $4.something billion and with his property holdings that’s probably not a bad estimate.
 
Meh, tying individual income tax returns to net worth is kind of a guessing game. Last I checked, Forbes listed him at $4.something billion and with his property holdings that’s probably not a bad estimate.

Its indicative of the socialism for the rich and capitalism for the poor all these "progressive communists" are *****ing about.
 
Its indicative of the socialism for the rich and capitalism for the poor all these "progressive communists" are *****ing about.
They can fivestars all they want about it, but what are their policy proposals? Take a Byzantine tax system and make it even more opaque?

It frustrates me as an American overseas because I’m still obliged to file even on my meager income, and if I want to do anything financial of any significance I run into regulatory burdens that no Canadians, Britons, Australians, etc. face. It’s ridiculous!
 
They can fivestars all they want about it, but what are their policy proposals? Take a Byzantine tax system and make it even more opaque?

It frustrates me as an American overseas because I’m still obliged to file even on my meager income, and if I want to do anything financial of any significance I run into regulatory burdens that no Canadians, Britons, Australians, etc. face. It’s ridiculous!

It is literally the defining issue of our times for me anyways. Ever since the Panama Papers. There is no way to solve the "international businessman" problem with out international cooperation. there is no way to get international cooperation when doing that would necessarily hurt international businessmen. Trump's stuff is jsut stupid tax breaks written up for real estate brokers, it can die a wintry death but it doesn't solve the larger fleecing of the working world that takes place everywhere.
 
They can fivestars all they want about it, but what are their policy proposals? Take a Byzantine tax system and make it even more opaque?

It frustrates me as an American overseas because I’m still obliged to file even on my meager income, and if I want to do anything financial of any significance I run into regulatory burdens that no Canadians, Britons, Australians, etc. face. It’s ridiculous!

You can abandon your citizenship.

Not recommend unless you have dual citizenship.
 
Is the answer to the eternal question of how could Bloomberg best spend his money, to buy up the $400m in debt and use it to just control Trump if he wins?
 
Hate to agree w/ this guy but calling someone a Nazi really does dilute the word.

People literally thought at the time that the Nazis, whilst bad, weren't bad enough to do what they eventually did to the undesirable elements of their society.

The main difference is that we're already doing this, right here and right now.
 
Is the answer to the eternal question of how could Bloomberg best spend his money, to buy up the $400m in debt and use it to just control Trump if he wins?

There is nothing stopping Trump from just defaulting. That is a major part of how the rich keep escalating their financial crimes and scams because the banks don't want to risk the default of such a major asset, and so instead will take a cut-rate return, and write it off a loss. Trump has already done that multiple times. Which they don't do with the rest of people that owe money.


I do find it hilarious that he spent 70K on his hair when his hair looks awful.

My thoughts on this are that the Democrats lack the power to stop the nomination, and making the Supreme Court into an issue is bad because it is a winning issue for the Republicans (mostly since they have the power, but also because their demented legions of "abortion is the worst genocide in history" people care about this waaaaaaaaay more than even the most devoted RBG fans do).

Don't let any facts stand in the way of panicking. People have been saying everything would help Trump recover. Covid will actually help him. Protests will actually help him. Kenosha will actually help. The SC will actually help him. So far his poll numbers have remained very stable.

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Trump also won a lot of pro choice voters in 2016, because all his abortion talk was dog whistles (here is a list of judges) that didn't register with everybody else. Now it is a fight right before election.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1307307434864717824

This morning, I dove into 2016 CCES data (50,000+ person national survey). Only 15% of Clinton's voters at least leaned pro-life and 11% held mixed views (74% at least leaned pro-choice). But 22% of Trump's voters at least leaned pro-choice and another 13% held mixed views.

Although Trump downplayed abortion in 2016, voters w/ mostly pro-choice attitudes made up more than a fifth of his support in plenty of battleground states:

25% in Iowa
24% in Florida
24% in Pennsylvania
24% in Michigan
21% in Arizona
20% in Wisconsin
20% in Ohio

Biden losing some of those pro life voters (unlikely since many of those are likely minority religious communities who have their own reasons for voting D), is a more than a fair trade to pick up those pro-choice voters, who are overrepresented in the EC and critical Senate races.


Trump is also literally tweeting about the Supreme Court repealing the ACA for him. So legislating from the bench, when the actual legislators disastrously failed and led to Democrats picking up 41 seats in the house of Reps, and winning 22/33 Senate races. And was the period with some of the lowest approval ratings of his presidency.

And aside from the Presidency, the Senate map is different. Instead of Democrats defending an overstretched map from successive victories in 2000-2006-2012, in 2018, 2020 is mostly Republican incumbents, stemming from the disastrous 2014 midterm.

Democrats only really have two vulnerable incumbents. One is Doug Jones in Alabama, who would be dead meat even if he voted 100% with Republicans from now on. The other is Michigan, but Biden seems likely to carry it and the incumbent survived 2014 so it will likely be fine. The rest of the races hang on Republican incumbents.



Anyway, an interesting thing to consider.

https://twitter.com/MattGrossmann/status/1309331468917911553

Economic inequality helps Republicans electorally & does not make public favor redistribution. It is associated with bipartisan support for financial deregulation & an increase in the neg effect of status quo bias on reducing inequality

Inequality does not lead the public to favor policies that reduce it. It makes racially biased citizens less egalitarian & more supportive of Republicans. More Republican control in Congress increases inequality, which in turn increases Republican control.

Increasing inequality has been associated with financial deregulation, which further increses inequality. Several of the small number of major laws that still pass with bipartisan support were inequality inducing, while those that reduce inequality were limited in effect

As inequality rises, negative effects of status quo biases in American institutions on reducing inequality rise. It’s not general polarization, but specific combo of high top income shares & institutional constraints that create spiral of rising political & econ inequality 4/4

Republicans winning leads to more economic inequality, which helps Republicans, who cause more economic inequality and leads the public to favour base racism.

Power begets power. Democrats losing will not lead to a successful revolution once the citizenry is sufficiently beaten down. They will just suffer.
 
I think the Supreme Court is a winning issue for the Republicans because, ultimately, for Democrats it's a hopeless fight. The issue is plain as day: Republicans have the power to control appointments to the court and they're using it. To get the power Democrats need to win the elections. The best way to do that is keep the election about losing issues for the Republicans, COVID and the failure of governance around it. The Supreme Court is a winning issue for the Republicans, at least imo.
Completely agree. Frankly I think the Democrats should just waive all debate/hearings on Barrett and maybe even boycott the hearings entirely, citing the Republicans hypocrisy in not sticking to their "election year rule" as justification. Its obvious that Barrett is 100% getting confirmed no matter what. The Kavanaugh confirmation demonstrated that. Participating in the hearings just gives the Republicans an opportunity to style on the Democrats, humiliate them and spike the ball. This whole confirmation is just a victory lap for the Republicans. The Democrats should deny them that as much as possible by not showing up. Boycotting the hearing would shift all the focus onto the Republicans hypocrisy and deny them the sham "fight" that they want. It would also ensure that the hearings were over as quickly as possible so we can go back to focusing on covid and the rest of the Trump administration's failures. In fact, I suspect that if the Democrats boycott the hearings and just label them as a farce and a sham and a distraction, they will drain all the drama out of the hearings and the networks won't even want to cover them as they will be too boring with just Republicans present.
The background to this is that I'm not sure many Democrats truly get the extent to which abortion opponents are committed to this thing. Their level of commitment is frightening, far beyond even the most devoted fans of RBG. We do not want to induce them to turn out en masse because suddenly the election is about Roe v Wade, even though the issue around the court is settled for now because, win or lose the election, the Republicans are appointing the next justice.
I'm thinking that a 6-3 Conservative majority overturning Roe v. Wade could be a political watershed event for Democrats. I guess we'll get to see soon enough.
 
Ironically, I think a video like this is more likely to make Trump supporters think that maybe Hitler wasn't all that bad, than to think that they themselves are bad for supporting Trump... or that Trump is bad for being like Hitler.

You're not even wrong. Which is why it is also completely okay and appropriate to call Trumpets fascists.
 
Hitler got the Enabling Act passed within two months of becoming Chancellor. Trump can’t get a wall built and he’s been in office nearly four years.

Worst Hitler ever! I mean aside from that other Hitler.
 
Does Trump actually want a wall though? Or is that just red meat for his base.
 
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