The video starts with:
"According to research
[citation needed] in order for a culture
[definition?] to maintain itself
[specify?] for more than 25 years, there must be a fertility rate of 2.11 children per family."
That kind of makes it clear straight away that the rest is drivel. It piles dubious claims ("fertility rates cannot recover") and references to some unknown authority ("historical research shows...") on top of wrong facts ("... across the European Union of
31 countries (...)") and inane extrapolations of trends interpreted in the most extreme way possible ("Islamic migrants will maintain 8.1 children-per-family fertility rate forever") to make crystal-ball predictions of the future ("in 39 years, France will be an Islamic republic", "in 15% years, half of the population of the Netherlands will be Muslim"). Funnily, it also contradicts itself: if 25% of the Belgian population was Muslim, shouldn't far more than 50% of all newborns be 'islamic', given the ridiculously high fertility rates mentioned earlier?
It's clear the author of this doesn't have any idea about what he's talking about. The alarming thing about it is that this particular video has gone viral, I even got a link to its Czech-subtitled version through email, and people believe this crap.
I kind of liked the reference to Gaddafi though. Considering how he ended up, it shows what the value of these alarmist forecasts is.
Now, this is from a
far more reliable source:
Readers should bear in mind that estimates of the numbers of Muslims in Europe vary widely
because of the difficulty of counting new immigrants. Nevertheless, it is clear that most European
Muslims live in eastern and central Europe. The country with the largest Muslim population in
Europe is Russia, with more than 16 million Muslims, meaning that more than four-in-ten European
Muslims live in Russia. While most Muslims in western Europe are relatively recent immigrants
(or children of immigrants) from Turkey, North Africa or South Asia, most of those in Russia,
Albania, Kosovo, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Bulgaria belong to populations that are centuries old,
meaning that more than six-in-ten European Muslims are indigenous.
Despite the limitations of the underlying data for Europe, it appears that Germany is home to more
than 4 million Muslims – almost as many as North and South America combined. This means
that Germany has more Muslims than Lebanon (between 2 million and 3 million) and more than
any other country in western Europe. This also puts Germany among the top-10 countries with
the largest number of Muslims living as a minority population. While France has a slightly higher
percentage of Muslims than Germany, this study finds that it has slightly fewer Muslims overall.7
The United Kingdom is home to fewer than 2 million Muslims, about 3% of its total population.
The European countries with the highest concentration of Muslims are located in eastern
and central Europe: Kosovo (90%), Albania (80%), Bosnia-Herzegovina (40%) and Republic of
Macedonia (33%). Greece is about 3% Muslim, while Spain is about 1% Muslim. Italy has one
of the smallest populations of Muslims in Europe, with less than 1% of its population being
Muslim.8
Now, please tell me again how Europe is going to go from ~5% Muslim (including the indigenous Muslim populations in the Balkans and Russia) to over 50% Muslim in the next 50 years. It would require a population transfer never before seen in human history, or a mass suicide of at least 90% of non-Muslim Europeans.
In other words, nonsense.
Well, I think it's a shame. Islam has a great deal to offer.
Like institutionalized misogyny, religious sense of inherent superiority to the kaffirs, five million food and drink taboos, and other glorious products of the bronze age?
No thanks.