Ginger_Ale: Welcome to our little asylum.
Don't forget that as a seafaring tribe, we start with alphabet and have immediate access to curraghs and for use they are 3 movement units (seafaring bonus) and have a reduced chance of sinking in sea and ocean tiles. Being that this is a continents map and you might be able to reach the other island well before anyone else, which will have a period of exclusive tech trading. Also the curraghs will be able to reach the far side of your continent much quicker than any scout.
My plan for Lisbon is curragh, scout, curragh, settler, granary, settlers
This being a monarch level, the wines + 2 base content citizens, will allow me to get to a size 4 before MPs are needed, hopefully I'll be able to find a second lux and won't need them at all.