[RD] Daily Graphs and Charts

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It's not an entirely fair metric. Borrowing costs have plummeted. They're looking at sale price. They should be looking at total cost.
 
Wow, interesting. So is the implication here that it's impossible to really say where my ancestry lies? If during each generation essentially 50% of all data is lost, then it seems to me that if you go back 5 generations the data is so-so, if you go back 8 generations it's even less accurate, etc. Is that about right?

In general, ancestry is really tracked back via mitochondrial DNA.
Mitochondria replicate asexually, so there's in theory nothing lost, and only come from the mother, so that should be possible to track it back a bit.

For your example, it depends what was sequenced, and how they determined it.
 
Well, as you go back in the generations, more and more of the data has been lost, but there was also more data there to begin with. If a large part of that data was 'Polish', then the data remains. However, yes, if you had exactly one great-great-great-great-great-grandmother who was a native American, her data is either still there (and overrepresented!), or it was lost at some point and is underrepresented.

Cool, that makes sense. I'm going to have to have a long talk with my brother in law about all this next time I see him!

Oh, awesome. This means you could do 23&me and get way more out of it than others, to your long-term benefit.

Yeah, I've had discussions with him about DNA and a lot of this stuff is way over my head, but I like to learn, so I bring it up every once in a while. Not too often because I know how some people are about discussing work at home :p I think I can keep up with most of what he says, I understand some of the chemistry behind it, and some of the other basics, so I can sort of piece things together and figure out what he's trying to say.

My sister definitely did well. The last guy she dated before this guy was a religious Muslim guy who wanted her to convert and who told her that hugging her uncle is not okay. Compare that to freakin Genetic research facility director who's also Polish and actually has a very very similar last name to ours - so she changed her last name, but it's almost exactly the same anyway - did not really have to change her signature.

Very happy for them!

Re: Canadian home prices - I think most of the jump you see at the end of the graph is driven mainly by 2 markets - Toronto and Vancouver. Two bubbles that are just exploding with no end in sight..
 
Spoiler :
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Research Article
Misperceiving Bullpoop as Profound Is Associated with Favorable Views of Cruz, Rubio, Trump and Conservatism

Stefan Pfattheicher ,
Simon Schindler

PLOS

Published: April 29, 2016
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0153419


Abstract
The present research investigates the associations between holding favorable views of potential Democratic or Republican candidates for the US presidency 2016 and seeing profoundness in bullpoop statements. In this contribution, bullpoop is used as a technical term which is defined as communicative expression that lacks content, logic, or truth from the perspective of natural science. We used the Bullpoop Receptivity scale (BSR) to measure seeing profoundness in bullpoop statements. The BSR scale contains statements that have a correct syntactic structure and seem to be sound and meaningful on first reading but are actually vacuous. Participants (N = 196; obtained via Amazon Mechanical Turk) rated the profoundness of bullpoop statements (using the BSR) and provided favorability ratings of three Democratic (Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, and Bernie Sanders) and three Republican candidates for US president (Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump). Participants also completed a measure of political liberalism/conservatism. Results revealed that favorable views of all three Republican candidates were positively related to judging bullpoop statements as profound. The smallest correlation was found for Donald Trump. Although we observe a positive association between bullpoop and support for the three Democrat candidates, this relationship is both substantively small and statistically insignificant. The general measure of political liberalism/conservatism was also related to judging bullpoop statements as profound in that individuals who were more politically conservative had a higher tendency to see profoundness in bullpoop statements. Of note, these results were not due to a general tendency among conservatives to see profoundness in everything: Favorable views of Republican candidates and conservatism were not significantly related to profoundness ratings of mundane statements. In contrast, this was the case for Hillary Clinton and Martin O’Malley. Overall, small-to-medium sized correlations were found, indicating that far from all conservatives see profoundness in bullpoop statements.



Rest of article here. http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0153419 Includes some NSFCFC language.
 
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These are fun graphs on housing in Australia.
 
The correlation that a lot of people might miss: new homes are built by the 10%. So yeah, they're getting bigger, because the 10% hasn't had their incomes decouple from growth. And it's those new homes that are placed on the 2ndary market, and prices are going to be sticky downwards.

The old houses that are being phased out due to age are the smaller ones, 'cause houses were smaller back then. It's a neat tidbit. If you're a part of the 10% and want to help reverse the hollowing of the middle class, when you build your dreamhome, build it small and efficient. Spend your money in other ways.
 
On the flip side, its middle class carpenters, masons, electricians and plumbers who build those massive statements of shallow look at me boxes of vanity for the 2%, 1%, whatever. Its the lower class guys working in the building supply places who sell the materials to the contractors, and their middle class managers who make sure they do a good job. True, the owners of building centers tend to be the 1% sort who try to cut the work hours while driving their people ever harder to get the same work done, but there are a lot of regular guys making dough off of the mansions of the filthy rich. I always used to enjoy getting work from one of these, and charging them a bit extra. I suppose its the same as we foreigners get in the Philippines, the foreigner prices. :dunno: Life goes on.
 
The correlation that a lot of people might miss: new homes are built by the 10%. So yeah, they're getting bigger, because the 10% hasn't had their incomes decouple from growth. And it's those new homes that are placed on the 2ndary market, and prices are going to be sticky downwards.

The old houses that are being phased out due to age are the smaller ones, 'cause houses were smaller back then. It's a neat tidbit. If you're a part of the 10% and want to help reverse the hollowing of the middle class, when you build your dreamhome, build it small and efficient. Spend your money in other ways.
This isn't really true in London (and by extension the UK).
 
Yeah, I think it's more a phenomenon of the Land of the Suburbs that I live in.

Cav: yeah, there's no doubt there's some trickle down effect. It's a very slow misallocation of capital, and it certainly provides jobs in the meantime. In the mid-oughties, mortgage brokers were making a living too. But, you'll note, that these houses aren't contributing to growth in median wages for males (which have fallen since the trend in 'large houses' became more and more prominent). It's trickle-down, but it's not supply-side employment.

You'll note I said they could spend their money on something else, not that they should burn the saved money in a fire-pit. All spending helps buy employment. Building large houses merely increases the burden on land, fuels, and city infrastructure. Building efficient homes is the opposite, and the money can be used to create other value.
 
Yeah, I think it's more a phenomenon of the Land of the Suburbs that I live in.

I hate it. Melbourne is lovely, but it is not a city. It is a hub of parks and high rises stuck amid a wasteland of suburbs. It is veritably hateful.
 
On the flip side, its middle class carpenters, masons, electricians and plumbers who build those massive statements of shallow look at me boxes of vanity for the 2%, 1%, whatever. Its the lower class guys working in the building supply places who sell the materials to the contractors, and their middle class managers who make sure they do a good job. True, the owners of building centers tend to be the 1% sort who try to cut the work hours while driving their people ever harder to get the same work done, but there are a lot of regular guys making dough off of the mansions of the filthy rich. I always used to enjoy getting work from one of these, and charging them a bit extra. I suppose its the same as we foreigners get in the Philippines, the foreigner prices. :dunno: Life goes on.



Luxury consumption creates some jobs. Mass consumption creates mass jobs.
 
Yes, sure. You and EM are right of course. In a perfect world things are perfect, and hard workers share more in the pie. However we don't live in a perfect world and while we wait for the revolution we must make a living somehow. Also, revolutions don't always turn out for the best. People suck, not all but perhaps most. Looking forward to getting off this rock when the time comes.

In a dozen years I'll be three score and 10. :woohoo: The race is almost run.
 
I'm just pointing out it as a way for the 10% to 'help', if they're so inclined. Not by losing spending (as taxes would do), but merely by shifting it.

I worry about housing policies these days. People are buying them thinking that the historical 8% returns are sustainable. They just cannot be, and so people are over-buying into a bubble.
 
That can be good or bad depending on when you get out. I rode 2 bubbles to the top and got out before they burst. That's the primary reason I can afford what I've done in the Philippines. No doubt that property speculation and greedy bankers drove the massacre that came after, but it worked out okay for me. :dunno:

No way to run a country, I agree. Things used to be different as perhaps you remember. Back then the purchase price and selling price were closely associated, and one made money through work. There were years where the appreciation on my first house made more money for me than my job. Its when people start extrapolating that they get in trouble. 'At the current rate I'll be a millionaire in blah years!' Nope. These days houses are like stocks, and its the buyers driving the market that determine when it ends in blood and tears. My first house I got out when the blue collar workers that I worked with had to buy in a neighboring state because the houses in Jersey were not affordable. So, I sold and found a buyer just in time, poor guy.
 
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