Most breakthroughs are done through the rigorous testing of a theory proposed by someone who really stood out. 99% of the time, a really smart dude looks at the data, thinks of a theory, and then tests it enough to convince masses of other people to test it too.
Having access to a really smart dude (or even an all-knowing dude) would make science much easier.
So what if this really smart (or all knowing) dude presented a theory that either could not be tested or contradicted what was generally accepted? Do you then question his "smartitude"? Dismiss his theory until he proves it? or Question your assumptions?
It'd still be a hypothesis until tested, not a theory; An open mind can hold conflicting, but reasonable hypotheses. If validation of the original hypothesis required empirical data that couldn't be gotten with the current technology, then it'd remain a hypothesis. A null hypothesis version that produced contrary data might weaken or modify the original hypothesis, but people with open minds would still consider everything until there exists a theory that is strongly* validated.
It'd be a matter of pragmatic choice (e.g. test the easiest ones first? test the better funded ones first?) as to which of your pool of hypotheses to test, but fruitless to assume any are wrong without testing.
*some subjectivity there, there might be controversy, lack of consensus,etc.. on how well validated the theory was.
We saw that happen with both the Theory of Relativity and String Theory. Einstein was shown to be 'mostly correct' much after he proposed his theory. And we basically pat String Theorists on the head these days, until they give us something useful![]()
You look for a way to test/contradict it.
I'd support the theory provided I actually know he his a fantastically smart/all-knowing dude. When someone says an all-knowing dude told them something, I don't question the judgment of the all-knowing dude, I question his existence and communication with who ever told me the yarn.
No way, we don't believe in relativity over string theory because we think Einstein was a pretty smart guy.
Well, that's not what I said, so I agree. My point was that having a smart dude involved makes science easier. If they give us theories that can be tested, then we'll not really believe them until the tests can be done. But if someone is smart or convincing enough, we'll often give them resources by which to conduct their tests.
Perfection said:I don't really think that has much bearing as to what Birdjag said.
El M's post about the value of a "really smart or all knowing dude" to science was interesting. I was fishing to see what parameters you all would place on such a person. Apparently being "smart and all knowing" is only relevant within the confines of science.
They'll be no coloring outside the lines please!
