Is Britain about to leave the EU?

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However I am waiting for the European Court to jump in and say that as there is no prexisting constitutional
requirement (see line 1, below) in the unwritten UK constitution, there is no right for the UK to leave at all.

I.e. that Article 50 is meaningless window dressing, which if it occurs will indeed cause real trouble.

Such a ruling would not make all that much sense because that would mean that the Parliament could create a proxy constitution which gives itself the right to leave.
 
Besides which, if a state has no constitution at all, then clearly there are no requirements on how such a state might withdraw from the EU.
 
Suddenly? I hardly think so. Given that the UK accepts EU law by Act of Parliament and can remove such authority by repealing the said act, the only sovereignty we have been ceding for 40 years is that also prescribed in law.

I am aware of that interpretation. However there are other interpretations arising from the doctrine of the supremacy of
EU Law over UK law and it is unduely optimnistic to assume that your quoted interpretion would continue to hold and prevail.
In my opinion its particular validity gets eroded by the acceptance of transfer of power to the EU and by the effluxion of time.

History shows us that the entering into of customs unions by independent German states resulted in the non existence of such states,
and the southern states in the United States thought that their membership of that union remained voluntary and they could leave.


Parliamentary sovereignty has always overridden "the will of the people", but it's up to the people to vote in new MPs if they so choose./

I spy a general election.


Who's preaching doom and gloom now? It can't possibly be such a shining light of Project "Hope".

Ah well, I voted Leave as the least worse option.
 
Such a ruling would not make all that much sense because that would mean that the Parliament could create a proxy constitution which gives itself the right to leave.

Quite, but the terms of reference of the European Court require it to make
judgements in favour of ever closer union rather than in favour of common sense.
 
Besides which, if a state has no constitution at all, then clearly there are no requirements on how such a state might withdraw from the EU.
Except that which it defines itself - which I guess is what the case is about. Courts vs parliament vs pm vs referendum. The wonders of a make it up as you go along constitution.
 
I spy a general election.

Indeed, that might be the likely result. Either way, it seems farcical that so many people voting to restore Parliamentary sovereignty would now be upset that the High Court has ruled that Parliamentary sovereignty applies, even to Brexit itself.
 
I spy a general election.
That seems actually sensible.

An advisory referendum asking too simplistic a question was always an inherently divisive instrument — never mind blunt as a hammer.
 
A good piece here by writer and leave campaigner Dreda Say Mitchell:

"For those of us who voted leave in order to ensure that it’s our MPs who make political decisions in this country, this morning’s ruling in the high court is a nice irony. I personally don’t have a problem with anyone using any democratic or legal means to achieve any political end they want. And there’s no doubt that MPs have the right to cancel Brexit if they choose to do so.

But I would advise them to use their power respectfully and wisely. The reputation of the political classes in this country is already very low, and any attempt to overturn the referendum result is likely to send it down even further with baleful consequences.

Whether it’ll make any difference in the long run is a moot point. There are powerful vested interests in the UK already at work to get the ballot overturned or render it meaningless. There are equally powerful interests in the EU itself who are willing to help them out. Personally, I wouldn’t bet against them succeeding. As the French, Dutch, Irish and Greeks have discovered, referendums in the EU are flexible friends. But that will leave a pertinent question – do votes actually count for anything in Europe these days, or are they merely glorified opinion polls?"
 
A good piece here by writer and leave campaigner Dreda Say Mitchell:

"For those of us who voted leave in order to ensure that it’s our MPs who make political decisions in this country, this morning’s ruling in the high court is a nice irony. I personally don’t have a problem with anyone using any democratic or legal means to achieve any political end they want. And there’s no doubt that MPs have the right to cancel Brexit if they choose to do so.

But I would advise them to use their power respectfully and wisely. The reputation of the political classes in this country is already very low, and any attempt to overturn the referendum result is likely to send it down even further with baleful consequences.

Whether it’ll make any difference in the long run is a moot point. There are powerful vested interests in the UK already at work to get the ballot overturned or render it meaningless. There are equally powerful interests in the EU itself who are willing to help them out. Personally, I wouldn’t bet against them succeeding. As the French, Dutch, Irish and Greeks have discovered, referendums in the EU are flexible friends. But that will leave a pertinent question – do votes actually count for anything in Europe these days, or are they merely glorified opinion polls?"

It is well known they do not. Look at comedy proof of that with the finnish gov going about how they would call a parliament vote to cancel anything on Greece, only to be told what to do by a german minister and then shut up.
Anyway, don't know if Britain will continue this charade of brexit or not brexit, but in either case this doesn't say anything more about the eu itself.
Meanwhile, whole countries die due to this idiocy.
 
Whole countries die? Really?
 
That's the thing about referendums. It's one thing to decide something and another to actually go through with it.
 
'Matt' the cartoonist from the Telegraph got the Guy Fawkes theme too :c5razing::

matt_tele_brexit_block.png
 
May would have to present a coherent and realistic Brexit plan or else no Brexit will happen.
She's a Tory PM who appointed BoJo. Diplomats laughed on camera when told of the scoop. Your two requirements are not met.
what Parliament does or doesn't do should not be held ransom to those with no moral fibre.
You need a snap election.
Though by now I really wonder how you guys ever managed to run an empire, much less a medium-sized island.
I cannot remember whether it was H.G. Wells or H.L. Havell who said that the Romans blundered into success after success, eventually forming an empire, and that England ahd done the same.
I am not at all surprised at this ruling.

The long term trend of the UK courts, since they invented the doctrine of judicial review after WW2,
is to regard themselves as superior to the government and to overrule them whenever they can.

The way it usually works is that the lower courts take the view that the government has a job to do
and are generally supportive of the government using its discretion, the higher courts enjoy raising two
fingers at the government and the supreme court then decides that it may not be the best idea to obstruct
the government if what the government is trying to do makes sense and does not involve any injustice.

I don't think it is much to do with UK parliamentary sovereignty.
Actually, it does. The court is ruling in favour of parliamentary sovereignty; given that the referendum was non-binding, if there's any decision to be made it will be made by the Queen in Parliament.
 
'Matt' the cartoonist from the Telegraph got the Guy Fawkes theme too :c5razing::

Well, some cartoons are about what you read into them, of course, but it is 3rd Nov, so Guy Fawkes references won't be too far away.
 
A good piece here by writer and leave campaigner Dreda Say Mitchell:

[---] do votes actually count for anything in Europe these days, or are they merely glorified opinion polls?"
Put it to the test in a general election if the British feel uncertain.

The Brexit referendum, THAT was glorified opinion poll. If it wasn't, it should have been binding, not advisory.
 
Put it to the test in a general election if the British feel uncertain.

The Brexit referendum, THAT was glorified opinion poll. If it wasn't, it should have been binding, not advisory.

How would it be put to an election, if both main parties (Labour and Tory) are officially (Labour due to leader) pro-Brexit?
 
The Daily Fail and the Express have decided to re-qualify for "Most Hysterical Overreaction" today. The Fail went for calling the three High Court judges "enemes of the people" (!!) and the Express opined that this new 'crisis' was as bad as any since Churchill and fighting 'em on the beaches and that yesterday "was the day that democracy died." The Telegraph 'merely' went for publishing the photos of the judges and then cast them in a (presumably sinister) blue light.
Either way, it seems farcical that so many people voting to restore Parliamentary sovereignty would now be upset that the High Court has ruled that Parliamentary sovereignty applies, even to Brexit itself.

Clearly, I'm turning into a prophet. :rolleyes: If anyone is inciting violence now, it's certainly not Parliament or the High Court.
 
How would it be put to an election, if both main parties (Labour and Tory) are officially (Labour due to leader) pro-Brexit?
I think you've hit the nail on its head. :)

If you're right, the UK CANNOT handle a question like Brexit through ordinary political processes and channels.

If it can't, it can't, but then if it still goes through with it through channels OTHER than the ordinary democratic and parliamentary ones, then it has joined the ranks of the new illiberal democracies, like Hungary and what Poland seems to be turning into — effectively winner-takes-all-once dictatorships of simple majorities.

The REAL clue if this will happen in the UK is IF the recent ruling by the judiciary branch of government can be ignored by the executive (government), while it on its own accord decides it also doesn't have to involve the legislative branch (parliament) either.

In the end it turned out to be shockingly easy for the executive branch to short-circuit the legislative branch in Hungary — which has a written constitution of the German model, i.e. THE strongest safeguard for an independent judiciary in any European system. If Hungary can do it (and it's extremely dangerous precisely because it now has produced a blueprint for how to kill liberal democracy and rule-of-law in the EU, and in a "hardest case"-setting) then the UK is toast, since its constitutional arrangements ARE on the soft side by comparison — provided the May government is actually willing to go through with it.

The question of course also seems to be if May et al. in the British government even senses the dangers involved in the situation? The way things look, they might bumble the UK out of democracy-as-we-know-it more or less by accident over Brexit..
 
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^So, no penalties for being illiberal or anti-legislative autonomy in the Eu. Looks like the dream ended with the 2003 countries massively joining.
I have to suppose that at least in the UK there is a much more firm sense of democracy, so i am not seeing them destroying the distinction of powers as easily.
 
You'd think so, Kyriakos, but I'm not sure the right-wing press have noticed that today.
 
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