Prediction Thread

[amadeus]

I predict supply side inflation.

You mean that the pumping of money around re: coronavirus is going to result in inflation?

 

[innonimatu]

The European Union will not last until 2022.There is no willingness to cease the preying by the "rich" countries upon the poorer ones, today they refused again common policy to deal with the debt during this crisis. The absence of which opens the way to financial predation over assets in the financially weaker weaker countries. The is no way the EU can continue to be sold to those populations as a positive force. It goes bust, and so will any political regime that seeks to keep one of those countries within it.
What I wonder is what the french will do. They're on the weaker side once the move towards the exit starts.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

Did you get that from Pravda?

 

[innonimatu]

My crystal ball - it has exclusive rights on my predictions, no newsrags allowed to have them Has been more often right than wrong, I dare say.

Heads of government may still get their act together. But today again they demonstrated no inclination for that, refusing to take any common action to stabilize finance. I recall the fights over Greece, I recall the way the 2008 crisis was handled, the beating continuing until morale improved. And the recent crass incompetence that allowed Europe to become the world's region with the most infections, the deliberate delay in prevention such as closing borders, despite the example of what had happened in China and the logical conclusion that it would spread and happen around the world.
We're ruled by fools. They'll keep being incompetent even politics and destroy their precious EU.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

The European Union will not last until 2022.There is no willingness to cease the preying by the "rich" countries upon the poorer ones, today they refused again common policy to deal with the debt during this crisis. The absence of which opens the way to financial predation over assets in the financially weaker weaker countries. The is no way the EU can continue to be sold to those populations as a positive force. It goes bust, and so will any political regime that seeks to keep one of those countries within it.
What I wonder is what the french will do. They're on the weaker side once the move towards the exit starts.

Did you get that from Pravda?

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-panic-in-west-eu-document-says-idUSKBN21518F

Russia deploying coronavirus disinformation to sow panic in West, EU document says

I'm sure this is all coincidental.

 

[innonimatu]

The EU is quite capable of sowing panic all by itself. And running its own propaganda operations. I already rolled eyes at the conspiracy theories about other countries creating/spreading the virus.

Now they are about other countries "sowing panic"? And publishing, spreading this theory that "country x is sowing panic" is not in itself a act of propaganda, we are to believe?

 

[aimeeandbeatles]

My predictions:

If a lot of people die, people will go "We didn't prepare enough!!!"

If not a lot of people die, people will go "We overreacted like Y2K!!!"

 

[hobbsyoyo]

If not a lot of people die, people will go "We overreacted like Y2K!!!"

And they'll completely miss over the fact that the worst of Y2K was avoided by sustained, coordinated, world-wide effort on behalf of governments and corporations. It's the poster child for a rational response to a threat that resulted in minimal disruption.

 

[Traitorfish]

My predictions:

If a lot of people die, people will go "We didn't prepare enough!!!"

If not a lot of people die, people will go "We overreacted like Y2K!!!"

I predict a middling amount of people will die, and people will variously claim that we both under- and over-reacted.

 

[Hygro]

You mean that the pumping of money around re: coronavirus is going to result in inflation?

A drop in production but maintained wages via stimulus will raise general prices. This requires enough stimulus to make up for lost wages and enough production drop and sell off of existing stock, and assuming purchases.

There’s a lot of conditions necessary for this to come true. If sales of non essentials are super slow and stimulus just pays bills, or production resumes before stock runs low, my prediction is quite unlikely.

 

[Zardnaar]

P

I predict a middling amount of people will die, and people will variously claim that we both under- and over-reacted.

Ding ding.

 

[innonimatu]

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-panic-in-west-eu-document-says-idUSKBN21518F

Russia deploying coronavirus disinformation to sow panic in West, EU document says

I'm sure this is all coincidental.

This is too funny (the botched way the original propaganda was done, the subject unfortunately is grim) not to point out! Check the wayback machine for the original version of this piece of propaganda in Reuters:
https://web.archive.org/web/2020031...-panic-in-west-eu-document-says-idUSKBN21518F

Near the end the original hit piece, yesterday:

It quoted fake news created by Russia in Italy, the second-most heavily affected country in the world, that health systems would be unable to cope and doctors would choose who lived or died because of a lack of beds.
The EEAS has also shared information with Slovakia over the spread of fake news accusing the country’s prime minister, Peter Pellegrini, of being infected with the virus and saying he may have passed on the infection to others at recent summits.

Updated hit piece propaganda, today:

It quoted fake news created by Russia in Italy - which is suffering the world’s second most deadly outbreak of coronavirus - alleging that the 27-nation EU was unable to effectively deal with the pandemic, despite a series of collective measures taken by governments in recent days.
The EEAS has also shared information with Slovakia over the spread of fake news accusing the country’s prime minister, Peter Pellegrini, of being infected with the virus and saying he may have passed on the infection to others at recent summits.

Reality has a way of unmasking propaganda hit pieces indeed.

Many of the other "fake news" quoted from the EU report were pickings from media on the same level as the Daily Mail, of which kind there are everywhere, and even "fake news" lifted from The Onion-style sources - of course they were fake,they were from jokes and from conspiracy theory weirdos like everywhere.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

I predict that the nation's top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, will be fired by the end of next week. His crime? Contradicting Trump's lies and misinformation.

 

[Sommerswerd]

I predict that Humankind will fail to supplant Civilization as the dominant game in the genre.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

I haven't been following it since it was announced. How's it shaping up? Is it out already?

 

[Sommerswerd]

I haven't played it, only read about it and watched some descriptive videos

 

[AdrienIer]

It doesn't have a release date yet, except for "2020"

 

[Sommerswerd]

Is it too soon for Civilization (and/or Humankind and similar turn-based Civ-clones) to add some DLC that lets players manage global pandemics?

 

[AdamCrock]

Is it too soon for Civilization (and/or Humankind and similar turn-based Civ-clones) to add some DLC that lets players manage global pandemics?

There's a pandemic / plague mechanic in Realism Invictus, Civ Rev and several other mods for Civ 4 .

In other news: Today is my first day at work after the break. There are a lot of changes and we've got free masks and disinfectants at least. I've also heard that Police is gona fine people being out without reason.

 

[Synobun]

Is it too soon for Civilization (and/or Humankind and similar turn-based Civ-clones) to add some DLC that lets players manage global pandemics?

I don't see much a way that they can do it well. Civilization isn't a game that does well with disasters unless it's in mods. The random event system in Civ 4 did alright but even then, the bad results were leashed.