Prediction Thread

hobbsyoyo said:
Why is that?
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In a sense I think like "humanity doesn't deserve it"
Given how like poorly stuff is going on on this planet, but with how people and nature are treated, it kinda feels wrong to go on to that.
Also I dont want people, private institutions ore countries like carving up space into properties.

I am like fine with some extent of like scientific research (which I'd preferably have as much of it be robotic as possible, to not put people in physical harm, that's another problem), but like if you want to do like large scale "space colonisation" (not sure how feasable that is) just to like enlarge living space and increase the number of people, that to me is like meaningless and unromantic.

so a lot of it is in a way irrational, but I get more irrational in my response to like the scope of proposed settlement, and the more people you want in space the more irrational that is as well (don't need much settlement to do relevant scientific experiments and resource extraction outside earth)
 
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I think in 10 to 20 years, we will be synchronizing brain waves for lulz and to learn. We're already prototyping prosthetics that move on thought alone and soon we'll be able to transmit thoughts and feelings between people. Before we have the full technology to implant distinct experiences and memories directly into people's brains, we'll be able to synchronize between people.

Imagine picking up an instrument you can barely play and being able to have the best possible jam session with a group of strangers - all of you linking up and synchronizing your thought patterns and just grooving. In this way you'll be able to indirectly learn - you'll get better at guitar by picking out what Joe Shmoe on drums thinks you should play. This will revolutionize how we learn and interact with each other.

This will dramatically increase empathy and crime will nose dive. The impact of this technology will come as fast as social media and be even more dramatic in the scale of change. It will also give people more tools to inflict misery on one another but mostly it'll be a good thing.

Bonus - this technology would also mean we'd be able to take control of ordinary machines as if they were extensions of our own body. Cell phones have bluetooth now for hands-free interaction; soon they'll have some sort of brain scanner that you interface with directly. People will inhabit machines and the singularity will pass unnoticed as the distinction between man and machine begins to blur.
 
hobbsyoyo said:
I think in 10 to 20 years, we will be synchronizing brain waves for lulz and to learn. We're already prototyping prosthetics that move on thought alone and soon we'll be able to transmit thoughts and feelings between people. Before we have the full technology to implant distinct experiences and memories directly into people's brains, we'll be able to synchronize between people.

Imagine picking up an instrument you can barely play and being able to have the best possible jam session with a group of strangers - all of you linking up and synchronizing your thought patterns and just grooving. In this way you'll be able to indirectly learn - you'll get better at guitar by picking out what Joe Shmoe on drums thinks you should play. This will revolutionize how we learn and interact with each other.

This will dramatically increase empathy and crime will nose dive. The impact of this technology will come as fast as social media and be even more dramatic in the scale of change. It will also give people more tools to inflict misery on one another but mostly it'll be a good thing.

Bonus - this technology would also mean we'd be able to take control of ordinary machines as if they were extensions of our own body. Cell phones have bluetooth now for hands-free interaction; soon they'll have some sort of brain scanner that you interface with directly. People will inhabit machines and the singularity will pass unnoticed as the distinction between man and machine begins to blur.
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What worries me about tech like this is what it'd do to continuity of consciousness. I'd be anxious about it, and likely be afraid of what happens. That when I lay back and go through this process, who I am dies and whoever wakes up/comes out of it is someone different, not me.
 
Nikki Haley 2024
 
Synsensa said:
What worries me about tech like this is what it'd do to continuity of consciousness. I'd be anxious about it, and likely be afraid of what happens. That when I lay back and go through this process, who I am dies and whoever wakes up/comes out of it is someone different, not me.
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The way I look at it is so long as the hardware stays the same, you are still indisputably you. If you're still using your brain, then continuity of consciousness is maintained. Even if you are interfacing with machines, that's just an extension of you and not a wholesale replacement. The glasses on my face not only affect the optics of what I see, they change my thought patterns. If you can see more, your brain is processing more, ie you're affecting your thought patterns/brain waves. Plugging into a remote sensor or actuator or whatever will be similar to putting on glasses, it'll become natural and you'll tune out interference. I already do this with my glasses - they protrude into my vision but I don't notice them 99% of the time. That too means my thought patterns/brain waves are changing due to an external interface.

What gets tricky for me is when you are running a majority of your thoughts outside of your head. Interfacing with and feeling a robot arm is very different from running you actual thoughts inside the robot arm. When computers get fast enough, that'll begin to happen too. What that situation will do for continuity of consciousness - I don't really know.

Obviously this is all speculative and probably won't stand up to serious scrutiny.

Update on the OP:
SpaceX has restarted a lawsuit against the Air Force over the competition. If SpaceX gets their way, this could derail the program and nullify or change past and future awards under it. There are other lawsuits against it by at least Blue Origin and maybe ULA as well that could also wreck it.

So who knows what's going to happen now?
 
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I predict the Equal Rights Amendment will be put into the constitution after passing legal challenges at the Supreme Court.

I predict that soon you will be able to buy a drone for camping. At night, you will activate the drone and it will hover above your camp site with an array of sensors. If it detects a cougar, bear or coyote, it will fly over to the threat and harass it with lights, loudspeakers and maybe a stun gun until it leaves or the people wake up and deal with it.

I predict that security guards will be replaced by similar drone systems in commercial settings. Your shopping mall is going to lay off a bunch of people and deploy drones to replace most of them.
 
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bernie14 said:
Nikki Haley 2024
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I predict it'll be Tucker Carlson. I also predict that he's an early harbinger of a shift that will gain force throughout the Republican Party in the 2020s: their economics will move in a more populist direction while they remain strident nationalists with a large dose of white identity politics. Free-market economic libertarians will see something of a decline in their influence, partly because many of the woke-capitalist types will have left to join the Democratic Party. Protectionism and a drive to regulate industries perceived as hostile to Republicans (tech companies in particular) will grow stronger. The hostility towards "entitlements" will lessen, and there may be selective support of welfare policies wherever they are perceived as benefiting the white working class. At the same time, plenty of corporations, especially fossil-fuel companies, will still stick with the Republicans and will be rewarded with tax exemptions and lax environmental regulations like today.

The Democratic split between neoliberal centrists and social democratic leftists will deepen further with no clear resolution one way or another by 2040. As open support of the Republicans becomes even less acceptable among upper-class whites, the affluent will not see a decline in their relative power in the party despite still-increasing concern about inequality, healthcare, and the general precarity of American life for the non-wealthy. The wings will agree on expanding health coverage, on somewhat higher taxes for the wealthy, increasingly on a universal basic income, and most noticeably on identity politics issues, leaving the party still intact despite tensions.

The increasing diversity of the American electorate will cause slight gains for Democrats vis a vis Republicans, but less than commonly anticipated. This is in large part due to the reliable Republican dominance of the Senate along with the courts, plus a further decline in Midwestern performance, such that Minnesota usually votes Republican by the 2030s. The Dems fare better in presidential elections due to the long-anticipated swing of Texas, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina towards them, rendering the Midwest much less important in presidential elections.

No important reforms of the American electoral or political system will occur by 2040. There will still be an Electoral College deciding presidential elections, the Supreme Court will still contain nine members appointed for life by the president, the Senate will be unchanged except for the loss of the filibuster, the House will still be made up of single-member districts although IRV and runoffs may be implemented in some states, gerrymandering will still be common despite some states' adoption of redistricting commissions (partly because of a Supreme Court decision that weakens them), and no third party will become influential. Democrats attempting to reform American institutions will be stopped by the reliably Republican Senate and the conservative lean of the courts, which continues due to the Dems' inability to get many appointees through the Senate. The EC will become less of a rallying cry for them the first time Texas goes blue.
 
New deadly virus outbreak in China.
 
hobbsyoyo said:
I predict that soccer (football) players will have to wear helmets within the next 10 years. It will start in youth leagues in the US and spread outward to adult international leagues. Adoption will be slow at first and widely ridiculed and then will happen very quickly as governing bodies bow to the research and a growing number of lawsuits. I don't think the helmet will be nearly as big and bulky as American Football helmets. Probably even smaller than Hockey helmets.
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Obviously a different sport but I think eventually all you have to do is tell guys that their junk won't work if they get too many concussions and then they won't let their sons do headers in junior league, then that spreads to the adult league. I would say that existence of professional cycling discounts this (heavy use of a bicycle is correlated with ED in men due to blow flow and nerve compression by the seat) but I think the population of pro or semi-pro cyclers is much smaller than the number of soccer players at any level so it's probably an inept comparison.

https://www.inverse.com/mind-body/f...ave-devastating-sexual-health-outcome-studies
 
I predict an independent Scotland within 5 years, and them re-joining the EU as said independent country within 10 years.
I'll also go for a unified Ireland within about 20-25 years
Leaving just England and Wales to wonder why they're a small country in a big wide world and why nobody listens to them any more!
 
Morty said:
I predict an independent Scotland within 5 years, and them re-joining the EU as said independent country within 10 years.
I'll also go for a unified Ireland within about 20-25 years
Leaving just England and Wales to wonder why they're a small country in a big wide world and why nobody listens to them any more!
Click to expand...

I guess then historians could look at the decline of the British (or maybe English) Empire as something that lasted into the 21st century.
 
Prediction: the Dem primary will come down to Sanders and Bloomberg because nobody can say no to that much money
 
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