hobbsyoyo
Deity
- Joined
- Jul 13, 2012
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I can call the very first prediction!
I am sure there will be multiple protests and lawsuits going forward.
Anyone else got predictions to call?
I was wrong, the USAF picked ULA for 60% of the contract and SpaceX for 40%!My prediction is about the results of the United States Air Force's (USAF) launch competition which should wrap up in Q1 of 2020. The USAF is having a competition to see which rocket companies will be able to sell rides to it for national security missions. They will pick two winners with a 60/40 split between them for contracts. The competitors are:
ULA with the Vulcan-Centaur rocket
Spoiler :![]()
Blue Origin with the New Glenn Rocket
Spoiler :![]()
SpaceX with Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy and/or Starship
Spoiler :![]()
Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems and the OmegA rocket
Spoiler :![]()
I predict that the winners of the competition will be ULA and Northrop. I also predict that the rational from the Air Force is going to be that SpaceX is viable on purely commercial sales and is already certified for USAF launches and thus is a freebie back-up third option. The subtext will be that ULA is not viable without military launches and OmegA can survive on scraps (executives there say they can make profit with only two launches a year and they have a track record of achieving similar results) should the budget for military launches collapse.
I am sure there will be multiple protests and lawsuits going forward.
Anyone else got predictions to call?