Despite the post's histrionic tone, he's right that there are a lot of lies surrounding the war.
There's no doubt that Western media have lied about Ukraine's performance (fanciful casualty ratios in favor of Ukraine and exaggerated Russian incompetence) and its odds of winning (which are low to non-existent if it means regaining even just pre-2022 territories).
I'm really perplexed about the claims of NATO being weakened. What serious analysis suggests this?
NATO added two valuable members close to Russia's border. (valuable at least if we compare them to, let's say, Macedonia).
It did not lose a single active-duty serviceman.
It got an impetus for members to spend more money on their armed forces and to scale up weapon production.
It forced members to move away from closer economic integration with Russia and instead to strengthen transatlantic relations.
(European countries moving away from NATO to a European-centered alliance and possible integration with Russia was always one of the biggest risks for NATO in Europe, see De Gaulle.)
It got good publicity for, at least, some of its weapons system (HIMARS for example) and for its intelligence capabilities.
It got a good real-life test of some of these systems for further improvement or tactical adjustments.
It got a lot of new intelligence about the fighting capabilities of its second biggest geopolitical adversary.
This adversary just wasted billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of men to conquer what's in large part rubble now.
In the great scheme of thing, what's the point of Crimea and the Black Sea if NATO controls the Bosphorus?
I don't like to overstate NATO's military might as some people do here. But currently Russia's Black Sea Fleet is hiding in harbor and it's just fighting Ukraine lol. What would happen if it fought NATO? Would it scuttle itself?
Russia's main problem was demographic, and I'm not sure this war will improve it, maybe the conquered people and refugees will outnumber the casualties but this is yet to be confirmed.
I really fail to see how Russia is gaining power vis-à-vis NATO.
It wasted a lot more weapons and vehicles than NATO did.
And a lot more money as a percentage of its economy.
One might argue that denying Ukraine's entry in NATO is a blow to NATO.
But as far as I know, nobody in this thread has yet provided evidence of Ukraine imminent entry into NATO in 2022?
If anything, large NATO members in Europe (France and Germany) were conciliatory towards Russia and thus not eager to let Ukraine in.
And this war just helped make them a lot less conciliatory.
The only analysis that I see working would be that it weakened NATO vis-à-vis other foes. Which might have some truth, but I often see it proclaimed bombastically without concrete evidence.
Military conflict with its largest rival, China, would likely occur over sea (and air) and thus it would be unlikely to be affected by the current depletion of NATO stockpile (which could be resupplied in time for a future war anyway, except if it happened right now).
The only explanation that makes some sense, is that the rest of the world is gaining more power (demographically, economically, militarily) compared to NATO and its allies. But this has been true since decolonization and formation of the Non-Aligned Movement. I don't see how the war accelerates significantly this longstanding trend.
If anything, Russia's current disastrous war in Ukraine makes it look more like a dying empire than a resurgent power.
