Mise
isle of lucy
I agree that there are a lot of people who are unhappy at having been born and would rather they weren't. I have no way of knowing ahead of time which ones they will be. As you say, even after they are born, I still have no idea. So when your prescription is "if you think it's likely your kids will end up not being happy they were born, maybe don't have kids", then I can't actually use this. I have no way of knowing if they will end up not being happy they were born. Given the way that it is phrased, I can only answer the question honestly by saying "no", in the same way that I cannot positively prove the non-existence of God. I have no evidence whatsoever that my children will end up not being happy they were born, therefore I have to answer "no". Of course, I have no evidence that they will end up being happy they were born either, but that wasn't the question.
Re 1st vs 3rd world happiness, I think most people would expect that living in a developed nation will bring greater happiness than living in a less developed nation (or at least will reduce the chance of suffering). There is certainly "good reason to believe that the children will end up perceiving that their lives were above average as a result" of them living in the 1st rather than the 3rd world. If you took a vote, I would wager that the vast majority of people would say that 1st world children have lives that are above average. Is this not good reason to believe that the children will end up perceiving that their lives were above average as a result of moving from a 3rd to a 1st world nation? It's a neat trick: cultural norms tell us that living in the 1st world will make them happy -> the average child grows up to believe that living in the 1st world will make them happy -> there is good reason to believe that parents should move to the 1st world if possible. Can we do this with money? Education? iPads? White picket fences?
You've presented two criteria here, a "strong" and a "weak" one: "happy they were born" and "above average". But the stronger one is useless and the weaker one compels parents to essentially trick their children. I don't have a counterproposal.
Re 1st vs 3rd world happiness, I think most people would expect that living in a developed nation will bring greater happiness than living in a less developed nation (or at least will reduce the chance of suffering). There is certainly "good reason to believe that the children will end up perceiving that their lives were above average as a result" of them living in the 1st rather than the 3rd world. If you took a vote, I would wager that the vast majority of people would say that 1st world children have lives that are above average. Is this not good reason to believe that the children will end up perceiving that their lives were above average as a result of moving from a 3rd to a 1st world nation? It's a neat trick: cultural norms tell us that living in the 1st world will make them happy -> the average child grows up to believe that living in the 1st world will make them happy -> there is good reason to believe that parents should move to the 1st world if possible. Can we do this with money? Education? iPads? White picket fences?
You've presented two criteria here, a "strong" and a "weak" one: "happy they were born" and "above average". But the stronger one is useless and the weaker one compels parents to essentially trick their children. I don't have a counterproposal.