2020 US Election (Part One)

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Point of Order... There are only two POTUS elections in US history where the candidate received more votes than Hillary's 65,853,514 votes. They are, in order:

Obama 2008 - 69,498,516 votes
Obama 2012 - 65,915,795 votes

The reason Hillary lost wasn't as simple as she sucked and failed to get sufficient turnout... she did do those things but that's not the only or main reason she lost. She got the most votes by a wide margin afterall. She also lost because the electoral college system favors Republicans structurally. So Democrats have to get way more votes to actually win than a Republican, while Republicans can consistently win while receiving less votes.

Also, the voter turnout in 2016 was 55.7%, which was up from 2012 at 54.9%... so you're flat out incorrect that Hillary had "lowest voter turnout in decades". Just sayin'
Cool, thanks. I think I was mixing up info. Maybe it was in a particular state that her turnout was super low.
 
Turnout is based on % of available, not just raw votes.
 

Ehm... in what kind of banana republic do polls which are only approved by the DNC count? The Economist has less serious polls than whatever crap DNC approves? :shake:
Apparently some garbagemen learned nothing from 2016.
 
Yeah, I really didn't like the video because it implies that the DNC chose the polls to help the candidates they wanted. But the list of pollsters approved by the DNC was published months ago, way before any qualifying poll came out. So either it's a grand conspiracy where the DNC and the few pollsters that count made a deal to rig the primaries (unlikely, and would need FAR more proof) or it's just bad luck for Castro and Gabbard that the polls that they're getting their best poll numbers from other pollsters than those chosen by the DNC
 
Yeah, I really didn't like the video because it implies that the DNC chose the polls to help the candidates they wanted. But the list of pollsters approved by the DNC was published months ago, way before any qualifying poll came out. So either it's a grand conspiracy where the DNC and the few pollsters that count made a deal to rig the primaries (unlikely, and would need FAR more proof) or it's just bad luck for Castro and Gabbard that the polls that they're getting their best poll numbers from other pollsters than those chosen by the DNC

So you trust that the number difference was down to "bad luck"?
 
The economist is the only pollster with Gabbard above 1% (except one emerson poll from early july at 2%). It's statistically more likely that they're slightly off in their estimate than that ALL the other pollsters are wrong. And I don't see why the economist of all organisations would be the one beacon of light fighting against corrupt pollsters...

Edit : also, every candidate polling around 1% is in statistical noise territory. Any of them might have an actual following from 0.5% to 3% and the polls would be perfectly right.
 
The economist is the only pollster with Gabbard above 1% (except one emerson poll from early july at 2%). It's statistically more likely that they're slightly off in their estimate than that ALL the other pollsters are wrong. And I don't see why the economist of all organisations would be the one beacon of light fighting against corrupt pollsters...

Edit : also, every candidate polling around 1% is in statistical noise territory. Any of them might have an actual following from 0.5% to 3% and the polls would be perfectly right.

First of all that can't be true, given a candidate needs 4 polls with 2% or more, and apparently Tulsi has that, just three of the polls aren't DNC approved.
Secondly, I am really not seeing how anyone who is "statistical noise" would have so many donors and get as much airtime as well.
 
3 polls from the economist.
Many people give to several candidates, yet can only vote for one. That's how many small candidates that are viewed favorably by voters (yet are almost no one's first choice) got the requirements.
 
3 polls from the economist.
Many people give to several candidates, yet can only vote for one. That's how many small candidates that are viewed favorably by voters (yet are almost no one's first choice) got the requirements.

Maybe, but I think that even if (which is, obviously, very likely or almost certain) the petition against the DNC re Tulsi fails, she will return to the debates after the next one, and will only be more brutal against the DNC ^_^
 
I really like Tulsi but she's in a niche that has two of the top three candidates in it coupled with an endless barrage of smears from all types of media. In polls that ask "who's your top candidate" it's hard to imagine she gets a ton since so many of her supporters would say Bernie or Liz first. Even Kyle admits Bernie is his guy when he goes to bat for Tulsi.

I wish she stayed in the debates because she's brave enough to really call people out on bullfeathers. I'm hoping she's gained enough political capital to stay relevant and maybe score a cabinet spot. She'd make a great SoS or UN ambassador.
 
She'd make a great SoS or UN ambassador.

Given what has happened in Kashmir over the past couple of weeks my opposition to Tulsi in any position involving responsibility for foreign affairs has only grown.

I am still rather mystified that her continued public support for a man who is worse than Donald Trump is not a deal-breaker for you.
 
Given what has happened in Kashmir over the past couple of weeks my opposition to Tulsi in any position involving responsibility for foreign affairs has only grown.

I am still rather mystified that her continued public support for a man who is worse than Donald Trump is not a deal-breaker for you.
"working with Mr. Modi and other members of the Indian government toward our mutual goals of peace, stability, and economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region.

"A partnership between the world's two largest and greatest democracies is necessary for us to successfully address the many global challenges we face, including economic growth, bilateral trade, the environment, terrorism, and security."

That's her position. It's not support of his more negative positions. It's about peace and stability. Not undermining the governments of other countries. In essence she is doing with Modi what other world leaders are doing with Donny Tiny-hands. You're needling into one thing and pulling out what you want to pull out.

She'll cross a line when she starts supporting the grosser aspects of his governance. I'm not buying into a smear just because "reasons." I need more, like how itd impact policy, governance, etc. This Modi stuff is just silly considering how few other American politicians are even talking about him let alone speaking against him. Its akin to the Assad toady BS.
 
Oh, cut the crap, you're smarter than that and can read between the lines of the PR-speak.
 
I think it is a deal-breaker in terms of judgement but it's more a matter of principle, I don't want a President or Secretary of State who supports would-be ethnonationalist dictators, period.
 
I think it is a deal-breaker in terms of judgement but it's more a matter of principle, I don't want a President or Secretary of State who supports would-be ethnonationalist dictators, period.

Yet Modi, as has been said, is virtually unknown to voters. Compare with the support so many dems and gopists have for Saudi and Israel.
I am not seeing how her non-interventionism alone shouldn't make her a far better choice for a foreign affairs or UN role than most other dems.
 
I swear I am screaming into the void with her on this site. She SUPPORTS TORTURE. She SUPPORTS ASSAD. She supports Russian airstrikes in Syria. She has always been gung-ho aboout militant responses to terrorism. Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.

There are at least two candidates running on a more anti-war stance than her. She might not have US invasions running around but she'd drone and bomb the **** out of tons of middle east countries in a heartbeat.
 
I think it is a deal-breaker in terms of judgement but it's more a matter of principle, I don't want a President or Secretary of State who supports would-be ethnonationalist dictators, period.
When you say "support" it's as if you mean she supports him over other Indian leaders but I don't see that anywhere. This is an allied democracy and she's not undermining the elected leader. That's what I see. What you're doing is similar to the Assad criticism, "she wont denounce him therefore she must be for him." I just wont do that.

When I look at politicians I pay less attention to what they say than I do their actions. That's why I don't like Biden, Beto, Harris, Booker, etc. Her voting record is pretty strong (although her anti BDS vote bugged me, unfortunately she's not the only progressive that failed there) so itll take a lot more than saying nice things about Modi to actually tip me against her.

Why fight so hard against someone who's generally an ally? I haven't said she's my top choice, it's not like she's stealing a vote from Bernie or Liz.
 
I swear I am screaming into the void with her on this site. She SUPPORTS TORTURE. She SUPPORTS ASSAD. She supports Russian airstrikes in Syria. She has always been gung-ho aboout militant responses to terrorism. Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.

There are at least two candidates running on a more anti-war stance than her. She might not have US invasions running around but she'd drone and bomb the **** out of tons of middle east countries in a heartbeat.
Simply not true. Sorry.
 
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