Even though it's misgendering a substantial proportion of people in the category?
Part of my argument is that JKR also doesn't have any apparent stake in basic legal rights afforded to people. The posts discussed in this thread don't seem to be having significant policy implications. Perhaps I missed some though.
I don't think I've ever met a leftist that would honestly consider the general insult "manchild" to be so specifically targeted that it misgenders people it is aimed at. If this seems logical to you (and purely from a logical perspective I can see why), then allow me to clarify that "manchild" is a stereotype based on the behaviour of (mainly) men r.e. maturity.
Is it insulting? Yes. Is it misgendering? I don't know, I welcome comments from others (Cloud perhaps), but I don't think it is. At best it's a casual ignorance of hateful women in gaming, but given that we're comparing a random tweet that is designed to offend vs. a long blog post by a famous author perceived and designed to be informative, I really think it's a false equivalence in the first place. Definitely, at least, not the best comparison to be making.
Of course JKR has a stake in the basic legal rights afforded to people. Her defense of Forstater directly relates to Forstater's job, and thus the court ruling on her ability to misgender colleagues (as well as promoting a general anti-trans ideologically, vocally, in the workplace). Her comments on trans women and how we need to protect women from abuse is direct advocacy for treating trans women
differently. To not treat them as women. I don't understand why you believe her to have no stake in the issue when she's opining on trans rights (by dint of fear for "women's safety") in the UK.
It's those consequences I'm doubting. Stating it again doesn't give any extra support for the notion.
If that's the argument you're going with, then simply stating your doubt also doesn't get your argument anywhere. Your doubt isn't evidence of anything. Why do you believe that JKR's opinions have no impact on the people that consume said opinions?
I mean, this is a discussion, right? Words have power. That should be self-evident, so I again don't really understand your objection to the principle. Is the difference somehow unique to this specific case?
Best to denounce JKR's statements and move on. Murder is already illegal and transpeople are already less likely to be murdered than average. That's good. Better would be to add policy that similarly irons out discrimination/unfair practices where they still exist. Nothing you say about JKR gets us that.
As a lot of the context of this thread is specific to the UK, I
did some digging to your bolded, uncited claim. The salient paragraph is as follows:
The limited data we’re working with suggests that in the UK at least, a trans person is less likely to be murdered than the average person. But it’s worth bearing in mind that the recorded number of trans murder victims is so small that it would only take one or two more murder cases every year for the UK “trans murder rate” to double or triple. And until new reporting methods come in, we are making this calculation based on unofficial figures. We should therefore be very wary of drawing firm conclusions.
I would suggest your maths and extrapolations based on numbers from over half a decade ago in the US are similarly lacking, and you should also be wary of drawing conclusions based on them.