GoodEnoughForMe
n.m.s.s.
I didn't really know how to title this thread, but I think the sentence I posted is fair and accurate based on the overwhelming amount of data we have on the subject. And I think this short clip is a good warm-up (in it, 100% of white people admit that they are treated better by society than black people).
I've been struck lately by how political parties in the US, well, the two major ones, are increasingly divided by racial lines. Democrat voters are outpacing America's overall increasing diversity, while the Republican party continues to win over shares of white voters. This has accelerated over the last couple elections and appears to be a sort of inevitable reality of Republicans overwhelmingly winning the white vote, and Democrats winning everybody else*.
One of the most difficult realties, and depressing ones, is that a large body of evidence suggests that as white people are either A) given information about increasing diversity, or B) placed in a situation in which they personally witness the diversity (as in, a train car with many people of colour), they become, essentially, more racist. And not only that, but even just discussing or bringing racism to the forefront can harden racial divides and increase racial resentment.
I'm going to link some of the studies below, and will summarize their findings afterwards.
https://internet2.trincoll.edu/FacProfiles/CVs/1480166.pdf
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0146167214524993
http://groups.psych.northwestern.edu/spcl/documents/Craig_RichesonPS_updatedversion.pdf
http://www.econ.jku.at/papers/2012/wp1205.pdf
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0003122415587313
I think it's commonly believed that if only white people saw other skin colours in their day-to-day interaction, they'd become more inclusive, learning that people of colour are, fundamentally, other people are people too. The opposite is in fact true. When white people are put in a subway car with mostly white people, and then one with many Latino people, they become much less pro-immigration after the 2nd car than they were after the first. When told about a growing population of Latino or black Americans, they not only report more negative feelings towards minority groups, but also express less of a desire to donate to causes that might support them. When given census predictions about America's future "majority-minority" (I know that term is sort of stupid), white people answer more often that they would like to live and work among other white people only. And indeed, many are doing so; data suggests that neighborhoods and schools are now the most segregated they have been since the 1960s, even though the country as a whole is much more diverse.
Even those who identify as liberal, or progressive on politics as a whole or immigration are not immune.
But perhaps what most struck me was this quote from one Cornell Belcher, who worked on Obama's polling team for both of his elections, and was knee-deep in data, anecdotes, and everything about how people vote.
There's been a lot of knee-jerk reaction that Democrats have an economic message issue, but I don't think that's necessarily the big-picture, or much of the picture at all. Not only that, but there's a certain kind of liberal arrogance suggesting that if only the working-class whites could see the economic light, they'd vote Democrat. Rather, the big picture is approaching the thorny situation of race in American society. Because it's increasingly clear that both bringing it up can be a turn-off for white voters, and that increasing multi-culturalism is also a turn-off for white voters, and that multi-culturalism right now is the bedrock of the Democratic voting base, and as such, is not something they can shy away from. And it's also increasingly clear that, for now anyways, the political party battle lines are becoming almost entirely racial in breakdown. And if many white people at least understand and fear their coming status as less than 50% of the population, then they aren't "failing to see the light" by voting for, say, Trump, they're simply voting among ethno-cultural lines, which is a time-honored human tradition. And, if nothing else, Trump certainly did his part to fan the flames.
There are of course two facets to pursue here. One is the general result of America's increasing diversity, and how it is drumming up white nationalism. Any thoughts on how to solve or combat that are welcome. The other facet is more strategically inclined; how does the Democrat Party move forward knowing that, for the time being, they still need a chunk of the white vote (particularly in local races), even as their voters are much more diverse than the rest of the country?
* There is one tiny, glimmer of hope. There is one generational group of people that has shown much less aversion to diversity and, while still having plenty of strains of white resentment and nationality, appears, based on early data, to have reduced it to a minority. I'll let you guess which group of special snowflakes this is.
I've been struck lately by how political parties in the US, well, the two major ones, are increasingly divided by racial lines. Democrat voters are outpacing America's overall increasing diversity, while the Republican party continues to win over shares of white voters. This has accelerated over the last couple elections and appears to be a sort of inevitable reality of Republicans overwhelmingly winning the white vote, and Democrats winning everybody else*.
One of the most difficult realties, and depressing ones, is that a large body of evidence suggests that as white people are either A) given information about increasing diversity, or B) placed in a situation in which they personally witness the diversity (as in, a train car with many people of colour), they become, essentially, more racist. And not only that, but even just discussing or bringing racism to the forefront can harden racial divides and increase racial resentment.
Mendelberg also runs her own experiment to explore the idea. She conducted a study with a random sample of Michigan voters where she showed fake television news stories about a gubernatorial race; in the stories, the conservative candidate was arguing that welfare recipients were an unfair burden. Some of the fake stories featured B-roll of black welfare recipients; others featured B-roll of white recipients. They were otherwise identical — but the stories with B-roll of black recipients led respondents to express significantly more hostile views toward government programs to assist black people. In fact, the effect on their expressed racial views was stronger than the effect on their expressed opinions on welfare.
I'm going to link some of the studies below, and will summarize their findings afterwards.
https://internet2.trincoll.edu/FacProfiles/CVs/1480166.pdf
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0146167214524993
http://groups.psych.northwestern.edu/spcl/documents/Craig_RichesonPS_updatedversion.pdf
http://www.econ.jku.at/papers/2012/wp1205.pdf
http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0003122415587313
I think it's commonly believed that if only white people saw other skin colours in their day-to-day interaction, they'd become more inclusive, learning that people of colour are, fundamentally, other people are people too. The opposite is in fact true. When white people are put in a subway car with mostly white people, and then one with many Latino people, they become much less pro-immigration after the 2nd car than they were after the first. When told about a growing population of Latino or black Americans, they not only report more negative feelings towards minority groups, but also express less of a desire to donate to causes that might support them. When given census predictions about America's future "majority-minority" (I know that term is sort of stupid), white people answer more often that they would like to live and work among other white people only. And indeed, many are doing so; data suggests that neighborhoods and schools are now the most segregated they have been since the 1960s, even though the country as a whole is much more diverse.
Even those who identify as liberal, or progressive on politics as a whole or immigration are not immune.
But why would a self-avowed liberal change her political position just because of a line from a census report? Richeson and Craig are pretty sure the answer is that these white people feel threatened.
Richeson and Craig ran a version of the experiment where participants were told that even though the minority-majority switch was coming, the social order would continue to be the same. White Americans would still come out on top in American society.
In that condition, the effect disappeared. “And that’s how you know it’s status threat” fueling the effect, Richeson says.
But perhaps what most struck me was this quote from one Cornell Belcher, who worked on Obama's polling team for both of his elections, and was knee-deep in data, anecdotes, and everything about how people vote.
That was a tweet really to the progressive establishment — which means too often white Northeastern liberals — the idea that if we just had a better economic message, these people would all of a sudden go, “Oh, my god, what was I thinking, I should be voting Democrat!” That if we just find the right words to connect with downscale whites, they’ll say, “Oh, you know what, I am voting against my economic interests.”
It’s a disconnect that’s frustrating to me. They’re not voting against their economic interests; they are voting for their higher interests — there’s an idea that your group positioning doesn’t matter economically. The idea that you can disconnect white people from their group position and make pocketbook arguments to them void of the history of their group is folly.
That is not to say don’t target or don’t go after them. That’s absolutely not what I’m saying. What I am saying is just that the answer isn’t simply a pocketbook argument — we do have to inoculate against the increased tribalism and racialism in order to have that conversation. As long as there is a group sense of decline, we do have to calculate for that in our conversation and try to inoculate that as opposed to simply coming up with another argument about why raising the minimum wage is beneficial to you.
By the way, look at the last midterm [election] in Arkansas, which is full of the kind of blue-collar voters you’re talking about. [They] voted against [Democratic Sen.] Mark Pryor [who supported a minimum wage increase]. There is a disconnect here that progressives need to understand if we’re going to make a more effective economic argument for blue-collar whites, and stop telling them that they’re voting against their economic interest. That is a complete lack of understanding by progressives of the connections between economics and identity.
Interviewer: But they are actually voting against their economic interests, right? Are you saying that it doesn’t feel that way to them, or that it’s simply not important to them, because voting with their group identity in mind feels more urgent?
I would even push back on that. Who are we to say that they’re voting against their economic interests? If in fact you think you’re losing your country, that’s your higher interest, and how in the hell am I gonna prosper if [I believe] other people are taking my country?
There's been a lot of knee-jerk reaction that Democrats have an economic message issue, but I don't think that's necessarily the big-picture, or much of the picture at all. Not only that, but there's a certain kind of liberal arrogance suggesting that if only the working-class whites could see the economic light, they'd vote Democrat. Rather, the big picture is approaching the thorny situation of race in American society. Because it's increasingly clear that both bringing it up can be a turn-off for white voters, and that increasing multi-culturalism is also a turn-off for white voters, and that multi-culturalism right now is the bedrock of the Democratic voting base, and as such, is not something they can shy away from. And it's also increasingly clear that, for now anyways, the political party battle lines are becoming almost entirely racial in breakdown. And if many white people at least understand and fear their coming status as less than 50% of the population, then they aren't "failing to see the light" by voting for, say, Trump, they're simply voting among ethno-cultural lines, which is a time-honored human tradition. And, if nothing else, Trump certainly did his part to fan the flames.
There are of course two facets to pursue here. One is the general result of America's increasing diversity, and how it is drumming up white nationalism. Any thoughts on how to solve or combat that are welcome. The other facet is more strategically inclined; how does the Democrat Party move forward knowing that, for the time being, they still need a chunk of the white vote (particularly in local races), even as their voters are much more diverse than the rest of the country?
* There is one tiny, glimmer of hope. There is one generational group of people that has shown much less aversion to diversity and, while still having plenty of strains of white resentment and nationality, appears, based on early data, to have reduced it to a minority. I'll let you guess which group of special snowflakes this is.
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