2024 US Presidential Election Watch Party

[Kyriakos]

ABC map just now:

More interesting are those states they haven't called, including the aforementioned Virginia.

 

[Voidwalkin]

THE KLOB (Amy Klobuchar) just won senate race in Minnesota.
ITS KLOBBERIN TIME!

Spears shall be shaken, shields splintered, binders thrown and salad combed.

DEATH!

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

Nate Bronze’s most likely results map from his final prediction looks like 100% correct

 

[Kyriakos]

That late Iowa poll does look a bit fishy now :S

 

[Birdjaguar]

Latest updates have Trump and Harris neck and neck with the popular vote, which would be an electoral blowout. Very grim start for Harris.

CA has not checked in at all.

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

CA has not checked in at all.

No but basically every (counted) county in the country except for a handful of swing state major cities and Indiana (?) have swung hard for Trump, and California won’t be any different. Trump is absolutely the popular vote favorite right now.

 

[Birdjaguar]

It is looking like PA will be the decider.

 

[Voidwalkin]

Harris down 3 points in Pennsylvania, completely even in Wisconsin.

Well, that's pretty devastating, honestly.

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

Yeah Trump is going to sweep all 7 battlegrounds, Pennsylvania won’t even end up being the tipping point.

 

[Ajidica]

This is starting to confirm my theory that Democrats can only win the presidency when people are actually doing badly and scared. If they feel like they are doing badly and scared, the GOP wins.
Making Obama's 2012 victory a fluke against a weak candidate.

 

[Kyriakos]

NC and Georgia may well have drifted past Kamala.

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

In the scheme of things globally, not a surprising result. The last two years have been bloodbaths for incumbent parties with no actual political ideological consistency. If the right was in charge, they got yeeted, if the left was in charge, they got yeeted. Harris making this somewhat close waa actually something of a surprise compared to peer countries (mostly a result of Trump being so disliked).

 

[KMRblue1027]

Yeah if he does win it's more the election was literally unwinnable incumbent parties have been getting trounced for the past 3 years,

 

[Kaitzilla]

The New York Times has a one-stop-shop needle predictor.

It is increasingly leaning towards Trump winning as time goes by so far.

The Needle: Live 2024 Presidential Election Forecast

Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.

www.nytimes.com

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

Yeah a world in which Trump won in 2020 means 2024 would look like 2006/2008 for Dems. An incredibly large percentage of political power is down to random timing chances, but nobody likes to admit that because it implies a lack of control.

 

[Strong Reaction]

Watching election results is sort of like watching water drip into a bucket. 70% of the vote in down by ~3 points in Penn. time for Kamala to pack it in. Dont see it changing from here on out barring something drastic happening. OMG he stole the election, stop the steal, stop the steal. Oh wait I'm not that guy.

 

[Kyriakos]

Georgia was now called, by its own secretary of state: "D. Trump has an insurmountable lead" (reported on ABC news).

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

Trump will have a Republican senate, so at least two years of the absolute most messed up judges you can imagine. The House is still a tossup.

 

[Gori the Grey]

Whoops. Wrong about Sherrod Brown, earlier. Sorry, Void! Yikes! That's bad.

 

[caketastydelish]

Advantage to trump being president: snl, late night shows, political comedy in general has much more material to work with.

Disadvantage: everything else unless you’re in the top one percent.