Iowa's over, New Hampshire's on

[GoodGame]

I think it'd be silly for Huntsman to drop out so soon, since he might easily pick up the anti-Mitt, non-Paul delegates. NH is partly Paul's stomping ground from what little I saw on the tv news last night, so I think it'd be more logical for Huntsman to stay in for several more states.

I feel like if Gingrich does bad in SC, he's out, but both Santorum and Huntsman have some potential until Mitt wins like 4 or 5 states. Money may look tight now, but things can change with sudden contacts made after other candidates drop.



EDIT: Gallup's national polls are suggesting Huntsman will do poorly currently, though (about 1/15th as well as Romney)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

I'm not sure what to make of the "ballot support" stat though. Unless it's polling all types of voters (GOP, DEM, and indie).
Perhaps the predicted percentage of people with a decided election day mindset already?



EDIT EDIT:

This is more what I'm looking for from Gallup
http://www.gallup.com/poll/151955/Romney-Dominates-GOP-Expectations-Win.aspx

I'd still say that it doesn't make complete sense to quit at this point, for anyone around 10%, though it looks like Romney is de facto collecting the majority.

Might Romney's campaign implode at all, or does Romney pour the best kool aid at this point?

 

[_random_]

Downtown must be part of the Mormon Mafia, he knows the future!

Downtown's allegiance is to an entirely different mafia. If he were part of the Mormon Mafia, he'd have told us about Huntsman going to South Carolina. Not sure how he'd stand a better chance there than in New Hampshire, but whatever. I kind of suspect he's just building up name recognition for 2016 or a VP slot.

 

[downtown]

If Huntsman is trying to seriously campaign in South Carolina, then he'd be doing what nobody expected him to do (including other political campaigns). He has never climbed above 6% in any other state poll...ever. In a crowded and VERY conservative SC field, a Mormon who used to work for Obama isn't going to poll well.

 

[downtown]

Team Obama apparently already considers Romney the nominee, judging by the amount of crap they're writing about sillyness such as Romney saying that he likes being able to fire his healthcare provider. According to Paul Krugman or David Atkins, that makes him an insensible plutocrat who laughs with delight at the thought of firing workers

American liberals like to complain that Fox and co. crucify Obama for whatever sillyness he says, but they're not much better.

The guys really pushing this narrative are Gingrich and Perry actually (and the DCCC I guess). Newt did a 30 min tv show just trashing Mitt's time at Bain. I'm as surprised as you are.

 

[_random_]

If Huntsman is trying to seriously campaign in South Carolina, then he'd be doing what nobody expected him to do (including other political campaigns). He has never climbed above 6% in any other state poll...ever. In a crowded and VERY conservative SC field, a Mormon who used to work for Obama isn't going to poll well.

So if he's gonna stay in this, what do you think he should do?

 

[Archbob]

So if he's gonna stay in this, what do you think he should do?

You mean aside from assassinating Mitt Romney?

 

[downtown]

So if he's gonna stay in this, what do you think he should do?

He has 100% no path towards victory. If he really loves campaigning, he could be a highly credible 3rd party candidate (especially if he runs with somebody like Libermann). Given the current Republican electorate, there is no room for him in the primary.

Which is stupid, because Huntsman isn't really a moderate. He's a conservative.

 

[luiz]

The guys really pushing this narrative are Gingrich and Perry actually (and the DCCC I guess). Newt did a 30 min tv show just trashing Mitt's time at Bain. I'm as surprised as you are.

While that is probably true, I learned about his "scandal" through David Atkins via Paul Krugman. They are both full of righteous outrage. The funny (or rather sad) thing is that Krugman was always one to (correctly) point out when Republicans or Fox would twist something Clinton or Obama said to make it sound like they hate America. Now he's doing exactly the same to Romney, except he is supposed to hate workers.

 

[Leoreth]

I've read somewhere that Huntsman might stay in the primaries to gather some credibility for future presidential elections, maybe even 2016 if Romney fails. Is that likely?

 

[GoodGame]

Colbert is beating Huntsman in SC national polling!

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57358364/colbert-preps-possible-run-in-s.c-primary/

 

[downtown]

I've read somewhere that Huntsman might stay in the primaries to gather some credibility for future presidential elections, maybe even 2016 if Romney fails. Is that likely?

I don't see the benefit there. Finishing in single digits in every poll doesn't give you credibility in later elections with voters, and Huntsman already has approval from the media and policy elites in spades.

The fact that he is losing to Colbert tells you everything you need to know.

 

[NickyJ]

The fact that he is losing to Colbert tells you everything you need to know.

That it's going to be Colbert-Stewart '16?

 

[Ajidica]

Newt Gingrich has officialy run out of ideas for campaign ads:

Quelle horreur! Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney has been skewered in a new political attack ad - for speaking French.

The ad, released by rival Newt Gingrich, seeks to draw unflattering parallels between Mr Romney and another Massachusetts politician, John Kerry.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-16549624

 

[kochman]

It's time for everyone to decide between the two candidates...
Romney
Obama

It's all but in the bag for Romney... so, start digging up dirt on both candidates, you've got 10 months.

 

[Leoreth]

Accusing Romney of being French and being Kerry. Gingrich really starts to play dirty.